Offshore
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ RT @DimitryNakhla: 3 months ago I shared my analysis on $RMD suggesting it was undervalued & a good consideration at $174๐ต Since that post, $RMD is now trading ~25% higher As I stated in my analysis: โAs you can see, weโdโฆ
โฆ ~14.3% CAGR
25x P/E: $217.50๐ต โฆ ~10.7% CAGR
23x P/E: $200.10๐ต โฆ ~7.0% CAGR
As you can see, weโd have to assume at least 25x earnings for $RMD to have attractive CAGR potential
This is well below $RMD 10-Year average multiple of 28.96x
Yet, I believe the 10-Year multiple is elevated and we shouldnโt rely on it
Given its quality & historical growth rates, I believe itโs reasonable for $RMD to trade somewhere in between 25x - 27x, making it a fair purchase today at $174๐ต
However, if you want a greater margin of safety, $RMD is an even better consideration at $148๐ต or for 20x NTM earnings
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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25x P/E: $217.50๐ต โฆ ~10.7% CAGR
23x P/E: $200.10๐ต โฆ ~7.0% CAGR
As you can see, weโd have to assume at least 25x earnings for $RMD to have attractive CAGR potential
This is well below $RMD 10-Year average multiple of 28.96x
Yet, I believe the 10-Year multiple is elevated and we shouldnโt rely on it
Given its quality & historical growth rates, I believe itโs reasonable for $RMD to trade somewhere in between 25x - 27x, making it a fair purchase today at $174๐ต
However, if you want a greater margin of safety, $RMD is an even better consideration at $148๐ต or for 20x NTM earnings
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. "- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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The Long Investor
How many times have we heard of short sellers getting burnt by $TSLA (down $6 Billion this month)
You are buying @elonmusk when you are buying $TSLA
He has the ability to destroy you and your shorts in one tweet.
Heโs that CEO who will jump on a plane and go to China to get what he needs to get done and will do this at the drop of a hat.
I will never for the life of me understand why anyone feels they have the knowledge to short any stock.
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How many times have we heard of short sellers getting burnt by $TSLA (down $6 Billion this month)
You are buying @elonmusk when you are buying $TSLA
He has the ability to destroy you and your shorts in one tweet.
Heโs that CEO who will jump on a plane and go to China to get what he needs to get done and will do this at the drop of a hat.
I will never for the life of me understand why anyone feels they have the knowledge to short any stock.
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The Long Investor
$PYPL is up 32% over the last 6 months
This not a meme stock
Itโs a $70 Billion market cap company and to be up 32% in a half a year is not a bad performance.
You want a steady climb in the right direction, you donโt want parabolic moves, charts break down when this happens.
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$PYPL is up 32% over the last 6 months
This not a meme stock
Itโs a $70 Billion market cap company and to be up 32% in a half a year is not a bad performance.
You want a steady climb in the right direction, you donโt want parabolic moves, charts break down when this happens.
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Offshore
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The Long Investor
Out of the 36 Mega Cap Companies in the S&P 500
17 of them are below their 50 Day MA
$MSFT
$META
$BRK-B
$LLY
$V
$MA
And 5 are below their 200 Day MA:
$AAPL
$TSLA
$ADBE
$JNJ
$UNH https://t.co/sMxWOwleJ4
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Out of the 36 Mega Cap Companies in the S&P 500
17 of them are below their 50 Day MA
$MSFT
$META
$BRK-B
$LLY
$V
$MA
And 5 are below their 200 Day MA:
$AAPL
$TSLA
$ADBE
$JNJ
$UNH https://t.co/sMxWOwleJ4
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTS 04/30/24 ๐๏ธ
Before Open โ๏ธ
$PYPL $LLY $KO $MCD $AMT $ITW $APD
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After Close ๐
$AMZN $AMD $SBUX $SYK
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#stocks #investing
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NOTABLE EARNINGS REPORTS 04/30/24 ๐๏ธ
Before Open โ๏ธ
$PYPL $LLY $KO $MCD $AMT $ITW $APD
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After Close ๐
$AMZN $AMD $SBUX $SYK
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#stocks #investing
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Offshore
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๎จ Q-Cap ๎จ
$MSTR
Saylor is gonna leverage the shit out of this thing.
He's going for "richest man in the world" or Bill Hwang status.
There won't be an in between.
" Strong Capital Structure" is my fave part of the slide https://t.co/HAeoftAGdh
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$MSTR
Saylor is gonna leverage the shit out of this thing.
He's going for "richest man in the world" or Bill Hwang status.
There won't be an in between.
" Strong Capital Structure" is my fave part of the slide https://t.co/HAeoftAGdh
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AkhenOsiris
$TSLA
Adam "$100 ๐ป case in play" Jonas is back:
Jonas highlights the symbolic importance of Muskโs engagement with Chinese officials, suggesting that it could alleviate worries about Teslaโs profitability in China, which reportedly contributes up to half of Teslaโs profits.
Jonas also delves into the intersection of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, stating that the ongoing revolution in Large Language Models (LLM) and General AI (Gen AI) is still in its early stages in terms of merging with robotics.
Traditionally, LLM and robotics were viewed as separate fields, but Jonas suggests thereโs significant overlap in how advancements in LLM can expedite the training and learning processes of robots, whether theyโre shaped like cars or humanoid.
He metaphorically describes the relationship between AI and robotics, likening it to the AI โbrainโ searching for its robotic โbody,โ with the body serving as the vessel for the AIโs โsoul.โ This metaphor underscores the symbiotic relationship between AI and robotics in their development and evolution.
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$TSLA
Adam "$100 ๐ป case in play" Jonas is back:
Jonas highlights the symbolic importance of Muskโs engagement with Chinese officials, suggesting that it could alleviate worries about Teslaโs profitability in China, which reportedly contributes up to half of Teslaโs profits.
Jonas also delves into the intersection of artificial intelligence (AI) and robotics, stating that the ongoing revolution in Large Language Models (LLM) and General AI (Gen AI) is still in its early stages in terms of merging with robotics.
Traditionally, LLM and robotics were viewed as separate fields, but Jonas suggests thereโs significant overlap in how advancements in LLM can expedite the training and learning processes of robots, whether theyโre shaped like cars or humanoid.
He metaphorically describes the relationship between AI and robotics, likening it to the AI โbrainโ searching for its robotic โbody,โ with the body serving as the vessel for the AIโs โsoul.โ This metaphor underscores the symbiotic relationship between AI and robotics in their development and evolution.
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AkhenOsiris
$AMZN
Blog Post:
After delivering at our fastest speeds ever in 2023, Amazon set new records for Prime delivery speeds in the first three months of 2024, with more than two billion items arriving the same or next day to Prime members around the world. In March, nearly 60% of Prime member orders arrived the same or next day across the top 60 largest U.S. metro areas, and we delivered three out of four items the same or next day in London, Tokyo, and Toronto.
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$AMZN
Blog Post:
After delivering at our fastest speeds ever in 2023, Amazon set new records for Prime delivery speeds in the first three months of 2024, with more than two billion items arriving the same or next day to Prime members around the world. In March, nearly 60% of Prime member orders arrived the same or next day across the top 60 largest U.S. metro areas, and we delivered three out of four items the same or next day in London, Tokyo, and Toronto.
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AkhenOsiris
$CRWD
CrowdStrike today announced that it has been named a Leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Managed Detection and Response Services (MDR) 2024 Vendor Assessment1.
CrowdStrike was also recently named a Leader in Frost & Sullivan's Frost Radar: Managed Detection and Response 2024, recognized as the growth leader among 22 vendors evaluated and an "innovator and powerhouse" in the MDR sector.
The IDC MarketScape report went on to say, "IDC recognizes that there is a push โto the platform' that is occurring in cybersecurity. This is worthy of mention as CrowdStrike has a wide depth and breadth of capabilities built into its Falcon platform that provides the technology muscle for its MDR offering."
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$CRWD
CrowdStrike today announced that it has been named a Leader in the IDC MarketScape: Worldwide Managed Detection and Response Services (MDR) 2024 Vendor Assessment1.
CrowdStrike was also recently named a Leader in Frost & Sullivan's Frost Radar: Managed Detection and Response 2024, recognized as the growth leader among 22 vendors evaluated and an "innovator and powerhouse" in the MDR sector.
The IDC MarketScape report went on to say, "IDC recognizes that there is a push โto the platform' that is occurring in cybersecurity. This is worthy of mention as CrowdStrike has a wide depth and breadth of capabilities built into its Falcon platform that provides the technology muscle for its MDR offering."
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Clark Square Capital
Exited at the open at HKD 33.
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Exited at the open at HKD 33.
Finally, L'Occitane gets an offer from the Chairman at HKD 34 per share.
The Chairman needs 90% approval from disinterested parties. So far, they've only locked up 38%.
Will we see a deal bump to get this through? tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Clark Square Capital (@ClarkSquareCap) on X
Finally, L'Occitane gets an offer from the Chairman at HKD 34 per share.
The Chairman needs 90% approval from disinterested parties. So far, they've only locked up 38%.
Will we see a deal bump to get this through?
The Chairman needs 90% approval from disinterested parties. So far, they've only locked up 38%.
Will we see a deal bump to get this through?
Offshore
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Hidden Value Gems
"Your performance tends to improve if you stop comparing it to other investors or some arbitrary benchmark. If you focus only on your investment process and what you can control, you are less stressed about your investment and give them more time to create long-term performance."
h/t Joachim Klement
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"Your performance tends to improve if you stop comparing it to other investors or some arbitrary benchmark. If you focus only on your investment process and what you can control, you are less stressed about your investment and give them more time to create long-term performance."
h/t Joachim Klement
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