The Long Investor
We made one decision last year that allowed us to beat the market by 56%
Instead of buying the $SPY which many should and I highly recommend for new investors, we decided to allocate up to 50% of our portfolio in $AMZN only instead.
Effectively buying $AMZN as our $SPY.
For two reasons:
Their fundamentals and technicals aligned to be undervalued:
-meaning margins were massively improving, from negative to positive in some cases, growth was continuing across all segments and
-the price was below its 200 Day MA and had declined perfectly down and held support on an oversold Fib level at the 0.78 Fib at $87
We then heavily bought, again at the end of Wave 2 and for a third time at $118 at the end of Wave 4 in October ‘23
We caught the bounces perfect.
There was no luck or gambling, this was low risk
You only need to make 2-3 decisions like this in one year and you can beat the market yourself.
But you will only have the confidence to do this when you understand what to look for and you keep all emotions under control.
Both can be learned.
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We made one decision last year that allowed us to beat the market by 56%
Instead of buying the $SPY which many should and I highly recommend for new investors, we decided to allocate up to 50% of our portfolio in $AMZN only instead.
Effectively buying $AMZN as our $SPY.
For two reasons:
Their fundamentals and technicals aligned to be undervalued:
-meaning margins were massively improving, from negative to positive in some cases, growth was continuing across all segments and
-the price was below its 200 Day MA and had declined perfectly down and held support on an oversold Fib level at the 0.78 Fib at $87
We then heavily bought, again at the end of Wave 2 and for a third time at $118 at the end of Wave 4 in October ‘23
We caught the bounces perfect.
There was no luck or gambling, this was low risk
You only need to make 2-3 decisions like this in one year and you can beat the market yourself.
But you will only have the confidence to do this when you understand what to look for and you keep all emotions under control.
Both can be learned.
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Brandon Beylo
Got tin and solar?
Joe did that!
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Got tin and solar?
Joe did that!
Today, my Administration is investing $7 billion in a new program called Solar for All that will enable over 900,000 low-income households to have solar on their rooftops for the first time.
Solar for All will give folks more breathing room – and cleaner breathing room at that. tweet
Offshore
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Hidden Value Gems
Quite a rare move for a UK company to buy its US peer.
➡️$87.5 offer price (21% premium to yesterday's close).
➡️Implies 10.8x fwd P/E.
➡️100% cash transaction
$JD.L $HIBB https://t.co/nvE6t1lHGU
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Quite a rare move for a UK company to buy its US peer.
➡️$87.5 offer price (21% premium to yesterday's close).
➡️Implies 10.8x fwd P/E.
➡️100% cash transaction
$JD.L $HIBB https://t.co/nvE6t1lHGU
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Offshore
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The Long Investor
HSI is -1% away from being green YTD
In Mid January, it was -12% YTD
In comparison:
$SPY was +10% YTD in March
Now +5% YTD
🤫 https://t.co/aLXErj5RCi
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HSI is -1% away from being green YTD
In Mid January, it was -12% YTD
In comparison:
$SPY was +10% YTD in March
Now +5% YTD
🤫 https://t.co/aLXErj5RCi
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Offshore
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The Long Investor
China Foreign Direct Investment:
The Cycle is clear
It bottomed at the start of 2024 and expects to climb for the remaining part of the year. https://t.co/DW4i0jx1xm
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China Foreign Direct Investment:
The Cycle is clear
It bottomed at the start of 2024 and expects to climb for the remaining part of the year. https://t.co/DW4i0jx1xm
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Antonio Linares
5 companies constructing world class moats in the AI space:
1. $PLTR: The commercial service is transforming into a comprehensive platform. As deployment becomes quicker and simpler with the advent of AIP, $PLTR's ability to tailor its offerings to diverse industries strengthens with each new client addition. This evolving capability is exceedingly challenging for competitors to replicate.
2. $HIMS: Operating within the intricate pharmacy sector, $HIMS has established a vertically integrated, automated, and personalized pharmacy ecosystem catering to the digital-native clientele, while also achieving positive operational cash flow independently of the traditional insurance system. Moreover, as $HIMS continues to treat more patients and gather data throughout the value chain, it is pioneering the world's first AI-driven closed-loop system.
3. $SPOT: Perceived primarily as a music streaming app, $SPOT is actually without true rivals and is on the trajectory to reach 1 billion monthly active users. It uniquely understands user preferences and is expanding into new audio verticals, positioning itself as the potential 'Google of audio.' With its expanding network, $SPOT is poised to develop potent AI models that address the needs of both creators and consumers in ways competitors cannot match.
4. $AMD: With strategic acquisitions like Xilinx and Pensando, and leveraging its own expertise, $AMD is uniquely positioned to offer customized accelerated computing solutions. Each product launch enhances $AMD's capability to provide client-specific computing solutions, a feat difficult for industry competitors to achieve.
5. $TSLA: Beyond being viewed as merely a car manufacturer, $TSLA is creating a synergistic platform that integrates cost-effective energy solutions with cutting-edge AI and hyper-efficient manufacturing. The high entry barriers for each component, and their combination, make it virtually impossible for others to compete. As $TSLA continues to increase its deployment of vehicles and possibly other hardware, the data amassed will facilitate the creation of unique AI models.
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5 companies constructing world class moats in the AI space:
1. $PLTR: The commercial service is transforming into a comprehensive platform. As deployment becomes quicker and simpler with the advent of AIP, $PLTR's ability to tailor its offerings to diverse industries strengthens with each new client addition. This evolving capability is exceedingly challenging for competitors to replicate.
2. $HIMS: Operating within the intricate pharmacy sector, $HIMS has established a vertically integrated, automated, and personalized pharmacy ecosystem catering to the digital-native clientele, while also achieving positive operational cash flow independently of the traditional insurance system. Moreover, as $HIMS continues to treat more patients and gather data throughout the value chain, it is pioneering the world's first AI-driven closed-loop system.
3. $SPOT: Perceived primarily as a music streaming app, $SPOT is actually without true rivals and is on the trajectory to reach 1 billion monthly active users. It uniquely understands user preferences and is expanding into new audio verticals, positioning itself as the potential 'Google of audio.' With its expanding network, $SPOT is poised to develop potent AI models that address the needs of both creators and consumers in ways competitors cannot match.
4. $AMD: With strategic acquisitions like Xilinx and Pensando, and leveraging its own expertise, $AMD is uniquely positioned to offer customized accelerated computing solutions. Each product launch enhances $AMD's capability to provide client-specific computing solutions, a feat difficult for industry competitors to achieve.
5. $TSLA: Beyond being viewed as merely a car manufacturer, $TSLA is creating a synergistic platform that integrates cost-effective energy solutions with cutting-edge AI and hyper-efficient manufacturing. The high entry barriers for each component, and their combination, make it virtually impossible for others to compete. As $TSLA continues to increase its deployment of vehicles and possibly other hardware, the data amassed will facilitate the creation of unique AI models.
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Antonio Linares
$SPOT Q1 2024 earnings are in:
Margins continue to expand, with profitability going up.
Gross margins came in stronger than expected at 27.6%, beating company guidance of 26.4%.
$SPOT said it expects margins to tick up to 28.1% in the second quarter, primarily driven by year-over-year improvements in music and podcasting.
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$SPOT Q1 2024 earnings are in:
Margins continue to expand, with profitability going up.
Gross margins came in stronger than expected at 27.6%, beating company guidance of 26.4%.
$SPOT said it expects margins to tick up to 28.1% in the second quarter, primarily driven by year-over-year improvements in music and podcasting.
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Antonio Linares
Many will be surprised to see $SPOT turning into a cash machine, with some very impressive Q1 results. Here's a summary of why this is happening:
1. $SPOT has no real competition.
2. It is a formidable organization, with essentially the same DNA as $AMZN, $TSLA and other great companies of our time.
3. Over the past few years, they have been focused on growth and on diversifying into new audio verticals (podcasts, audiobooks and newer ones).
4. The push towards podcasts weighed on gross margins, but this pressure is starting to elapse as $SPOT has come to dominate the podcast market.
5. $SPOT is now focused on profitability as well. By adding making money into its list of core priorities, together with its exceptional organizational properties, it's only a matter of time before they make a lot of money.
6. Q1 2024 is just the beginning.
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Many will be surprised to see $SPOT turning into a cash machine, with some very impressive Q1 results. Here's a summary of why this is happening:
1. $SPOT has no real competition.
2. It is a formidable organization, with essentially the same DNA as $AMZN, $TSLA and other great companies of our time.
3. Over the past few years, they have been focused on growth and on diversifying into new audio verticals (podcasts, audiobooks and newer ones).
4. The push towards podcasts weighed on gross margins, but this pressure is starting to elapse as $SPOT has come to dominate the podcast market.
5. $SPOT is now focused on profitability as well. By adding making money into its list of core priorities, together with its exceptional organizational properties, it's only a matter of time before they make a lot of money.
6. Q1 2024 is just the beginning.
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The Long Investor
$TGT has so far made a V shape recovery, the right shoulder now retesting the 200 Day MA would be a nice opportunity for those who missed out on the 80% jump in 5 months. https://t.co/47quhRVfn0
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$TGT has so far made a V shape recovery, the right shoulder now retesting the 200 Day MA would be a nice opportunity for those who missed out on the 80% jump in 5 months. https://t.co/47quhRVfn0
$TGT is now up 73% since its October '23 low when people thought opinions weighed more than fundamentals.
Smart money bought up this undervalued position. tweet
Antonio Linares
Thank you for enduring them ser
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Thank you for enduring them ser
@alc2022 Fantastic. Thank you for the amazing deep dives. tweet
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perezlinaza (@perezlinaza) on X
@alc2022 Fantastic. Thank you for the amazing deep dives.