Librarian Capital
"London and New York cocoa prices in rare divergence as shortages bite" (FT) $HSY
London prices lower due to a stock of older, less favored cocoa
Also, "many" HFs were shorting cocoa in NY and now forced to close their bets
EU deforestation rules will reduce supply from Jan-25
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"London and New York cocoa prices in rare divergence as shortages bite" (FT) $HSY
London prices lower due to a stock of older, less favored cocoa
Also, "many" HFs were shorting cocoa in NY and now forced to close their bets
EU deforestation rules will reduce supply from Jan-25
London and New York cocoa prices in rare divergence as shortages bite https://t.co/HNeKpybGOu tweet
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Librarian Capital
Why you should write on Substack, the Mogg edition
Jacob Rees-Mogg has started a Substack this month, despite historically receiving £1,000 per article from the Telegraph and £30k per month from GB News *
(Source: Register of Members' Financial Interests, May-24) https://t.co/9kMmkSjTJI
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Why you should write on Substack, the Mogg edition
Jacob Rees-Mogg has started a Substack this month, despite historically receiving £1,000 per article from the Telegraph and £30k per month from GB News *
(Source: Register of Members' Financial Interests, May-24) https://t.co/9kMmkSjTJI
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Offshore
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Librarian Capital
Why you should write on Substack, the Mogg edition
Jacob Rees-Mogg has started a Substack this month, despite historically receiving £1,000 per article from the Telegraph and £30k per month from GB News
(Source: Register of Members' Financial Interests, May-24) https://t.co/2T4BcCPQX1
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Why you should write on Substack, the Mogg edition
Jacob Rees-Mogg has started a Substack this month, despite historically receiving £1,000 per article from the Telegraph and £30k per month from GB News
(Source: Register of Members' Financial Interests, May-24) https://t.co/2T4BcCPQX1
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Offshore
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Librarian Capital
$HAYPP: The Licensing Committee of the Social Welfare Department of the City of Stockholm was scheduled to meet yesterday (18-Sep) to discuss a proposal to revoke Haypp's "sales permit for tobacco products on the Swedish market". Haypp shares are currently up 6% https://t.co/wsDgPcO2GA
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$HAYPP: The Licensing Committee of the Social Welfare Department of the City of Stockholm was scheduled to meet yesterday (18-Sep) to discuss a proposal to revoke Haypp's "sales permit for tobacco products on the Swedish market". Haypp shares are currently up 6% https://t.co/wsDgPcO2GA
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Librarian Capital
"Booking’s Curbs on Hotels Charging Less Attacked by EU Court" (Bloomberg)
"In a preliminary ruling on Thursday, the EU’s Court of Justice in Luxembourg said that such terms ...are liable to reduce competition"
$BKNG $EXPE
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"Booking’s Curbs on Hotels Charging Less Attacked by EU Court" (Bloomberg)
"In a preliminary ruling on Thursday, the EU’s Court of Justice in Luxembourg said that such terms ...are liable to reduce competition"
$BKNG $EXPE
Booking’s terms preventing hotels from charging less on their own websites risk hurting competition, according to the EU's top court https://t.co/VFzSP4832k tweet
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Stock Analysis Compilation
VGI Partners on London Stock Exchange Group $LSEG LN
LSEG’s transformation into a data and analytics powerhouse, backed by Refinitiv and partnerships like Microsoft, offers significant long-term growth potential
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/7i0K5SS87E
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VGI Partners on London Stock Exchange Group $LSEG LN
LSEG’s transformation into a data and analytics powerhouse, backed by Refinitiv and partnerships like Microsoft, offers significant long-term growth potential
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/7i0K5SS87E
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD … is $PYPL still undervalued? 👇🏽
Let’s have a look at the earnings estimates:
2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)
$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
20x P/E: $108.00💵 … ~18.6% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.60💵 … ~16.0% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.20💵 … ~13.3% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.80💵 … ~10.5% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages
Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74💵 appears to still be a decent consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD … is $PYPL still undervalued? 👇🏽
Let’s have a look at the earnings estimates:
2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)
$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
20x P/E: $108.00💵 … ~18.6% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.60💵 … ~16.0% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.20💵 … ~13.3% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.80💵 … ~10.5% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages
Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74💵 appears to still be a decent consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.
𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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