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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: $TDG has entered in its own bear market, down -21% from its highs ๐ฉ๏ธ
$TDG two core segments โ Power & Control and Airframe โ both generate >50% EBITDA margins, supported by highly engineered parts, sole-source positions, and a large installed base. https://t.co/WtWxPKOOk9
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RT @DimitryNakhla: $TDG has entered in its own bear market, down -21% from its highs ๐ฉ๏ธ
$TDG two core segments โ Power & Control and Airframe โ both generate >50% EBITDA margins, supported by highly engineered parts, sole-source positions, and a large installed base. https://t.co/WtWxPKOOk9
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: The House will vote later this week on the SAVE America Act.
This would set nationwide photo ID requirements in federal elections. https://t.co/kYbcv2NcDt
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JUST IN: The House will vote later this week on the SAVE America Act.
This would set nationwide photo ID requirements in federal elections. https://t.co/kYbcv2NcDt
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Benjamin Hernandez๐
High risk, high precision.
Volatile stocks make your month in a day if you have an exit plan. I provide live updates on momentum shifts on WhatsApp to protect gains.
Join the Action โ https://t.co/71FIJIdBXe
Master high-beta trading now.
$RKLB $OPEN $SOFI $PLTR $HOOD
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High risk, high precision.
Volatile stocks make your month in a day if you have an exit plan. I provide live updates on momentum shifts on WhatsApp to protect gains.
Join the Action โ https://t.co/71FIJIdBXe
Master high-beta trading now.
$RKLB $OPEN $SOFI $PLTR $HOOD
โก The "Electronic Giant" Choice
Recommendation: $AXTI ~$28.20
AXT Inc. is a "Buy" rated powerhouse with a $1.56B valuation. Today's +17.19% rally is backed by a massive 6.97M shares traded.
Reason calling it: High institutional turnover at $28.20 suggests a long-term bottom. https://t.co/dGsp8x98EG - Benjamin Hernandez๐tweet
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Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
RT @Brad_Setser: Crazy export numbers out of Taiwan for January. Exports up ~ 70% y/y in dollar terms. A close to $20b monthly trade surplus ($18.9b). Looks a bit like a big oil price run up for an oil exporter ...
1/ https://t.co/2Z9WDLrD67
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RT @Brad_Setser: Crazy export numbers out of Taiwan for January. Exports up ~ 70% y/y in dollar terms. A close to $20b monthly trade surplus ($18.9b). Looks a bit like a big oil price run up for an oil exporter ...
1/ https://t.co/2Z9WDLrD67
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: Haha thanks. I them every now & then.
Of course for every 98 that crash you may have 2 that end up like $NVDA & $PLTR (which are incredible businesses with jaw-dropping growth & wide moats with deep tech advantages).
Yet, as Pulak Prasad eloquently writes in ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฎ ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ:
โBut you would have missed Tesla! Yup. We would have. We eschew a very long list of risks. This is the core element of our investment strategyโฆ
If you had listened to what we had to say about the business, you would not have invested. Your opportunity loss? Ten times your money over the next three yearsโฆ
Tesla and Eicher Motors are the kinds of type II error we will inevitably commit because we reject highly indebted business, rapidly evolving industry landscaped, and turnarounds. But we will not change our approach.
๐ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐๐ก๐๐ซ, ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ง ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ. ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐๐ค๐ง๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฌ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐๐ก๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐๐๐, ๐๐ฏ๐จ๐ข๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ ๐ ๐๐ซ๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ -๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฆ. ๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ฎ๐ฌ.โ
$NOW is an example of a type I error.
Page(s): 39-40
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RT @DimitryNakhla: Haha thanks. I them every now & then.
Of course for every 98 that crash you may have 2 that end up like $NVDA & $PLTR (which are incredible businesses with jaw-dropping growth & wide moats with deep tech advantages).
Yet, as Pulak Prasad eloquently writes in ๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ต ๐ ๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ฅ ๐๐ฃ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ต ๐๐ฏ๐ท๐ฆ๐ด๐ต๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐๐ณ๐ฐ๐ฎ ๐๐ข๐ณ๐ธ๐ช๐ฏ:
โBut you would have missed Tesla! Yup. We would have. We eschew a very long list of risks. This is the core element of our investment strategyโฆ
If you had listened to what we had to say about the business, you would not have invested. Your opportunity loss? Ten times your money over the next three yearsโฆ
Tesla and Eicher Motors are the kinds of type II error we will inevitably commit because we reject highly indebted business, rapidly evolving industry landscaped, and turnarounds. But we will not change our approach.
๐ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐ฏ๐๐ซ๐ฒ ๐๐๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐๐ก๐๐ซ, ๐ก๐ฎ๐ง๐๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ง ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ง๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐ฎ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐๐ฆ๐จ๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง ๐จ๐ ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ. ๐๐ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ฎ๐ฉ๐จ๐ง ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ ๐๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐๐ค๐ข๐๐ค๐ง๐ฉ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก ๐ฆ๐ข๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ข๐ง๐ ๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฌ๐ฅ๐๐ฌ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐ข๐๐ก๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ ๐จ๐ง ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐๐๐, ๐๐ฏ๐จ๐ข๐๐ข๐ง๐ ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ ๐ ๐๐ซ๐ซ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ฌ ๐ฐ๐จ๐ง๐๐๐ซ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ฏ๐๐ซ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง๐ -๐ญ๐๐ซ๐ฆ. ๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ฎ๐ฌ.โ
$NOW is an example of a type I error.
Page(s): 39-40
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Democrats now have a 38% chance of winning the Senate in 2026.
It was just a 24% chance in October. https://t.co/H8xw7oq7fV
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JUST IN: Democrats now have a 38% chance of winning the Senate in 2026.
It was just a 24% chance in October. https://t.co/H8xw7oq7fV
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Illiquid
$APH next.
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$APH next.
$CRDO Q3 FY2026:
Revenue $404-408m (beat guidance)
>200% YoY growth expected in FY2026
Mid-single digit sequential growth ahead https://t.co/o9ToCn6lte - FwdQuartertweet
Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
RT @firstadopter: It's almost as if AI can help SaaS companies provide more value and insights to their customers. Crazy.
That said, business models will likely transition from seat-based to usage-based pricing.
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RT @firstadopter: It's almost as if AI can help SaaS companies provide more value and insights to their customers. Crazy.
That said, business models will likely transition from seat-based to usage-based pricing.
I now constantly get questions about the SAAS meltdown, role of AI, system of records etc. I don't have an answer to all these.
But I do know that we saw an acceleration in our business in Q2, Q3, and now finished the year with accelerating Q4.
The question is, why?
Short answer: AI. But the underlying reason is subtle. We are growing fast because we are finally removing the biggest bottleneck in data: the technical barrier to entry.
For years, if you didnโt know SQL, Python, you were locked out of the value chain. That has changed fundamentally with the ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐ ๐๐๐ฆ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฒ, and it is the "secret sauce" behind our recent momentum:
โข ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐: Analysts can query data without any SQL. I use this every day myself.
โข ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐๐ข๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐: Builds end-to-end AI models for you, similar to Cursor for ML on your data.
โข ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐๐ซ ๐๐๐ง๐ข๐: Write Spark pipelines, does plumbing, troubleshooting.
We've been talking about DATA + AI democratization, but generative AI finally enabled it in a way that wasn't possible before. That's why we're seeing a market response.
Take ๐๐๐ค๐๐๐๐ฌ๐ ๐๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ. We launched this serverless engine for agents and apps recently. At 8 months into its journey, its revenue is already 2x what our Data Warehouse product was at the same stage.
All this taken together, we ended up with the following stats for Q4:
๐ $5.4B Revenue Run-Rate, growing >65% YoY
๐ $1.4B AI Revenue Run-Rate
๐ FCF Positive for the year
๐ NRR >>140%
https://t.co/yq3riYyr8r - Ali Ghodsitweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Ali Ghodsi (@alighodsi) on X
I now constantly get questions about the SAAS meltdown, role of AI, system of records etc. I don't have an answer to all these.
But I do know that we saw an acceleration in our business in Q2, Q3, and now finished the year with accelerating Q4.
The questionโฆ
But I do know that we saw an acceleration in our business in Q2, Q3, and now finished the year with accelerating Q4.
The questionโฆ
Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
RT @real_MikeBarnes: On a 20 year chart $NTDOY is bouncing right at the SMA 50. This is what you would expect if the story remains intact. I recently bought it again in Tokyo 8740 JPY. After some deep comparative thought on the active users and software trends now vs Switch 1 I am getting more.
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RT @real_MikeBarnes: On a 20 year chart $NTDOY is bouncing right at the SMA 50. This is what you would expect if the story remains intact. I recently bought it again in Tokyo 8740 JPY. After some deep comparative thought on the active users and software trends now vs Switch 1 I am getting more.
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