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โ Librarian Capital
Re: Philip Morris $PM selling Vectura $VEC at a loss

While the overall outcome was undeniably a poor one, comparing PM's Wellness & Healthcare revenues in 2020 (~$400m) and 2022 ($271m) overstated the amount of decline, due to Vectura one-offs in 2020

@helentbiz https://t.co/e3GAFHcR1Z
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โ Capital Employed
FRESH OFF THE PRESS ๐Ÿ”ฅ

Interview #100 with @lukewinchester9 from @MerewetherCap

Luke discusses...

2 Aussie microcaps he's bullish on
+ much more https://t.co/oautwWvR5B
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โ Investing visuals
Unfortunately, there are some imposters active....๐Ÿ˜ข Could you please help me and report them? Iโ€™d really appreciate it!๐Ÿ™

Imposter accounts๐Ÿ‘‡
1) https://t.co/5VV3SxdmYN
2) https://t.co/Ar25ItADyr
3) https://t.co/gdsN2SXVt0 https://t.co/lSNX7IOEao
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โ Librarian Capital
Why you should write on Substack:

"David Lammy accused of diplomatic blunder in Substack blog post" (FT)

"He plans to write more long-form pieces about world affairs and UK foreign policy"

cc: @SubstackLinda https://t.co/vPWAoq6tJz

Why you should write on Substack, the Mogg edition

Jacob Rees-Mogg has started a Substack this month, despite historically receiving ยฃ1,000 per article from the Telegraph and ยฃ30k per month from GB News

(Source: Register of Members' Financial Interests, May-24) https://t.co/2T4BcCPQX1
- Librarian Capital
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โ Librarian Capital
"We wonโ€™t let โ€˜uniqueโ€™ Rightmove go cheaply, says Baillie Giffordโ€™s McCombie" (Citywire)

"Weโ€™re not going to sell that cheaply"

Baillie Gifford owns 4.03% of $RMV

At 674.4p, shares are ~4% below offer price (~700p, 305p cash + 0.0381 new REA share)

https://t.co/osrAW2cEdz https://t.co/5bhdF1gffA
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โ Librarian Capital
"Murdochโ€™s REA ups offer for Rightmove $RMV to nearly ยฃ5.9bn" (FT)

2nd offer is "750p per share", "roughly 7% increase", "according to people familiar with the matter"

Murdochโ€™s REA ups offer for Rightmove to nearly ยฃ5.9bn https://t.co/QNVf2BfbLd
- Financial Times
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โ Stock Analysis Compilation
VGI Partners on GE Healthcare $GEHC US

GEHCโ€™s independence and focus on optimizing costs, combined with margin expansion potential, offer a promising opportunity for high-teens earnings growth

(Extract from their Q2 letter, link in SAC#56) https://t.co/pg4d3qTGBR
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
โ€œWe don't have to be smarter than the rest. We have to be more disciplined than the rest.โ€

โ€” Warren Buffett ๐Ÿ—ฃ๏ธ

This profound quote highlights the crucial role of discipline in investing. It's not about being the most intelligent or having the best market insights; it's about cultivating the mental toughness to stick to your strategy, even when emotions run high.

In investing, discipline is often the greatest advantage. It allows you to:

1๏ธโƒฃ Stay focused on long-term goals
2๏ธโƒฃ Ignore short-term market fluctuations
3๏ธโƒฃ Avoid impulsive decisions
4๏ธโƒฃ Benefit from compounding returns

Consider Amazon $AMZN as a prime example. Over the past decade:

โŒUNDISCIPLINED Investors may have:
โ€ขโ Sold shares during moments of volatility
โ€ขโ Missed out on substantial gains
โ€ขโ  Rebought shares at higher prices

โœ… DISCIPLINED Investors may have:
โ€ขโ Bought shares 10 years ago and held
โ€ขโ  Weathered market downturns
โ€ขโ Benefited from Amazon's explosive growth (10-year return: ~1,000%)
โ€ขโ Harnessed the power of compounding returns
___

THE DIFFERENCE in results is staggering:

โ€ขโ A $10,000 investment in Amazon 10 years ago would be worth around $110,000 today
โ€ขโ Conversely, an undisciplined investor may have realized significantly lower returns or even losses
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Warren Buffett's quote serves as a reminder that investing success is often more about temperament than intellect ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

#stocks #investing
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD โ€ฆ is $PYPL still undervalued? ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

Letโ€™s have a look at the earnings estimates:

2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)

$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโ€™s assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

20x P/E: $108.00๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~18.6% CAGR

19x P/E: $102.60๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~16.0% CAGR

18x P/E: $97.20๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~13.3% CAGR

17x P/E: $91.80๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~10.5% CAGR

As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages

Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74๐Ÿ’ต appears to still be a decent consideration for investment

#stocks #investing
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๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ.
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