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Stock Analysis Compilation
Pender Fund on Howard Hughes $HHC US
Thesis: Howard Hughes’ undervalued real estate assets and strategic review offer an asymmetric opportunity for short-term gains
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/pQUVTZIGcS
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Pender Fund on Howard Hughes $HHC US
Thesis: Howard Hughes’ undervalued real estate assets and strategic review offer an asymmetric opportunity for short-term gains
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/pQUVTZIGcS
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InsideArbitrage
🎯The InsideArbitrage C-Suite Transitions is out!
$HR Healthcare Realty’s Management Overhaul – C-Suite Transitions
1/7 https://t.co/rW5J2Tr19c
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🎯The InsideArbitrage C-Suite Transitions is out!
$HR Healthcare Realty’s Management Overhaul – C-Suite Transitions
1/7 https://t.co/rW5J2Tr19c
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InsideArbitrage
📢 $DLTR Dollar Tree appoints Michael C. Creedon, Jr. as CEO effective immediately.
Creedon had been serving as the interim CEO since November 3, 2024"
$DLTR Dollar Tree CFO Jeff Davis steps down but will stay on through the fiscal 2024 Form 10-K filing. The company has begun an external search for his replacement.
This comes just a month after CEO Rick Dreiling’s departure due to health challenges. 👔💼
💼 Leadership Search On: The board is hunting for new CFO and CEO candidates, considering both internal and external options.
💸 Strong Q3 Results: Sales rose 3.6% to $7.57B (beating $7.45B estimates).
Same-store sales were up 1.8%.
Adjusted EPS of $1.12/share beat expectations by $0.05.
💡 Sales Guidance Update: Dollar Tree raised its full-year sales outlook to $30.7B–$30.9B, adding $100M to the low end.
📉 The stock, down ~50% YTD, saw a 5% premarket jump to $76.15 after the earnings and CFO resignation news.
🏪 Family Dollar Strategy Under Review: A potential sale, spin-off, or other disposition of the chain is on the table. No timeline yet, but ~670 underperforming stores have already been closed.
1/2 "- InsideArbitrage
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📢 $DLTR Dollar Tree appoints Michael C. Creedon, Jr. as CEO effective immediately.
Creedon had been serving as the interim CEO since November 3, 2024"
$DLTR Dollar Tree CFO Jeff Davis steps down but will stay on through the fiscal 2024 Form 10-K filing. The company has begun an external search for his replacement.
This comes just a month after CEO Rick Dreiling’s departure due to health challenges. 👔💼
💼 Leadership Search On: The board is hunting for new CFO and CEO candidates, considering both internal and external options.
💸 Strong Q3 Results: Sales rose 3.6% to $7.57B (beating $7.45B estimates).
Same-store sales were up 1.8%.
Adjusted EPS of $1.12/share beat expectations by $0.05.
💡 Sales Guidance Update: Dollar Tree raised its full-year sales outlook to $30.7B–$30.9B, adding $100M to the low end.
📉 The stock, down ~50% YTD, saw a 5% premarket jump to $76.15 after the earnings and CFO resignation news.
🏪 Family Dollar Strategy Under Review: A potential sale, spin-off, or other disposition of the chain is on the table. No timeline yet, but ~670 underperforming stores have already been closed.
1/2 "- InsideArbitrage
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InsideArbitrage
📢 $LW Lamb Weston Reports Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results; Board Approves $250 Million Share Repurchase Authorization Increase and Increases Quarterly Dividend; Updates Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook
🥔Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Highlights
GAAP Results as Compared to Second Quarter Fiscal 2024:
◦Net sales declined 8% to $1,601 million
◦Income from operations declined 94% to $19 million
◦Net income declined $251 million to a loss of $36 million
◦Diluted EPS declined $1.73 to a loss of $0.25
•Non-GAAP Results as Compared to Second Quarter
🥔Fiscal 2024:
◦Adjusted Income from Operations(1) declined 41% to $178 million
◦Adjusted Net Income(1) declined 55% to $95 million
◦Adjusted Diluted EPS(1) declined 54% to $0.66
◦Adjusted EBITDA(1) declined 25% to $282 million
•Paid $51.6 million in cash dividends to common shareholders
🥔Updated Fiscal 2025 Outlook
•Net sales of $6.35 billion to $6.45 billion
•GAAP net income target of $330 million to $350 million, and Diluted EPS target of $2.30 to $2.45
•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $1,170 million to $1,210 million
•Adjusted Net Income(1) target of $440 million to $460 million and Adjusted Diluted EPS(1) target of $3.05 to $3.20
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📢 $LW Lamb Weston Reports Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Results; Board Approves $250 Million Share Repurchase Authorization Increase and Increases Quarterly Dividend; Updates Fiscal Year 2025 Outlook
🥔Second Quarter Fiscal 2025 Highlights
GAAP Results as Compared to Second Quarter Fiscal 2024:
◦Net sales declined 8% to $1,601 million
◦Income from operations declined 94% to $19 million
◦Net income declined $251 million to a loss of $36 million
◦Diluted EPS declined $1.73 to a loss of $0.25
•Non-GAAP Results as Compared to Second Quarter
🥔Fiscal 2024:
◦Adjusted Income from Operations(1) declined 41% to $178 million
◦Adjusted Net Income(1) declined 55% to $95 million
◦Adjusted Diluted EPS(1) declined 54% to $0.66
◦Adjusted EBITDA(1) declined 25% to $282 million
•Paid $51.6 million in cash dividends to common shareholders
🥔Updated Fiscal 2025 Outlook
•Net sales of $6.35 billion to $6.45 billion
•GAAP net income target of $330 million to $350 million, and Diluted EPS target of $2.30 to $2.45
•Adjusted EBITDA(1) of $1,170 million to $1,210 million
•Adjusted Net Income(1) target of $440 million to $460 million and Adjusted Diluted EPS(1) target of $3.05 to $3.20
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App Economy Insights
$ACN Accenture Q1 FY25 (Nov. quarter):
• Revenue +9% Y/Y to $17.7B ($0.6B beat).
• EPS $3.59 ($0.20 beat).
• New bookings +1% Y/Y to $18.7B.
• AI bookings $1.2B (vs. $1.0B in Q4 FY24).
FY25 guidance:
• Revenue up to +7% Y/Y fx neutral. https://t.co/FrEuYGzzoI
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$ACN Accenture Q1 FY25 (Nov. quarter):
• Revenue +9% Y/Y to $17.7B ($0.6B beat).
• EPS $3.59 ($0.20 beat).
• New bookings +1% Y/Y to $18.7B.
• AI bookings $1.2B (vs. $1.0B in Q4 FY24).
FY25 guidance:
• Revenue up to +7% Y/Y fx neutral. https://t.co/FrEuYGzzoI
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Artisan Partners on Hamilton Lane $HLNE US
Thesis: Hamilton Lane’s dominant position in private market data and discretionary asset management drives its growth amid rising investor demand
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/bKBE1kpSfN
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Artisan Partners on Hamilton Lane $HLNE US
Thesis: Hamilton Lane’s dominant position in private market data and discretionary asset management drives its growth amid rising investor demand
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/bKBE1kpSfN
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Quiver Quantitative
Representative Dan Crenshaw has made just 33 trades while in office.
He hasn't disclosed any trades in over a year.
However, he has made a few of the most well-timed trades we've seen.
Here his five most profitable transactions: https://t.co/H5TteGlwur
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Representative Dan Crenshaw has made just 33 trades while in office.
He hasn't disclosed any trades in over a year.
However, he has made a few of the most well-timed trades we've seen.
Here his five most profitable transactions: https://t.co/H5TteGlwur
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
CAGR Estimates of Quality Compounders 📈
🫱🏼🫲🏻 MercadoLibre $MELI *
•15% @ 36x
•12% @ 34x
🖱️ Alphabet $GOOG **
•14% @ 24x
•12% @ 23x
💿 Advanced Micro Devices $AMD *
•14% @ 22x
•9% @ 20x
🖨️ Applied Materials $AMAT **
•13% @ 20x
•11% @ 19x
📠 ASML Holding $ASML **
•13% @ 28x
•11% @ 27x
🤖 Nvidia $NVDA *
•12% @ 30x
•9% @ 28x
💵 PayPal $PYPL *
•14% @ 21x
•12% @ 20x
💳 Visa $V **
•12% @ 30x
•9% @ 28x
___
* Fiscal Year (FY ending 2026 / Jan 2027)
**FY ending 2027
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CAGR Estimates of Quality Compounders 📈
🫱🏼🫲🏻 MercadoLibre $MELI *
•15% @ 36x
•12% @ 34x
🖱️ Alphabet $GOOG **
•14% @ 24x
•12% @ 23x
💿 Advanced Micro Devices $AMD *
•14% @ 22x
•9% @ 20x
🖨️ Applied Materials $AMAT **
•13% @ 20x
•11% @ 19x
📠 ASML Holding $ASML **
•13% @ 28x
•11% @ 27x
🤖 Nvidia $NVDA *
•12% @ 30x
•9% @ 28x
💵 PayPal $PYPL *
•14% @ 21x
•12% @ 20x
💳 Visa $V **
•12% @ 30x
•9% @ 28x
___
* Fiscal Year (FY ending 2026 / Jan 2027)
**FY ending 2027
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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Parnassus on Atlassian $TEAM US
Thesis: Atlassian’s industry-leading software and cloud migration provide a strong foundation for long-term growth and margin expansion
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/dx06YPFRgD
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Parnassus on Atlassian $TEAM US
Thesis: Atlassian’s industry-leading software and cloud migration provide a strong foundation for long-term growth and margin expansion
(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/dx06YPFRgD
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Quiver Quantitative
The new continuing resolution appears to have removed almost all of the items specifically called out by @elonmusk.
- No pay raise for Congress
- No transfer of the RFK stadium land
- No "justice-involved individuals" and "individuals experiencing homelessness" language changes
- No Global Engagement Center extension
- No section on "Pandemic Preparedness and Response"
Still working on reading through the details - follow here for updates.
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The new continuing resolution appears to have removed almost all of the items specifically called out by @elonmusk.
- No pay raise for Congress
- No transfer of the RFK stadium land
- No "justice-involved individuals" and "individuals experiencing homelessness" language changes
- No Global Engagement Center extension
- No section on "Pandemic Preparedness and Response"
Still working on reading through the details - follow here for updates.
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