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The Long Investor
Hang Seng Index - Big Week Ahead.
When I say you are buying the Chinese market at the bottom, here are the facts:
The Green support line was held during:
-The Asian Financial Crisis in 1998
-The Dot Com bubble Crash
-The 2008 Great Financial Crash
-The 2020 Covid Crash
-And the 2023 Real Estate/deflation issues.
Each time the Chinese Government has stepped in with a stimulus package and this time it is no different, we are seeing signs of the reversal getting confirmed.
Once this line is held, there will be a recovery. $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $NIO $LI $BIDU
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Hang Seng Index - Big Week Ahead.
When I say you are buying the Chinese market at the bottom, here are the facts:
The Green support line was held during:
-The Asian Financial Crisis in 1998
-The Dot Com bubble Crash
-The 2008 Great Financial Crash
-The 2020 Covid Crash
-And the 2023 Real Estate/deflation issues.
Each time the Chinese Government has stepped in with a stimulus package and this time it is no different, we are seeing signs of the reversal getting confirmed.
Once this line is held, there will be a recovery. $BABA $BIDU $KWEB $NIO $LI $BIDU
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The Long Investor
Elliott Wave Theory in a nutshell:
Stocks climb on increased revenue in 5 Waves.
Stocks will then decline in 3 waves, usually declining 50% to 61% of the total percentage climb of the 5 waves.
This is due to profit taking, slower growth and portfolio realignment.
There is no magic art to this.
Look at any chart that has ever existed and this same behaviour has been repeated, over and over, with no exception. $SPY $QQQ $IWM
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Elliott Wave Theory in a nutshell:
Stocks climb on increased revenue in 5 Waves.
Stocks will then decline in 3 waves, usually declining 50% to 61% of the total percentage climb of the 5 waves.
This is due to profit taking, slower growth and portfolio realignment.
There is no magic art to this.
Look at any chart that has ever existed and this same behaviour has been repeated, over and over, with no exception. $SPY $QQQ $IWM
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The Long Investor
It took me about 5 years to convert to liking Crypto.
The parabolic moves in 2021 along with the memestock craze labeled both in the same category for me.
I needed to see a bear market for Crypto in order to justify its balance and behaviour.
Now I believe that its bear market is complete and it is behaving like a valid asset class.
I still believe your portfolio should never be more than 5-10% in Crypto but in terms of R v R here, it is showing signs of a being a solid hedge against macro influences....Gold now has a competitor. $BTC $ETH $SOL $ADA $GOLD
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It took me about 5 years to convert to liking Crypto.
The parabolic moves in 2021 along with the memestock craze labeled both in the same category for me.
I needed to see a bear market for Crypto in order to justify its balance and behaviour.
Now I believe that its bear market is complete and it is behaving like a valid asset class.
I still believe your portfolio should never be more than 5-10% in Crypto but in terms of R v R here, it is showing signs of a being a solid hedge against macro influences....Gold now has a competitor. $BTC $ETH $SOL $ADA $GOLD
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The Long Investor
$BIDU has now found support on the $100 support level 11 times since 2010.
In that same time, revenue has increased 15.5 X times. $BIDU and $BABA are both undervalued but there is no point in history where a share price does not return to its Fair Value over time.
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$BIDU has now found support on the $100 support level 11 times since 2010.
In that same time, revenue has increased 15.5 X times. $BIDU and $BABA are both undervalued but there is no point in history where a share price does not return to its Fair Value over time.
$BIDU
Share Price:
2011: $110
2024: $109
Yearly Revenue:
2011: $1.16 Billion
2024: $18 Billion
Revenue right now is 15.5 times greater then it was in 2011 and both share prices are exactly the same now.
Mean Fair Value line is at $240
FWD PE: 10
Verdict: Severely Undervalued - The Long Investortweet
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$BABA when $BABA reverses, the price will return to its Fair Value and drift back into the Mean Reversion Zone above $145.
Anything below this zone is consider undervalued with a margin of safety.
There is no surprise to see the 200 MA directly in the middle of the Mean Reversion Zone.
Fundamentals remain too strong to stay at these suppressed levels.
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$BABA when $BABA reverses, the price will return to its Fair Value and drift back into the Mean Reversion Zone above $145.
Anything below this zone is consider undervalued with a margin of safety.
There is no surprise to see the 200 MA directly in the middle of the Mean Reversion Zone.
Fundamentals remain too strong to stay at these suppressed levels.
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The Long Investor
$BTC is still showing another 10% climb to complete Wave 5 at $57,000, without going extended.
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$BTC is still showing another 10% climb to complete Wave 5 at $57,000, without going extended.
$BTC The Masterpiece. - The Long Investortweet
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$ETH is hunting down the Second Target at $3250
Textbook moves here.
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$ETH is hunting down the Second Target at $3250
Textbook moves here.
$ETH the move has already started.
50 Day MA is starting to show a move up....this could run quickly.
This is as straight forward and as bullish as a chart can be.
This is your Xmas present.
I have added the full long term projection of $ETH to our group. We like @ETH as a long term hold. - The Long Investortweet