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The Few Bets That Matter
Few $NBIS thoughts on the market, earnings, stock reaction & closing my position.
The bull case from here stock-wise is that the market rewards higher spending, after punishing Google, Amazon & Microsoft for it.
https://t.co/aMp8Ww91zM
It could happen with a short-term narrative shift. I’m curious about what would change it, but maybe.
Company-wise, I have no issue at all. $NBIS is a great company, well managed, with a likely bright future. But I don't invest in maybes - or I try to avoid them as much as I can.
That said, I closed my position a bit in a rush, in hindsight. Not because the stock ran; as I pushed most of that cash into $ALAB - which ran even more, my returns have been better.
https://t.co/GMEAfNMLCj
But I didn't follow my system, I got impatient and a bit emotional.
My system made $NBIS a clear sell on Thursday night, combined with $GOOG earnings and the market’s negative reaction to higher spending. Didn’t smell real good.
But the sell became a hold Friday after a massive green day. And I usually know better than to sell on sentiment before the end of a week. I didn’t expect that, but my expectations shouldn’t drive decisions anyway.
Once again, I’m better off return-wise.
But that’s not the point. Following the system is.
I still believe my read of the market is the right one, but only time will confirm or deny it. I’m fine either way and wish nothing but green dildos to holders. I wouldn’t be confident medium term but who knows.
I’ll watch from the sidelines. Sometimes, it’s better not to be involved.
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Few $NBIS thoughts on the market, earnings, stock reaction & closing my position.
The bull case from here stock-wise is that the market rewards higher spending, after punishing Google, Amazon & Microsoft for it.
https://t.co/aMp8Ww91zM
It could happen with a short-term narrative shift. I’m curious about what would change it, but maybe.
Company-wise, I have no issue at all. $NBIS is a great company, well managed, with a likely bright future. But I don't invest in maybes - or I try to avoid them as much as I can.
That said, I closed my position a bit in a rush, in hindsight. Not because the stock ran; as I pushed most of that cash into $ALAB - which ran even more, my returns have been better.
https://t.co/GMEAfNMLCj
But I didn't follow my system, I got impatient and a bit emotional.
My system made $NBIS a clear sell on Thursday night, combined with $GOOG earnings and the market’s negative reaction to higher spending. Didn’t smell real good.
But the sell became a hold Friday after a massive green day. And I usually know better than to sell on sentiment before the end of a week. I didn’t expect that, but my expectations shouldn’t drive decisions anyway.
Once again, I’m better off return-wise.
But that’s not the point. Following the system is.
I still believe my read of the market is the right one, but only time will confirm or deny it. I’m fine either way and wish nothing but green dildos to holders. I wouldn’t be confident medium term but who knows.
I’ll watch from the sidelines. Sometimes, it’s better not to be involved.
$NBIS Nebius reports earnings this week. The key question is how many additional GW of capacity they add to the pipeline.
Last Thursday, $IREN announced an additional 1.6GW of capacity secured in Oklahoma.
$CIFR reports at the end of the month. https://t.co/HQi8BEeFQ3 tweet
Javier Blas
A few stats:
Cuba produces ~30,000 b/d of oil and consumes ~110,000 b/d. In the past, it filled the gap with Venezuelan oil.
Fuel-oil is the most important refined product (~30,000 b/d). Fuel-oil accounts for >80% of the island’s electricity generation
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A few stats:
Cuba produces ~30,000 b/d of oil and consumes ~110,000 b/d. In the past, it filled the gap with Venezuelan oil.
Fuel-oil is the most important refined product (~30,000 b/d). Fuel-oil accounts for >80% of the island’s electricity generation
Cuba is running out of oil.
The island warned airlines that they wouldn't be able to re-fuel at its 9 major airports from Tuesday for at least one month. The Communist government has closed international hotels to save fuel, too.
In the past, Cuba relied on Venezuelan oil. tweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Javier Blas (@JavierBlas) on X
Cuba is running out of oil.
The island warned airlines that they wouldn't be able to re-fuel at its 9 major airports from Tuesday for at least one month. The Communist government has closed international hotels to save fuel, too.
In the past, Cuba relied…
The island warned airlines that they wouldn't be able to re-fuel at its 9 major airports from Tuesday for at least one month. The Communist government has closed international hotels to save fuel, too.
In the past, Cuba relied…
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The Transcript
$AMZN CFO: "Advertising revenue grew 22% in the fourth quarter, and we added over $12 billion of incremental revenue in 2025 alone as our full funnel advertising approach of connecting brands with customers is resonating, simplifying the advertiser experience to enable brands to better reach customers wherever they are."
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$AMZN CFO: "Advertising revenue grew 22% in the fourth quarter, and we added over $12 billion of incremental revenue in 2025 alone as our full funnel advertising approach of connecting brands with customers is resonating, simplifying the advertiser experience to enable brands to better reach customers wherever they are."
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Clark Square Capital
RT @ClarkSquareCap: Sharing a new project: the Special Situations Digest.
Check out the (free) link below. https://t.co/NT0wb21Sxl
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RT @ClarkSquareCap: Sharing a new project: the Special Situations Digest.
Check out the (free) link below. https://t.co/NT0wb21Sxl
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Moon Dev
GLM-5 is free right now
can this free model power openclaw?
only available through here tho https://t.co/fJQRW97Mjl
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GLM-5 is free right now
can this free model power openclaw?
only available through here tho https://t.co/fJQRW97Mjl
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The Few Bets That Matter
$GOOG CEO was so criticized a year ago. But he found the way to secure $15B, including a tranche in a 100-year bond.
This is a masterclass.
I'd like to have a conversation to those who bought those bonds thought. Cause $GOOG or not, 100Y bonds are bullshit.
What the hell?
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$GOOG CEO was so criticized a year ago. But he found the way to secure $15B, including a tranche in a 100-year bond.
This is a masterclass.
I'd like to have a conversation to those who bought those bonds thought. Cause $GOOG or not, 100Y bonds are bullshit.
What the hell?
Google $GOOGL has attracted more than $100 billion of orders for a bond sale that’s expected to be about $15B - Bloomberg https://t.co/HY8z5h1uwg tweet
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Did you know that $SPGI & Anthropic announced a collaboration to bring financial data into Claude?
“With this cutting-edge integration, customers can unlock S&P Global’s trusted data and insights seamlessly and reliably within Anthropic’s Claude.”
Source: Kensho Communications https://t.co/3c8263d2aP
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Did you know that $SPGI & Anthropic announced a collaboration to bring financial data into Claude?
“With this cutting-edge integration, customers can unlock S&P Global’s trusted data and insights seamlessly and reliably within Anthropic’s Claude.”
Source: Kensho Communications https://t.co/3c8263d2aP
Kensho is one of the more under-the-radar assets inside $SPGI.
It’s $SPGI AI and data analytics platform, built to analyze massive, complex datasets across economics, geopolitics, financial markets, and corporate fundamentals—used by asset managers, banks, governments, and enterprises.
While most of the focus is on ratings and indices, Kensho quietly expands $SPGI moat by embedding AI-driven insights deeper into client workflows, increasing switching costs and long-term relevance.
Not flashy, but the kind of capability that can strengthen a toll-booth business over time.
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3Q 2025 Earnings Call:
“We acquired Kensho back in 2018, including that acquisition since 2018, we have invested over $1B in AI innovation across three developmental stages…
Importantly, our AI innovation serves as a powerful example of our ability to leverage our scale, our expertise and our fiscal discipline. The fact that we made such bold investments early on means that we’ve been able to innovate very efficiently from a financial perspective.”
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@contextinvestor thank you for the thoughtful comment. tweet