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Hidden Value Gems
Quite interesting how a group of researchers has developed a tool using ChatGPT to predict analyst actions after earning calls (change in PT and earning estimates).

The tool categorises the questions asked, and the answers given along four key dimensions:
- Growth potential of the company
- Earnings quality
- Quality of management
- Risks to the company

ChatGPT then scored scored each category which had a strong predictive power.

h/t Joachim Klement
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Oakmark on TIS $3626 JP

Thesis: TIS, Inc. is well-positioned to capitalize on Japan’s growing demand for IT services, driven by digital transformation and a strong management team focused on strategic capital allocation.

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/OOHBGnLlQx
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Ennismore on Wise Plc $WISE LN

Thesis: Wise’s efficient, scalable business model and customer-first approach position it for sustained mid-teens growth, offering a compelling 8% FCF yield as the company matures into a global payments leader

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/rDJVhdISIq
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Startup Archive
Brian Armstrong on the importance of disagreeableness if you want to do important things

“What I’ve realized about a lot of people who I think are building important things in the world is that they’ve developed this high disagreeableness muscle where they’ve recognized that they’re not going to make everybody happy and they’ve made peace with it.”

He gives Mark Zuckerberg as an example.

“They realized at a certain point that whether I do the thing that I think everyone’s going to like or the thing that is more authentic to me, someone’s going to be pissed no matter what .So at the end of the day, I’m just going to do the thing that I think is right. And they’ve leaned more into authenticity instead of trying to say what they think people want to hear. And that does require you to have thick skin and some kind of high disagreeableness. And then they can actually do even more interesting stuff because they’re being themselves instead of trying to be liked.”

This is something Brian himself is even trying to work on. And of course there are limits — you don’t want to get to a place where you’re listening to nobody. You want people around you have your best interest at heart and to listen to them. But for people who don’t have your best interest at heart, you need to build the ability to ignore them.

“It’s a real superpower to care less what other people think — at least people who don’t have your best interests at heart.”

Video source: @StevenBartlett (2022)
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Semiconductor Valuations & EPS Growth Est📈

Nvidia $NVDA
•NTM P/E: 40.62x*
•2026 EPS: $4.19 (+46.7%)*
•2027 EPS: $5.01 (+19.6%)
•2028 EPS: $5.27 (+5.2%)

Applied Materials $AMAT
•NTM P/E: 17.88x*
•2025 EPS: $9.55 (+10.4%)*
•2026 EPS: $10.77 (+12.8%)
•2027 EPS: $11.94 (+10.9%)

ASML Holding $ASML
•NTM P/E: 40.62x*
•2025 EPS: $24.65 (+21.9%)*
•2026 EPS: $31.31 (+27.0%)
•2027 EPS: $38.22 (+22.8%)

Lam Research $LRCX
•NTM P/E: 19.32x*
•2025 EPS: $3.56 (+17.5%)*
•2026 EPS: $4.23 (+18.7%)
•2027 EPS: $4.83 (+14.2%)

KLA Corp $KLAC
•NTM P/E: 20.01x*
•2025 EPS: $30.69 (+29.3%)*
•2026 EPS: $33.00 (+7.5%)
•2027 EPS: $37.47 (+13.6%)

Analog Devices $ADI
•NTM P/E: 30.31x*
•2025 EPS: $7.48 (+17.9%)*
•2026 EPS: $9.21 (+23.2%)
•2027 EPS: $11.64 (+26.3%)

Texas Instruments $TXN
•NTM P/E: 37.39x*
•2025 EPS: $6.07 (+17.5%)*
•2026 EPS: $7.64 (+25.9%)
•2027 EPS: $9.58 (+25.4%)

Monolithic Power $MPWR
•NTM P/E: 36.45x*
•2025 EPS: $16.78 (+19.4%)*
•2026 EPS: $21.30 (+26.9%)
•2027 EPS: $25.23 (+18.5%)

Advanced Micro Devices $AMD
•NTM P/E: 30.47x*
•2025 EPS: $5.13 (+54.1%)*
•2026 EPS: $7.13 (+39.0%)
•2027 EPS: $9.15 (+28.3%)

Cadence Design Systems $CDNS
•NTM P/E: 43.57x*
•2025 EPS: $6.87 (+15.9%)*
•2026 EPS: $7.95 (+15.8%)
•2027 EPS: $8.81 (+10.8%)

#stocks #investing
___

**data from tikr
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Capital Employed
Our usual quarterly post. 🚨

What's your favorite small/microcap (sub $1 billion) idea right now?

Do feel free to retweet so we can gather more ideas 👍
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Investing visuals
All eyes are on NVIDIA $NVDA reporting earnings tomorrow after hours.

Here's a quick pre-earnings overview 🔍👇

🔹Est. Revenue: $33.1B (+83%)
🔹Est. EPS: $0.75 (+85%) https://t.co/MAcrRCCNy8
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App Economy Insights
Hedge funds' top holdings in Q3:

☁️ Hyperscalers: $AMZN $GOOG $MSFT
⚙️ AI tech stack: $AMD $META $NVDA $TSM
💳 Payments: $MELI $V

Dive in to learn what they were buying!👇
https://t.co/vd1FONr2Yf
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Ennismore on Nelnet $NNI

Thesis: NNI’s undervaluation and growth in its asset-light, high-margin software business make it a hidden gem, with potential catalysts like an IPO of its largest VC holding poised to unlock significant shareholder value

(Extract from their Q3 letter) https://t.co/n6LRWtx4L7
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Hedge funds' best ideas #19 is in your inbox 🔥
(link below)

Includes links to the Q3 letters from Alger / Ariel Investments / Clearbridge / Deep Sail Capital / Ennismore / Gator Capital / Harding Loevner / Longriver Partners Fund / Maran Partners / Miller Value Fund / Munro / Oakmark / Vulcan Value Partners
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Hidden Value Gems
Anyone going to the Sohn Conference in London tomorrow? https://t.co/f6456R5O03
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