Brandon Beylo
Idaho Strategic $IDR has been proving you wrong for years @hendry_hugh.

You should check them out.

I wrote a long time ago that gold miners were a complete waste of time

All huff with no puff

All risk and no return

That if you're bullish on gold, just own more gold to amplify your returns

The only rational for the miners today is their catastrophic price performance

Gold has quadrupled and they're flat

F-L-A-T

Someone with a bloomy terminal, do me the relative value chart of long one unit of gold versus one unit of GDX, the gold mining index over last 20 years. Has been one of the least discussed and best trades of all time. - Hugh Hendry Eclectica
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iinvested
RT @hurdle_rate: I like this free site. does fine
https://t.co/5DmjF2QciV

Finchat has one too thats free
https://t.co/pS7BBHxrRg

Another batch of Q1 Letters added 📚

64 newsletters so far. You will not find a bigger and better collection of quarterly investment letters anywhere else in the world.

Especially the letters of many 'under-the-radar' small/microcap investors. 👇

https://t.co/sjzPLNqIuj https://t.co/JkICvItBwt - Capital Employed
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Hidden Value Gems
$KER.PA #Kering is trading at 15x next year earnings, having profit warned twice this year.

Stock down 38% in 5 years (-44% in one year).

Where do you buy it?
- At current level (€327)
- 5-15% lower
- When Gucci starts perform
- 15-25% lower
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The Long Investor
HSI went above its 200 DAY MA for the first time since July ‘23 today.

HSI continues to behave bullish while the $SPY moves into correction territory.

Right now they are in perfect opposite step.
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The Long Investor
HSI 6 days ago I said this was moving in an impulse wave.

Wave C hit and bounced to the 200 Day MA and bounced 7%

All Chinese boats are rising together right now

$BABA
$BIDU
$YINN
$JD
$KWEB
$NIO

HSI

Johnny who lives in his mothers box room who still believes China is one big rice paddie:
"HSI has crashed this year, wouldn't touch it, only Americana for me'

Reality: Moving in an impulse wave. https://t.co/6DKvQgZlUH - The Long Investor
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The Long Investor
Money doesn’t disappear it rotates to value.
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Antonio Linares
Pessimists sound smart, optimists make money.
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
10 Quality Stocks FCF CAGR >10% In Last 10 Years Trading Below 10 Year Avg FCF Yield 💵

💳 Visa $V
•FCF CAGR: 22.67%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.87%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.83%

📈 MSCI Inc $MSCI
•FCF CAGR: 15.75%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.64%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.37%

📦 Amazon $AMZN
•FCF CAGR: 31.83%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.38%
•Avg FCF Yield: 2.83%

⚡️ Monster Beverage $MNST
•FCF CAGR: 17.38%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.07%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.05%

🩳 Lululemon $LULU
•FCF CAGR: 24.29%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.02%
•Avg FCF Yield: 2.16%

💸 Paychex $PAYX
•FCF CAGR: 10.43%
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.59%
•Avg FCF Yield: 4.37%

⚖️ Mettler-Toledo $MTD
•FCF CAGR: 12.56%
•NTM FCF Yield: 3.27%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.21%

👾 Adobe $ADBE
•FCF CAGR: 21.83%
•NTM FCF Yield: 4.20%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.55%

💰 Automatic Data Processing $ADP
•FCF CAGR: 10.70%
•NTM FCF Yield: 5.04%
•Avg FCF Yield: 4.50%

💄 Ulta Beauty $ULTA
•FCF CAGR: 26.18%
•NTM FCF Yield: 5.88%
•Avg FCF Yield: 3.03%

#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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Giuliano
'There are some things that are important, but unknowable. We don't waste our time with those. We want to focus on those things that are important and knowable.'
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The Long Investor
From 3.4% to 1.6% Q/Q

Earnings will reflect this deterioration

Everything has been aligning for us

U.S. Q1 GDP Q/Q (ADV.): +1.6% vs. +2.5% expected vs. +3.4% previous - Stock Talk
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The Long Investor
Now I have your attention, this message below was sent out on Monday when the market bounced

Let me be very clear here:

This is called exit liquidity so smart money can exit their positions because the rapid decline last week caught them off guard.

- Hot CPI
- US 10 YR rising
- conflict in the Middle East
- precious metals climbing

Was not part of the plan.

Every decline moves in 3 stages

Some call it the initial decline, dead cat bounce and then the final decline

We call it an ABC, 3 wave move.

Whatever you call it, it does not finish after 1 move down.
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The Long Investor
Charts can’t lie because they show you where the smart money have been moving their capital.

This is for all too see

We saw and documented the parabolic moves into silver, gold, copper and the 13% gain into the Chinese markets lately.

This can’t be hidden

$SPY HSI
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Antonio Linares
Over the coming decade, I believe $TSLA stock will go way above $2k/share.

I've been a shareholder since 2016 and if I had sold every time the masses got depressed, $TSLA wouldn't have been a multibagger for me.

Here's my reasoning:

While many primarily view $TSLA as an automaker, it's actually crafting a platform that could be as revolutionary as the internet in terms of impact.

As $TSLA pushes forward with this initiative, it nears a critical juncture that overshadows its past achievements.

Despite the recent swings in $TSLA's stock price, the company has significantly upgraded its manufacturing capabilities from just a year prior.

This is visible in the rising FCF/Op.Margin levels. In the graph below, notice how the metric has not trended up in this manner since 2020.

An increase in this metric indicate Tesla’s ability to produce more free cash flow with lower margins, meaning more efficient manufacturing (and operational) processes.

After the 2020 increment, Tesla proliferated its ability to produce cash, sending the stock up 10X in a very short period of time, hitting an all time high of ~$400 in late 2021.

The above metric suggests that the same is going to happen over the coming years.

You may also notice that the above graph exhibits a cyclical tendency.

This is due to Tesla lowering prices every time it reaches a new threshold of efficiency, in order to share economies of scale with customers. This increases customer loyalty and decreases the cost of acquiring new customers.

Most investors do not get this and as such, cannot truly understand the company.

In turn, this advanced manufacturing skill is driving $TSLA's ambitious ventures into the AI and renewable energy domains.

In the graph below you can see how these two businesses are starting to grow exponentially:

These efforts are coalescing into a "second internet of things," where AI-powered robots perform global tasks autonomously and at a marginal cost, capitalizing on $TSLA's key strength in swift economic optimization.

This platform can redefine the economy.

As $TSLA puts more cars, solar panels and batteries out into the world, it generates more data. This data can then be used to train AI models, which will turn $TSLA into a robotics giant.

To compete with them, you need to put out as much hardware into the world as they do which, given their extreme and ever rising levels of manufacturing efficiency, is almost impossible to do.

As this pool of data expands, so too does $TSLA's prowess in AI, making the moat exponentially stronger.

While the car market faces volatility from rising interest rates and increased competition, if there's something $TSLA can do is create enough gravitas for people to want to buy their cars.

Going forward, the manufacturing efficiency increases together with the gravitas should keep the auto business going, which is after all the business that sustains the company today.

While the market has recently created the narrative that $TLSA needs to create robo-taxis to survive at all, the fact is $TSLA's next gen EVs will likely WOW customers regardless.

While there is no guarantee that $TSLA will succeed, I believe it deserves a place in my portfolio (of not more than a few stocks). $TSLA can fail, but while everyone gets depressed the company is advancing very well on its key value drivers.

I therefore see the odds of the above platform coming to live being much higher than 2 years ago when the market thought that $TSLA was undisruptable.
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The Long Investor
6 days ago I sent this alert out.

$GOOG post earnings drop is going to be violent.

Yes I will be retweeting this next Thursday after they report their earnings.

$GOOG post earnings drop is going to be violent.

Yes I will be retweeting this next Thursday after they report their earnings. - The Long Investor
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