Offshore
Video
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
๐ ๐ญ๐ข๐ฆ๐๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
Offshore
Video
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
๐๐๐ญ๐๐ซ ๐๐ฒ๐ง๐๐ก ๐จ๐ง ๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฅ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:
โI love volatilityโฆ Taco Bell went from $14 to $1โฆ they had no debt, never closed a restaurantโฆ I started buying at $7โฆ it went to $1โฆ Volatility is terrific.โ
___
๐๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐จ๐ง: ๐๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ญ๐ฅ ๐ฃ๐ฆ ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ญ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฅ, ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ง๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฅ. ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ฎ๐ข๐บ ๐ข๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ ๐ข๐ด ๐ณ๐ช๐ด๐ฌ ๐ฅ๐ถ๐ฆ ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ด๐ฆ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ท๐ฐ๐ญ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ช๐ด ๐ง๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ญ๐บ ๐ฐ๐ฑ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ถ๐ฏ๐ช๐ต๐บ. ๐๐ต๐ฐ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ ๐ช๐ด ๐ฐ๐ง๐ต๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฏ๐ฐ๐ต ๐ข ๐จ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ง๐ญ๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฒ๐ถ๐ข๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐บ ๐ฐ๐ง ๐ข ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฐ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ๐ฎ. ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ฌ๐ฆ๐ต๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ต๐ช๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ฏ๐ฅ๐ข๐ฎ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ต๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ช๐ฐ๐ฅ๐ด, ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ค๐ข๐ฏ ๐ด๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ธ๐ช๐ญ๐ฅ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ช๐ญ๐ฆ ๐ฃ๐ถ๐ด๐ช๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ง๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฎ๐ข๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ฏ๐จ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ท๐ฆ๐ณ๐บ ๐ญ๐ช๐ต๐ต๐ญ๐ฆ.
___
A few practical lessons that help navigate volatility:
1. ๐๐ฎ๐ข๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ญ ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ. Volatility is hardest when decisions are reactive. Accumulating with a plan removes emotion. For example if Iโm looking to accumulate $NOW:
20% at $130
30% at $110
30% at $100
20% at $90
Average price if all buys executed $107.
Youโre no longer reacting โ youโre executing.
2. ๐๐ก๐ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ ๐ฒ๐จ๐ฎ ๐ฉ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฌ. Starting at extreme valuations makes volatility feel far more painful.
Itโs far more difficult to accumulate additional shares of $NOW if you began building a position at $200 and 70x earnings. However, if you started at 33x, it becomes much easier to continue adding at 25x or 20x. At some point, the multiple compresses to a level where ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฏ๐ง๐ช๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ค๐ฆ increases โ not decreases โ as the margin of safety significantly improves.
Valuation discipline โ volatility becomes an advantage rather than a source of stress.
What feels like chaos in the moment often looks like opportunity in hindsight.
___
A few names that have seen notable volatility in recent weeks โ worth keeping an eye on:
$AXON $MCO $NOW $NVDA $SNDK $SPGI $TDG
___
Video: Investor Talk Peter Lynch (07/05/2020)
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
$SPGI CAGR Potential based on 2028 EPS estimates & different multiples:
EPS Estimates
Dec 2026: $19.82 (11% YoY)
Dec 2027: $22.28 (12% YoY)
Dec 2028: $24.90 (12% YoY)
CAGR assuming 2028 EPS Est:
25x โ 17.4%
24x โ 15.8%
23x โ 14.1%
22x โ 12.3%
21x โ 10.6% https://t.co/lB9O0Xj4Nb
tweet
$SPGI CAGR Potential based on 2028 EPS estimates & different multiples:
EPS Estimates
Dec 2026: $19.82 (11% YoY)
Dec 2027: $22.28 (12% YoY)
Dec 2028: $24.90 (12% YoY)
CAGR assuming 2028 EPS Est:
25x โ 17.4%
24x โ 15.8%
23x โ 14.1%
22x โ 12.3%
21x โ 10.6% https://t.co/lB9O0Xj4Nb
tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
Using Buffett's quotes out of context to illustrate a behaviour he would never have... Just to confirm personal bias...
$HIMS bulls have no more limits.
Although this confirmation bias using Buffett's quotes out of context is the new normal on X ๐
https://t.co/x6eigOu6yD
tweet
Using Buffett's quotes out of context to illustrate a behaviour he would never have... Just to confirm personal bias...
$HIMS bulls have no more limits.
Although this confirmation bias using Buffett's quotes out of context is the new normal on X ๐
https://t.co/x6eigOu6yD
Not buying $HIMS at $17 a share means you think the following:
- Warren buffets famous quote "Buy when others are fearful, sell when others are greedy" is a load of rubbish
- $NVO will beat $HIMS in court, Hims will have to stop selling compounded GLP-1's
- $HIMS stock trading at a RSI reading of 15 is a nothing burger..
- $HIMS A company that wants to challenge 'big pharma' will not stop and slow down
You do you... ๐ค๐ผ tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
The Few Bets That Matter (@WealthyReadings) on X
How W. Buffett Broke Retails' Critical Thinking
The Few Bets That Matter
RT @WealthyReadings: Market's reaction is entirely due to uncertainty with NVLinks/UALinks and the opex increase for hardware the market is uncertain of - why spend if Nvidia will replace you?
Analysts' question made it crystal clear this was the focus and the worries. Not CFO nor margins - which were expected as Scorpion P ramped up.
I think $ALAB proved it was capable with the customed Blackwell racks but the market wonders if it will be the case again with Rubin's.
Ridiculous concerns imo. But it'll need time to prove.
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RT @WealthyReadings: Market's reaction is entirely due to uncertainty with NVLinks/UALinks and the opex increase for hardware the market is uncertain of - why spend if Nvidia will replace you?
Analysts' question made it crystal clear this was the focus and the worries. Not CFO nor margins - which were expected as Scorpion P ramped up.
I think $ALAB proved it was capable with the customed Blackwell racks but the market wonders if it will be the case again with Rubin's.
Ridiculous concerns imo. But it'll need time to prove.
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: Anthropic didnโt launch a product on Windows.
They launched a proof of concept that shipping speed beats platform ownership.
Cowork just hit Windows with full feature parity. File access, multi-step task execution, plugins, MCP connectors. Everything macOS got a month ago.
But the real story isnโt the launch. Itโs the math behind why it works.
Microsoft spends $37.5B per quarter on AI infrastructure. They pre-installed Copilot on every Windows 11 machine sold. They ran $60M+ in TV ads.
450 million M365 paid seats. 15 million Copilot subscribers. 3.3% conversion rate on their own customers. Market share dropping from 18.8% to 11.5% in six months.
96.7% of their own users looked at Copilot and passed.
Not because the AI is bad. Because the architecture is broken.
Copilot inherits M365โs permission system through the Graph API. Most companies have 15%+ of business-critical files improperly accessible. Turn on Copilot and suddenly any employee can surface sensitive data with a natural language query. So enterprises freeze. Run months-long governance audits. Delay rollouts indefinitely.
Anthropic looked at that and built the opposite.
Cowork is sandboxed to one folder. No enterprise permission layer. No Graph API. You point Claude at a directory, describe what you want done, and it executes.
They built the whole thing in a week and a half using Claude Code.
A week and a half versus $37.5B a quarter. Thatโs an asymmetry.
Microsoft canโt fix this without rebuilding how M365 handles file access across every tenant. Thatโs a multi-year architectural project. Meanwhile Anthropic is already on Windows, already working, already solving the exact problem thatโs keeping Copilot frozen in enterprise procurement cycles.
The old playbook was: own the OS, own the user. The new playbook is: find where the OS ownerโs architecture creates friction, build something that doesnโt have that friction, and ship it on their platform before they can react.
Anthropic doesnโt need to beat Microsoft. They just need to be the thing that works while IT is still running Copilot permission audits.
And theyโre already there.
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RT @godofprompt: Anthropic didnโt launch a product on Windows.
They launched a proof of concept that shipping speed beats platform ownership.
Cowork just hit Windows with full feature parity. File access, multi-step task execution, plugins, MCP connectors. Everything macOS got a month ago.
But the real story isnโt the launch. Itโs the math behind why it works.
Microsoft spends $37.5B per quarter on AI infrastructure. They pre-installed Copilot on every Windows 11 machine sold. They ran $60M+ in TV ads.
450 million M365 paid seats. 15 million Copilot subscribers. 3.3% conversion rate on their own customers. Market share dropping from 18.8% to 11.5% in six months.
96.7% of their own users looked at Copilot and passed.
Not because the AI is bad. Because the architecture is broken.
Copilot inherits M365โs permission system through the Graph API. Most companies have 15%+ of business-critical files improperly accessible. Turn on Copilot and suddenly any employee can surface sensitive data with a natural language query. So enterprises freeze. Run months-long governance audits. Delay rollouts indefinitely.
Anthropic looked at that and built the opposite.
Cowork is sandboxed to one folder. No enterprise permission layer. No Graph API. You point Claude at a directory, describe what you want done, and it executes.
They built the whole thing in a week and a half using Claude Code.
A week and a half versus $37.5B a quarter. Thatโs an asymmetry.
Microsoft canโt fix this without rebuilding how M365 handles file access across every tenant. Thatโs a multi-year architectural project. Meanwhile Anthropic is already on Windows, already working, already solving the exact problem thatโs keeping Copilot frozen in enterprise procurement cycles.
The old playbook was: own the OS, own the user. The new playbook is: find where the OS ownerโs architecture creates friction, build something that doesnโt have that friction, and ship it on their platform before they can react.
Anthropic doesnโt need to beat Microsoft. They just need to be the thing that works while IT is still running Copilot permission audits.
And theyโre already there.
Introducing Claude Opus 4.6. Our smartest model got an upgrade.
Opus 4.6 plans more carefully, sustains agentic tasks for longer, operates reliably in massive codebases, and catches its own mistakes.
Itโs also our first Opus-class model with 1M token context in beta. https://t.co/L1iQyRgT9x tweet
Illiquid
$aehr +35% thanks be @insane_analyst and @SunvMikey and of course all the SA people who have been writing about this company for years.
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$aehr +35% thanks be @insane_analyst and @SunvMikey and of course all the SA people who have been writing about this company for years.
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Javier Blas
OIL MARKET: According to the @WSJ, the Trump administration has discussed whether to seize tankers carrying Iranian oil.
But, **importantly** decided to hold off, concerned about Tehran's near-certain retaliation and the impact on global oil markets. https://t.co/VDegvmsMQd
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OIL MARKET: According to the @WSJ, the Trump administration has discussed whether to seize tankers carrying Iranian oil.
But, **importantly** decided to hold off, concerned about Tehran's near-certain retaliation and the impact on global oil markets. https://t.co/VDegvmsMQd
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Moon Dev
No one is safe
Openclaw will replace every single job
And i will show you exactly how
Every step of the way https://t.co/1YNVr2sJnd
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No one is safe
Openclaw will replace every single job
And i will show you exactly how
Every step of the way https://t.co/1YNVr2sJnd
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Representative John McGuire just filed a purchase of Nvidia stock, $NVDA.
McGuire sits on the AI subcommittee of the Senate Armed Services Committee. https://t.co/AahD00xQFf
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JUST IN: Representative John McGuire just filed a purchase of Nvidia stock, $NVDA.
McGuire sits on the AI subcommittee of the Senate Armed Services Committee. https://t.co/AahD00xQFf
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: This site is literally a prompt library with thousands of prompts for Claude, ChatGPT & Nano Banana. https://t.co/de2Z55Vkn0
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RT @godofprompt: This site is literally a prompt library with thousands of prompts for Claude, ChatGPT & Nano Banana. https://t.co/de2Z55Vkn0
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