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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
A sober valuation analysis on $PYPL ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 15.37x
โข5-Year Mean: 31.06x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 10.09%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.08%
As you can see, $PYPL appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~102% MORE in earnings per share & ~98% MORE in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $PYPL is a good business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $14.06B
โขLong-Term Debt: $9.68B
$PYPL has an excellent balance sheet, an A- S&P Credit Rating, & 16.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 12.4%
โข2020: 11.5%
โข2021: 13.6%
โข2022: 12.7%
โข2023: 14.8%
โขLTM: 15.7%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 15.2%
โข2020: 22.7%
โข2021: 20.0%
โข2022: 11.5%
โข2023: 20.5%
โขLTM: 21.4%
$PYPL has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2018: $15.45B
โข2023: $29.77B
โขCAGR: 14.01%
FREE CASH FLOWโ*
โข2018: $4.66B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขDecrease: (9.44%)
*FCF in 2017 was $1.86B, so FCF rose ~150% in 2018 start date (โnormalizingโ the decline above)
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2018: $2.42
โข2023: $5.10
โขCAGR: 16.07%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2015 Shares Outstanding: 1.23B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 1.09B
By reducing its shares outstanding by 11.3%, $PYPL increased its EPS by 12.7% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 39.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 16.7%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 14.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~102% MORE in EPS & ~98% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $PYPL has to grow earnings at a 7.69% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly below the (7.69%) required growth rate:
2024E: $4.12 (-19.1% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
2026E: $5.00 (9.7% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโs assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.00 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
18x P/E: $90.00๐ต โฆ ~17.00% CAGR
17x P/E: $85.00๐ต โฆ ~14.4% CAGR
16x P/E: $80.00๐ต โฆ ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >16 earnings & aggressive return potential if we assume >18x earnings
The ๐ isn't a mean reversion in $PYPL's multiple, but a modest increase (still below its historical average) - a reasonable and safe assumption
Thereโs still a ton of negative sentiment around $PYPL and this sentiment can be flipped in just a few quarters if management continues to make progress towards its goals
I believe they will โ however, investors concerned with the โturnaround risksโ associated with $PYPL can still benefit by allocating a smaller % to $PYPL
Today at $66๐ต $PYPL appears to be a strong consideration for investment (albeit, with some turnaround risks & competitive risks)
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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A sober valuation analysis on $PYPL ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 15.37x
โข5-Year Mean: 31.06x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 10.09%
โข5-Year Mean: 5.08%
As you can see, $PYPL appears to be trading below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~102% MORE in earnings per share & ~98% MORE in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $PYPL is a good business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $14.06B
โขLong-Term Debt: $9.68B
$PYPL has an excellent balance sheet, an A- S&P Credit Rating, & 16.16x FFO Interest Coverage
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 12.4%
โข2020: 11.5%
โข2021: 13.6%
โข2022: 12.7%
โข2023: 14.8%
โขLTM: 15.7%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 15.2%
โข2020: 22.7%
โข2021: 20.0%
โข2022: 11.5%
โข2023: 20.5%
โขLTM: 21.4%
$PYPL has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2018: $15.45B
โข2023: $29.77B
โขCAGR: 14.01%
FREE CASH FLOWโ*
โข2018: $4.66B
โข2023: $4.22B
โขDecrease: (9.44%)
*FCF in 2017 was $1.86B, so FCF rose ~150% in 2018 start date (โnormalizingโ the decline above)
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2018: $2.42
โข2023: $5.10
โขCAGR: 16.07%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ
โข2015 Shares Outstanding: 1.23B
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 1.09B
By reducing its shares outstanding by 11.3%, $PYPL increased its EPS by 12.7% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 39.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 16.7%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 14.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~102% MORE in EPS & ~98% MORE in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $PYPL has to grow earnings at a 7.69% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly below the (7.69%) required growth rate:
2024E: $4.12 (-19.1% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
2026E: $5.00 (9.7% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโs assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.00 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
18x P/E: $90.00๐ต โฆ ~17.00% CAGR
17x P/E: $85.00๐ต โฆ ~14.4% CAGR
16x P/E: $80.00๐ต โฆ ~11.7% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >16 earnings & aggressive return potential if we assume >18x earnings
The ๐ isn't a mean reversion in $PYPL's multiple, but a modest increase (still below its historical average) - a reasonable and safe assumption
Thereโs still a ton of negative sentiment around $PYPL and this sentiment can be flipped in just a few quarters if management continues to make progress towards its goals
I believe they will โ however, investors concerned with the โturnaround risksโ associated with $PYPL can still benefit by allocating a smaller % to $PYPL
Today at $66๐ต $PYPL appears to be a strong consideration for investment (albeit, with some turnaround risks & competitive risks)
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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AkhenOsiris
Bank of America analysts predict a multi-year boom for the semiconductor industry, fueled by the surging demand for artificial intelligence.
The bank said in a note that observations from Computex, a tech trade show, highlight a global push towards AI across various sectors.
"We see the semiconductor industry is set for multi-year growth, with the tech titans being all in for AI at Computex," states BofA.
They highlight the increasing presence of AI in everything from data centers to edge computing, PCs, and smartphones. BofA believes this will necessitate larger semiconductor dies to handle the growing volume of data and processing power required for AI applications.
The rapid pace of innovation underscores this demand. "The relentless compute demand rise can be reflected in AMD's and NVIDIA's fast product development cadence of one year," adds BofA.
tweet
Bank of America analysts predict a multi-year boom for the semiconductor industry, fueled by the surging demand for artificial intelligence.
The bank said in a note that observations from Computex, a tech trade show, highlight a global push towards AI across various sectors.
"We see the semiconductor industry is set for multi-year growth, with the tech titans being all in for AI at Computex," states BofA.
They highlight the increasing presence of AI in everything from data centers to edge computing, PCs, and smartphones. BofA believes this will necessitate larger semiconductor dies to handle the growing volume of data and processing power required for AI applications.
The rapid pace of innovation underscores this demand. "The relentless compute demand rise can be reflected in AMD's and NVIDIA's fast product development cadence of one year," adds BofA.
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AkhenOsiris
Copy/pasta from 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, 800, 900, 1000, 1100
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Copy/pasta from 300, 400, 500, 600, 700, 800, 900, 1000, 1100
Make sure to buy todays 1% dip in nvda, itโs the gift of a lifetime - HeadofMicroCapitaltweet
AkhenOsiris
RT @trader_53: *ALPHABET APPOINTMENT OF ANAT ASHKENAZI AS NEW CFO
Ah, so Lilly loses the CFO to Alphabet $GOOG
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RT @trader_53: *ALPHABET APPOINTMENT OF ANAT ASHKENAZI AS NEW CFO
Ah, so Lilly loses the CFO to Alphabet $GOOG
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
10 Quality Stocks That Consistently Achieved ROIC >20% ANNUALLY For The Last 10 Years ๐ธ
๐ Copart $CPRT
โขNTM P/E: 34.23x
โข5-Year Mean: 32.22x
๐ฝ Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
โขNTM P/E: 24.58x
โข5-Year Mean: 21.25x
๐๐ผโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขNTM P/E: 26.42x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.54x
๐ณ Mastercard $MA
โขNTM P/E: 30.45x
โข5-Year Mean: 35.36x
๐ข NVR Inc $NVR
โขNTM P/E: 15.46x
โข5-Year Mean: 14.50x
๐ Old Dominion Freight Line $ODFL
โขNTM P/E: 27.34x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.82x
๐ฐ Automatic Data Processing $ADP
โขNTM P/E: 25.53x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.11x
๐ Apple $AAPL
โขNTM P/E: 28.51x
โข5-Year Mean: 25.80x
๐ฉ Fastenal $FAST
โขNTM P/E: 30.63x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.05x
๐ฉณ Lululemon $LULU
โขNTM P/E: 22.08x
โข5-Year Mean: 42.17x
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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10 Quality Stocks That Consistently Achieved ROIC >20% ANNUALLY For The Last 10 Years ๐ธ
๐ Copart $CPRT
โขNTM P/E: 34.23x
โข5-Year Mean: 32.22x
๐ฝ Taiwan Semiconductor $TSM
โขNTM P/E: 24.58x
โข5-Year Mean: 21.25x
๐๐ผโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขNTM P/E: 26.42x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.54x
๐ณ Mastercard $MA
โขNTM P/E: 30.45x
โข5-Year Mean: 35.36x
๐ข NVR Inc $NVR
โขNTM P/E: 15.46x
โข5-Year Mean: 14.50x
๐ Old Dominion Freight Line $ODFL
โขNTM P/E: 27.34x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.82x
๐ฐ Automatic Data Processing $ADP
โขNTM P/E: 25.53x
โข5-Year Mean: 28.11x
๐ Apple $AAPL
โขNTM P/E: 28.51x
โข5-Year Mean: 25.80x
๐ฉ Fastenal $FAST
โขNTM P/E: 30.63x
โข5-Year Mean: 29.05x
๐ฉณ Lululemon $LULU
โขNTM P/E: 22.08x
โข5-Year Mean: 42.17x
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
~2 & 1/2 months ago I shared my โsober valuation analysis ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธโ on $QLYS stating:
โAlbeit, for investors that prefer to consider the downside first (as myself) the current assumptions donโt leave us with a margin of safety
Iโd become interested in $QLYS closer to 28x earnings or at $145๐ต (~12.5% below todays price)
I understand I may be asking for too much on the valuation โ however I donโt view it that way considering competition in the sector & $QLYS slowdown in growth which could lead to a re-rating in its multipleโ
Since then, $QLYS dropped ~18% & is currently trading at $134.73๐ต, slightly below my $145๐ต target
While I remain interested in $QLYS, I'm hesitant to add shares at present due to the competitive landscape, sector slowdown, preference to own $FTNT & $PANW over $QLYS, and the availability of other attractive opportunities in the market that have a wider moat
#stocks #investing"
A sober valuation analysis on $QLYS ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 32.03x
โข5-Year Mean: 37.39x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 3.58%
โข5-Year Mean: 3.63%
As you can see, $QLYS appears to be trading slightly below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~17% MORE in earnings per share & about the same in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $QLYS is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $425.56M
โขLong-Term Debt: $0
$QLYS has an excellent balance sheet
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 16.5%
โข2020: 20.9%
โข2021: 23.7%
โข2022: 39.4%
โข2023: 41.1%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 18.6%
โข2020: 23.1%
โข2021: 16.9%
โข2022: 29.8%
โข2023: 46.1%
$QLYS has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $107.96M
โข2023: $554.46M
โขCAGR: 17.77%
FREE CASH FLOWโ
โข2013: $11.43M
โข2023: $235.82M
โขCAGR: 35.34%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $0.20
โข2023: $5.27
โขCAGR: 38.70%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ / โ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 35.97M
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 37.60M
However, from 2018 - 2023, $QLYS reduced its shares outstanding ~10.2%, increasing its EPS by ~11.3% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 80.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 29.4%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 27.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~17% MORE in EPS & about the same in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $QLYS has to grow earnings at a 16.02% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be less than the (16.02%) required growth rate:
2024E: $5.19 (-1.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $5.71 (10.1% YoY)
2026E: $6.67 (16.8% YoY)
$QLYS has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $QLYS ends 2026 with $6.67 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
35x P/E: $233.45๐ต โฆ ~13.5% CAGR
32.5x P/E: $216.77๐ต โฆ ~10.4% CAGR
30x P/E: $200.10๐ต โฆ ~7.3% CAGR
As you can see, $QLYS needs to trade closer to >32.5x earnings for it to have double-digit return potential
This isnโt unreasonable given $QLYS historical valuation & financial efficiency โ moreover, $QLYS has maintained fairly strong support near that 32.5x level
$QLYS appears to be a great business treading for a fair price
Albeit, for investors that prefer to consider the downside first (as myself) the current assumptions donโt leave us with a margin of safety
Iโd become interested in $QLYS closer to 28x earnings or at $145๐ต (~12.5% below todays price)
I understand I may be asking for too much on the valuation โ however I donโt view it that way considering competition in the sector & $QLYS slowdown in growth which could lead to a re-rating in its multiple
[...]
~2 & 1/2 months ago I shared my โsober valuation analysis ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธโ on $QLYS stating:
โAlbeit, for investors that prefer to consider the downside first (as myself) the current assumptions donโt leave us with a margin of safety
Iโd become interested in $QLYS closer to 28x earnings or at $145๐ต (~12.5% below todays price)
I understand I may be asking for too much on the valuation โ however I donโt view it that way considering competition in the sector & $QLYS slowdown in growth which could lead to a re-rating in its multipleโ
Since then, $QLYS dropped ~18% & is currently trading at $134.73๐ต, slightly below my $145๐ต target
While I remain interested in $QLYS, I'm hesitant to add shares at present due to the competitive landscape, sector slowdown, preference to own $FTNT & $PANW over $QLYS, and the availability of other attractive opportunities in the market that have a wider moat
#stocks #investing"
A sober valuation analysis on $QLYS ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
โขNTM P/E Ratio: 32.03x
โข5-Year Mean: 37.39x
โขNTM FCF Yield: 3.58%
โข5-Year Mean: 3.63%
As you can see, $QLYS appears to be trading slightly below fair value
Going forward, investors can receive ~17% MORE in earnings per share & about the same in FCF per share ๐ง ***
Before we get into valuation, letโs take a look at why $QLYS is a quality business
BALANCE SHEETโ
โขCash & Short-Term Inv: $425.56M
โขLong-Term Debt: $0
$QLYS has an excellent balance sheet
RETURN ON CAPITALโ
โข2019: 16.5%
โข2020: 20.9%
โข2021: 23.7%
โข2022: 39.4%
โข2023: 41.1%
RETURN ON EQUITYโ
โข2019: 18.6%
โข2020: 23.1%
โข2021: 16.9%
โข2022: 29.8%
โข2023: 46.1%
$QLYS has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business
REVENUESโ
โข2013: $107.96M
โข2023: $554.46M
โขCAGR: 17.77%
FREE CASH FLOWโ
โข2013: $11.43M
โข2023: $235.82M
โขCAGR: 35.34%
NORMALIZED EPSโ
โข2013: $0.20
โข2023: $5.27
โขCAGR: 38.70%
SHARE BUYBACKSโ / โ
โข2013 Shares Outstanding: 35.97M
โขLTM Shares Outstanding: 37.60M
However, from 2018 - 2023, $QLYS reduced its shares outstanding ~10.2%, increasing its EPS by ~11.3% (assuming 0 growth)
MARGINSโ
โขLTM Gross Margins: 80.6%
โขLTM Operating Margins: 29.4%
โขLTM Net Income Margins: 27.3%
***NOW TO VALUATION ๐ง
As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~17% MORE in EPS & about the same in FCF per share
Using Benjamin Grahamโs 2G rule of thumb, $QLYS has to grow earnings at a 16.02% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation
Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be less than the (16.02%) required growth rate:
2024E: $5.19 (-1.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $5.71 (10.1% YoY)
2026E: $6.67 (16.8% YoY)
$QLYS has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $QLYS ends 2026 with $6.67 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
35x P/E: $233.45๐ต โฆ ~13.5% CAGR
32.5x P/E: $216.77๐ต โฆ ~10.4% CAGR
30x P/E: $200.10๐ต โฆ ~7.3% CAGR
As you can see, $QLYS needs to trade closer to >32.5x earnings for it to have double-digit return potential
This isnโt unreasonable given $QLYS historical valuation & financial efficiency โ moreover, $QLYS has maintained fairly strong support near that 32.5x level
$QLYS appears to be a great business treading for a fair price
Albeit, for investors that prefer to consider the downside first (as myself) the current assumptions donโt leave us with a margin of safety
Iโd become interested in $QLYS closer to 28x earnings or at $145๐ต (~12.5% below todays price)
I understand I may be asking for too much on the valuation โ however I donโt view it that way considering competition in the sector & $QLYS slowdown in growth which could lead to a re-rating in its multiple
[...]
Offshore
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ ~2 & 1/2 months ago I shared my โsober valuation analysis ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธโ on $QLYS stating: โAlbeit, for investors that prefer to consider the downside first (as myself) the current assumptions donโt leave us with a margin of safetyโฆ
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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AkhenOsiris
RT @qcapital2020: The only logical outcome here is he becomes a Billionaire, gets arrested for market manipulation, the apes storm prison to save him, riots break out everywhere, the FED cut rates to zero, New President Trump gives him a presidential pardon, he becomes new FED chairman. $GME
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RT @qcapital2020: The only logical outcome here is he becomes a Billionaire, gets arrested for market manipulation, the apes storm prison to save him, riots break out everywhere, the FED cut rates to zero, New President Trump gives him a presidential pardon, he becomes new FED chairman. $GME
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
Analyzing why Seeโs Candy was one of Berkshireโs greatest investments (acquired for $25M, meanwhile the company has earned over $2B pre-tax), Warren Buffett writes:
โThe company had a huge asset that did not appear on its balance sheet: a broad and durable competitive advantage that gave it significant pricing powerโ
โ 2014 Berkshire Shareholder Letter ๐
Your assessment of a companyโs competitive advantage and its durability is one of the most critical factors when investing โผ๏ธ
#stocks #investing
tweet
Analyzing why Seeโs Candy was one of Berkshireโs greatest investments (acquired for $25M, meanwhile the company has earned over $2B pre-tax), Warren Buffett writes:
โThe company had a huge asset that did not appear on its balance sheet: a broad and durable competitive advantage that gave it significant pricing powerโ
โ 2014 Berkshire Shareholder Letter ๐
Your assessment of a companyโs competitive advantage and its durability is one of the most critical factors when investing โผ๏ธ
#stocks #investing
tweet
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
10 Quality Stocks 2018-2023 EPS CAGR | >10% EPS Growth (Estimates) In 2025 & 2026 | LTM ROIC ๐ต
๐จ Sherwin-Williams $SHW
โขEPS CAGR: 10.86%
โข2025E: $12.72 (11.5% YoY)
โข2026E: $14.26 (12.1% YoY)
โขROIC: 21.6%
๐ณ Visa $V
โขEPS CAGR: 13.72%
โข2025E: $11.19 (12.4% YoY)
โข2026E: $12.66 (13.1% YoY)
โขROIC: 34.7%
๐งฌ Thermo Fisher $TMO
โขEPS CAGR: 14.14%
โข2025E: $24.34 (12.1% YoY)
โข2026E: $27.16 (11.6% YoY)
โขROIC: 8.9%
๐ฌ Danaher $DHR
โขEPS CAGR: 10.89%
โข2025E: $8.75 (14.8% YoY)
โข2026E: $9.70 (10.9% YoY)
โขROIC: 7.2%
๐๐ปโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขEPS CAGR: 18.58%
โข2025E: $14.40 (10.3% YoY)
โข2026E: $15.90 (10.4% YoY)
โขROIC: 26.2%
๐ Old Dominion Freight $ODFL
โขEPS CAGR: 18.00%
โข2025E: $7.14 (18.7% YoY)
โข2026E: $7.88 (10.5% YoY)
โขROIC: 33.9%
๐ต PayPal $PYPL
โขEPS CAGR: 16.07%
โข2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $5.02 (10.0% YoY)
โขROIC: 15.7%
๐ธ Mastercard $MA
โขEPS CAGR: 13.56%
โข2025E: $16.59 (16.3% YoY)
โข2026E: $19.36 (16.7% YoY)
โขROIC: 64.1%
๐ฑ๏ธ Alphabet $GOOG $GOOGL
โขEPS CAGR: 21.50%
โข2025E: $8.55 (13.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $9.77 (14.2% YoY)
โขROIC: 30.2%
๐ถ Zoetis $ZTS
โขEPS CAGR: 11.19%
โข2025E: $6.38 (10.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $7.02 (10.0% YoY)
โขROIC: 26.2%
#stocks #investing
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10 Quality Stocks 2018-2023 EPS CAGR | >10% EPS Growth (Estimates) In 2025 & 2026 | LTM ROIC ๐ต
๐จ Sherwin-Williams $SHW
โขEPS CAGR: 10.86%
โข2025E: $12.72 (11.5% YoY)
โข2026E: $14.26 (12.1% YoY)
โขROIC: 21.6%
๐ณ Visa $V
โขEPS CAGR: 13.72%
โข2025E: $11.19 (12.4% YoY)
โข2026E: $12.66 (13.1% YoY)
โขROIC: 34.7%
๐งฌ Thermo Fisher $TMO
โขEPS CAGR: 14.14%
โข2025E: $24.34 (12.1% YoY)
โข2026E: $27.16 (11.6% YoY)
โขROIC: 8.9%
๐ฌ Danaher $DHR
โขEPS CAGR: 10.89%
โข2025E: $8.75 (14.8% YoY)
โข2026E: $9.70 (10.9% YoY)
โขROIC: 7.2%
๐๐ปโโ๏ธ Pool Corp $POOL
โขEPS CAGR: 18.58%
โข2025E: $14.40 (10.3% YoY)
โข2026E: $15.90 (10.4% YoY)
โขROIC: 26.2%
๐ Old Dominion Freight $ODFL
โขEPS CAGR: 18.00%
โข2025E: $7.14 (18.7% YoY)
โข2026E: $7.88 (10.5% YoY)
โขROIC: 33.9%
๐ต PayPal $PYPL
โขEPS CAGR: 16.07%
โข2025E: $4.56 (10.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $5.02 (10.0% YoY)
โขROIC: 15.7%
๐ธ Mastercard $MA
โขEPS CAGR: 13.56%
โข2025E: $16.59 (16.3% YoY)
โข2026E: $19.36 (16.7% YoY)
โขROIC: 64.1%
๐ฑ๏ธ Alphabet $GOOG $GOOGL
โขEPS CAGR: 21.50%
โข2025E: $8.55 (13.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $9.77 (14.2% YoY)
โขROIC: 30.2%
๐ถ Zoetis $ZTS
โขEPS CAGR: 11.19%
โข2025E: $6.38 (10.6% YoY)
โข2026E: $7.02 (10.0% YoY)
โขROIC: 26.2%
#stocks #investing
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AkhenOsiris
$NVDA
Nvidia is a โgenerational opportunityโ that could grow to become 10-15% of the S&P 500 index, Evercore ISI analysts said.
Nvidia is not just a semiconductor company but an โecosystem playโ set to lead the age of parallel processing. โdriven by an every 15-20 year Tectonic Shift in Computing."
Analysts posit that Nvidia's current breakout above $1,000 per share has "unlocked the door" for the stock to hit as high as $1,500, a projection supported by the strong performance of the Semiconductor Index, which has risen by 87% since October 2023, though still short of the historic tech bubble surge.
Evercore's analysis indicates that Nvidia's growth is far from reaching its peak, with the firm outlining a base case for Nvidia's earnings per share (EPS) power in 2030 at $69, and a bull case reaching $82.
This projection โcould be conservative if 2030 prospective โstart dateโ for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) materializes,โ the note states.
It also highlights that while high-profile stock splits often fuel short-term volatility, they also โreset the generational buying opportunity, time after time.โ Nvidia's upcoming 10:1 stock split is expected to be a catalyst for a temporary surge followed by a strategic buying opportunity for patient investors.
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$NVDA
Nvidia is a โgenerational opportunityโ that could grow to become 10-15% of the S&P 500 index, Evercore ISI analysts said.
Nvidia is not just a semiconductor company but an โecosystem playโ set to lead the age of parallel processing. โdriven by an every 15-20 year Tectonic Shift in Computing."
Analysts posit that Nvidia's current breakout above $1,000 per share has "unlocked the door" for the stock to hit as high as $1,500, a projection supported by the strong performance of the Semiconductor Index, which has risen by 87% since October 2023, though still short of the historic tech bubble surge.
Evercore's analysis indicates that Nvidia's growth is far from reaching its peak, with the firm outlining a base case for Nvidia's earnings per share (EPS) power in 2030 at $69, and a bull case reaching $82.
This projection โcould be conservative if 2030 prospective โstart dateโ for Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) materializes,โ the note states.
It also highlights that while high-profile stock splits often fuel short-term volatility, they also โreset the generational buying opportunity, time after time.โ Nvidia's upcoming 10:1 stock split is expected to be a catalyst for a temporary surge followed by a strategic buying opportunity for patient investors.
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