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Quality Investing with Aria
Yield curve inverted!! Biggest yield curve inversion ever!!! Recession is coming!!
ITS SO OVER MARKET’S GONNA TANK AND $SPY IS GOING TO ZERO
Whatever. Just don’t panic sell, and even if the market does crash. Just keep buying all the way down 🤝 https://t.co/eJrdpY0NjL
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Yield curve inverted!! Biggest yield curve inversion ever!!! Recession is coming!!
ITS SO OVER MARKET’S GONNA TANK AND $SPY IS GOING TO ZERO
Whatever. Just don’t panic sell, and even if the market does crash. Just keep buying all the way down 🤝 https://t.co/eJrdpY0NjL
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Bourbon Capital
If you don't like $LULU and $NKE, you might want to check $LVMH
Louis Vuitton is down 25% from its peak, we might see a lot lower price but the stock just hit Oct 2023 lows and Oct 2023 was a terrible month for the stocks https://t.co/T9cPtgn9tJ
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If you don't like $LULU and $NKE, you might want to check $LVMH
Louis Vuitton is down 25% from its peak, we might see a lot lower price but the stock just hit Oct 2023 lows and Oct 2023 was a terrible month for the stocks https://t.co/T9cPtgn9tJ
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Quality Stocks
🛍 Rough trading day(s) for luxury
Hermes $RMS -6.42% today / -9.42% in a week
LVMH $MC -3.64% today / -8.59% in a week
Kering $KER -1.43% today / -5.19% in a week
Several reasons. Among them:
1️⃣ Economic slowdowS
The effect of the slowdown in China may be accentuated by the slowdown in the US
2️⃣ Sector rotation
Consumer discretionary sector does not perform well during recession. The fear of a potential recession creates a rotation (to healthcare)
3️⃣ Valuation
This is especially true for Hermes, but a PE above 40x requires perfection
4️⃣ French political turmoil
Politics in France creates uncertainties. This probably has an impact on flows, accentuating the previous effects
5️⃣ Low floating capital
The floating capital in low for these companies (50% for LVMH and KER / 30% for RMS). This increases volatility
6️⃣ Commercial war
A potential escalation in the commercial war with China about EV could affect luxury (currently it mostly affect spiritis)
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🛍 Rough trading day(s) for luxury
Hermes $RMS -6.42% today / -9.42% in a week
LVMH $MC -3.64% today / -8.59% in a week
Kering $KER -1.43% today / -5.19% in a week
Several reasons. Among them:
1️⃣ Economic slowdowS
The effect of the slowdown in China may be accentuated by the slowdown in the US
2️⃣ Sector rotation
Consumer discretionary sector does not perform well during recession. The fear of a potential recession creates a rotation (to healthcare)
3️⃣ Valuation
This is especially true for Hermes, but a PE above 40x requires perfection
4️⃣ French political turmoil
Politics in France creates uncertainties. This probably has an impact on flows, accentuating the previous effects
5️⃣ Low floating capital
The floating capital in low for these companies (50% for LVMH and KER / 30% for RMS). This increases volatility
6️⃣ Commercial war
A potential escalation in the commercial war with China about EV could affect luxury (currently it mostly affect spiritis)
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Bourbon Capital
RT @BourbonCap: When the stock is down: 'This stock is garbage.'
When the stock is up: 'I'm a long-term investor; I saw this potential before anyone else did.'
I feel like I'm reading a 10-year-old kid's diary.
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RT @BourbonCap: When the stock is down: 'This stock is garbage.'
When the stock is up: 'I'm a long-term investor; I saw this potential before anyone else did.'
I feel like I'm reading a 10-year-old kid's diary.
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PitchDeckGuy
Is AI a giant bubble that's about to burst?
$AI is -12% today
Here's their pitch deck https://t.co/vgQyEPcWJC
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Is AI a giant bubble that's about to burst?
$AI is -12% today
Here's their pitch deck https://t.co/vgQyEPcWJC
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Quiver Quantitative
I've been writing code to track politicians' portfolios.
Here are the politicians who have made the most in the stock market so far this year, per our estimates.
The congressional salary is $174,000.
Pelosi has made almost 100x that in unrealized gains so far this year. https://t.co/KjkvUDcfQP
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I've been writing code to track politicians' portfolios.
Here are the politicians who have made the most in the stock market so far this year, per our estimates.
The congressional salary is $174,000.
Pelosi has made almost 100x that in unrealized gains so far this year. https://t.co/KjkvUDcfQP
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Librarian Capital
"Pernod Ricard ditches Paris Saint-Germain deal after Marseille backlash" (FT)
Despite its French heritage, the top 5 strategic brands by volume at Pernod Ricard $RI are:
Absolut (vodka)
Jameson (Irish whiskey)
Ballantine's (scotch)
Chivas Regal (scotch)
Malibu (rum) https://t.co/DLiJrV7LdE
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"Pernod Ricard ditches Paris Saint-Germain deal after Marseille backlash" (FT)
Despite its French heritage, the top 5 strategic brands by volume at Pernod Ricard $RI are:
Absolut (vodka)
Jameson (Irish whiskey)
Ballantine's (scotch)
Chivas Regal (scotch)
Malibu (rum) https://t.co/DLiJrV7LdE
Pernod Ricard ditches Paris Saint-Germain deal after Marseille backlash https://t.co/nsTsYHJcBl tweet
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Kamala Harris' campaign reportedly raised $300M in August.
This would be more than double the amount raised by Trump's campaign.
We posted this graphic yesterday, showing how much money different companies' employees have given to the two campaigns: https://t.co/nCCbFSpit2
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BREAKING: Kamala Harris' campaign reportedly raised $300M in August.
This would be more than double the amount raised by Trump's campaign.
We posted this graphic yesterday, showing how much money different companies' employees have given to the two campaigns: https://t.co/nCCbFSpit2
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Librarian Capital
"Unilever agrees sale of Russia business" (FT)
"Expected to bring $ULVR $340-500m, reflecting the required 50% discount on asset sales under Russian law ... $UL will also have to pay 10-15% exit tax" (per Russian media)
Nelson Peltz "had pressed UL ... not to leave Russia"
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"Unilever agrees sale of Russia business" (FT)
"Expected to bring $ULVR $340-500m, reflecting the required 50% discount on asset sales under Russian law ... $UL will also have to pay 10-15% exit tax" (per Russian media)
Nelson Peltz "had pressed UL ... not to leave Russia"
Unilever agrees sale of Russia business to Arnest https://t.co/fMg8HtZdB7 tweet
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Bourbon Capital
Probably nothing
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Probably nothing
$BABA launches a Credit Card in the US, partners with Mastercard
No biggie. https://t.co/dhmCWXqrni tweet
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Librarian Capital
"Youth E-Cigarette Use Drops to Lowest in Decade; Youth Use of Nicotine Pouches Remains Low" (FDA)
Past-30-day e-cig use is 5.9% (PY: 7.7%)
Past-30-day nicotine pouch use is 1.8% (PY: 1.5%)
$PM $BATS $BTI $MO $IMB
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"Youth E-Cigarette Use Drops to Lowest in Decade; Youth Use of Nicotine Pouches Remains Low" (FDA)
Past-30-day e-cig use is 5.9% (PY: 7.7%)
Past-30-day nicotine pouch use is 1.8% (PY: 1.5%)
$PM $BATS $BTI $MO $IMB
Half a million fewer U.S. youth reported current use of e-cigarettes in 2024 compared to 2023, according to new data from the National Youth Tobacco Survey (NYTS) released today: https://t.co/xb5BKdD6JQ https://t.co/yox02Ygkxs tweet