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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Senator Tommy Tuberville just disclosed 12 new stock trades.
They were all sales.
Up to $530K of stock sold.
Full trade list up on Quiver: https://t.co/XiURUgFzLF
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BREAKING: Senator Tommy Tuberville just disclosed 12 new stock trades.
They were all sales.
Up to $530K of stock sold.
Full trade list up on Quiver: https://t.co/XiURUgFzLF
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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Gator Capital on Chain Bridge Bancorp $CBNA US
Thesis: CBNA's unique political clientele, high returns, and zero credit risk make it a compelling play in the regional banking sector, with acquisition potential.
(Extract from their Q3 letter, link to the analysis in SAC#64) https://t.co/kj1waXWZKJ
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Gator Capital on Chain Bridge Bancorp $CBNA US
Thesis: CBNA's unique political clientele, high returns, and zero credit risk make it a compelling play in the regional banking sector, with acquisition potential.
(Extract from their Q3 letter, link to the analysis in SAC#64) https://t.co/kj1waXWZKJ
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Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
RT @InsiderRadar: 🚨 JUST IN: New CEO Insider Purchase
The CEO of $PAL just reported the purchase of ~$500K of the company's stock.
This is the first insider buy we have ever seen him make, since the company's IPO earlier this year. https://t.co/ODB27f3IU9
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RT @InsiderRadar: 🚨 JUST IN: New CEO Insider Purchase
The CEO of $PAL just reported the purchase of ~$500K of the company's stock.
This is the first insider buy we have ever seen him make, since the company's IPO earlier this year. https://t.co/ODB27f3IU9
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Offshore
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Investing visuals
RT @ZeevyInvesting: Is Palantir $PLTR in a bubble? 🤔
Let’s look at the facts, as there is quite some debate going on about this on X👇
Valuation ⚖️
• Trades at 39x enterprise value/next-twelve-months revenue: 89% higher than the next-highest software company, Samsara, at 20.6x
• Price-to-sales ratio (forward): 40.3x, vs. a 3-year average of 14.5x
• Price-to-free-cash-flow (forward): 125x, vs. a 3-year average of 68x
Quick conclusion 🔍
All metrics are highly elevated. Does this mean $PLTR is overvalued? Not necessarily. Let’s examine the fundamentals:
• Revenue growth has accelerated to 30%
• Net retention increased to 118% (best-in-class)
• Rule of 40 score: 68 (elite)
• Total customers up +39%
• Very strong balance sheet
My Take 📜
$PLTR is a stellar business with strong execution, positioning itself as the go-to data & AI platform. But to justify its valuation, expectations are sky-high. Here are two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1 – The NVIDIA $NVDA Play 📈
$PLTR fundamentals catch up to its valuation, similar to $NVDA's story. If $PLTR delivers, today’s price might be justified.
Scenario 2 – The Cloudflare $NET Play 📉
Expectations are too high. Even with strong execution, $PLTR may struggle to meet them. This can possibly lead to a significant stock drop similar to Cloudflare in 2022 which declined -80% after a massive run of +500%
--Which scenario do you think will play out?--
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RT @ZeevyInvesting: Is Palantir $PLTR in a bubble? 🤔
Let’s look at the facts, as there is quite some debate going on about this on X👇
Valuation ⚖️
• Trades at 39x enterprise value/next-twelve-months revenue: 89% higher than the next-highest software company, Samsara, at 20.6x
• Price-to-sales ratio (forward): 40.3x, vs. a 3-year average of 14.5x
• Price-to-free-cash-flow (forward): 125x, vs. a 3-year average of 68x
Quick conclusion 🔍
All metrics are highly elevated. Does this mean $PLTR is overvalued? Not necessarily. Let’s examine the fundamentals:
• Revenue growth has accelerated to 30%
• Net retention increased to 118% (best-in-class)
• Rule of 40 score: 68 (elite)
• Total customers up +39%
• Very strong balance sheet
My Take 📜
$PLTR is a stellar business with strong execution, positioning itself as the go-to data & AI platform. But to justify its valuation, expectations are sky-high. Here are two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1 – The NVIDIA $NVDA Play 📈
$PLTR fundamentals catch up to its valuation, similar to $NVDA's story. If $PLTR delivers, today’s price might be justified.
Scenario 2 – The Cloudflare $NET Play 📉
Expectations are too high. Even with strong execution, $PLTR may struggle to meet them. This can possibly lead to a significant stock drop similar to Cloudflare in 2022 which declined -80% after a massive run of +500%
--Which scenario do you think will play out?--
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Ahmad Jivraj
1/8
The Investor's Drawdown
Inspired by “The Struggle” by @bhorowitz
Every investor starts with a vision of success.
You will study the markets diligently and build a diversified portfolio.
You will make smart, calculated decisions based on thorough research.
Your strategy will be sound, and your patience infinite.
It's going to be absolutely perfect.
Then, the market turns against you.
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1/8
The Investor's Drawdown
Inspired by “The Struggle” by @bhorowitz
Every investor starts with a vision of success.
You will study the markets diligently and build a diversified portfolio.
You will make smart, calculated decisions based on thorough research.
Your strategy will be sound, and your patience infinite.
It's going to be absolutely perfect.
Then, the market turns against you.
tweet
Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Deep Sail Capital on Cellebrite $CLBT
Thesis: CLBT's robust growth trajectory and expanding margins set the stage for significant EBITDA outperformance, bolstered by a large untapped market for its solutions.
(Extract from their Q3 letter, link to the analysis in SAC#64) https://t.co/9HChoamJHE
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Deep Sail Capital on Cellebrite $CLBT
Thesis: CLBT's robust growth trajectory and expanding margins set the stage for significant EBITDA outperformance, bolstered by a large untapped market for its solutions.
(Extract from their Q3 letter, link to the analysis in SAC#64) https://t.co/9HChoamJHE
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