The Long Investor
The truth about these 4 groups:

You only need 1-3 of these individual stocks to complete their correction and you have a group that you can build your portfolio around for long term.

Every one of these stocks are perfect long term holds

Which is why most of them make up our Top 20 list.

For the last 12 months, I built my portfolio around $AMZN and it has returned 80% for me, as it accounted for nearly 50% of my portfolio.

Build your portfolio around fundamentally strong companies with excellent moats and margins.

If the market corrects shortly, which group would you buy first when the correction completes?

Group A:
$AAPL
$V
$COST

Group B:
$AMZN
$GOOG
$AMD

Group C:
$MSFT
$LLY
$BRK-B

Group D:
$NVDA
$META
$UNH - The Long Investor
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The Long Investor
Why is long term investing so hard for many to do?

1. When there is a 50-61% retracement, this is difficult for any investor to handle, even professionals struggle with this, it is difficult to see beyond the decline and see it as an opportunity

2. It does not trigger our dopamine responses the same way short term gains can give us quick hit

3. It’s slow, boring and the opposite of the life the Wolf of Wall Street promised

4. People struggle to see beyond a 3 month date range, humans are natural short term thinkers.

5. People see the lives of some on social media and they want that immediately, you will never see the sweat and sacrifice that it takes to get to that stage first.

The path to true wealth from investing is found by focusing on Long Term.

$SPY $QQQ
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Clark Square Capital
If you are interested in the Japanese market, do yourself a favor and follow @InvestInJapan

Had the pleasure of speaking to @ClarkSquareCap , and can confirm... he was just as kind and intelligent as you'd imagine!

I'm sure most of you already know him, but if you don't he covers some unique ideas including Japanese ones too! 😃 - Made in Japan 🇯🇵
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Giuliano
Adam Smith was the thinker of economic theory.

Here are some takeaways from An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of The Wealth of Nations: https://t.co/5KYcS3w2oZ
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Clark Square Capital
RT @deusexdividend: Leads with "You gotta turn over a lot of rocks in this biz!" https://t.co/BHkMBDEwuR
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: A sober valuation analysis on $V 🧘🏽‍♂️

•NTM P/E Ratio: 26.83x
•10-Year Mean: 28.01x

•NTM FCF Yield: 4.67%
•10-Year Mean: 3.84%

As you can see, $V appears to be trading above fair value

Going forward, investors can receive ~4% MORE in earnings per share & ~21% MORE in FCF per share 🧠***

Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $V is a quality business

BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Short-Term Inv: $20.13B
•Long-Term Debt: $20.78B

$V has a great balance sheet, an AA- S&P Credit Rating, & 32x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio

RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2019: 27.5%
•2020: 21.4%
•2021: 24.2%
•2022: 30.7%
•2023: 33.7%

RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2019: 35.2%
•2020: 30.7%
•2021: 33.4%
•2022: 40.9%
•2023: 46.5%

$V has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUES✅
•2013: $11.78B
•2023: $32.65B
•CAGR: 10.73%

FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2013: $2.55B
•2023: $19.70B
•CAGR: 22.92%

NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2013: $1.90
•2023: $8.77
•CAGR: 16.52%

SHARE BUYBACKS✅
•2013 Shares Outstanding: 2.62B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 2.07B

By reducing its shares outstanding 21%, $V increased its EPS by 26.5% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 97.8%
•LTM Operating Margins: 67.3%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 53.1%

***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~4% MORE in EPS & ~21% MORE in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $V has to grow earnings at a 13.42% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly less than the (13.42%) required growth rate:

2024E: $9.92 (13.1% YoY) *FY Sep
2025E: $11.18 (12.7% YoY)
2026E: $12.76 (14.2% YoY)

$V has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $V ends 2026 with $12.76 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

30x P/E: $383.80💵 … ~15.5% CAGR

28x P/E: $357.28💵 … ~12.3% CAGR

27x P/E: $344.52💵 … ~10.7% CAGR

26x P/E: $331.76💵 … ~9.0% CAGR

As you can see, $V appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >27x earnings, a multiple slightly below its 10-year mean & more importantly — a multiple justified by its growth rate & quality

I consider $V one of the best businesses in the world & as Warren Buffett says:

“It’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price”

$V is even trading at a valuation slightly better than just a fair price

Today at $272💵 $V appears to be a fairly attractive investment

If I were adding shares of $V today, I’d also leave some extra capital to accumulate even more shares closer to 24x (if it gets there) — roughly 10.5% below today’s price or at ~$245💵

#stocks #investing
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𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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Brandon Beylo
UK stocks have two qualities I love:

1) They're absolutely hated

2) They're very cheap

What are your favorite 🇬🇧 ideas?

The more hated, the better! https://t.co/q5ZKBgjDkI
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Giuliano
Two tips that helped me improve my writing:

1. If deleting a word/sentence doesn't change the paragraph's meaning, delete it.

2. Editing several times is the key.
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Over the last 5 years, $V multiple COMPRESSED from 29.11x to 26.97x (NTM) 📉

However, in that same time, $V stock increased by a 12.33% CAGR 📈

How?

$V EPS grew at a faster rate (12.76% CAGR) than its share price (12.33% CAGR)

As an owner, this is what you like to see 👌🏽
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#stocks #investing
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Antonio Linares
RT @alc2022: $HIMS has all the characteristics $AMZN had in 1997.
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The Long Investor
RT @spectatorindex: BREAKING: Iranian media says over 50 drones are heading towards Israel
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