Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
10 Quality Compounders Trading <30x15% CAGR | PEG 💵
1. $MA 27x | 16% | 1.68
2. $MSFT 22x | 16% | 1.37
3. $NFLX 26x | 19% | 1.36
4. $META 21x | 16% | 1.31
5. $NVDA 26x | 20% | 1.30
6. $FICO 29x | 23% | 1.26
7. $NOW 24x | 20% | 1.20
8. $APP 29x | 26% | 1.11
9. $AMZN 27x | 30% | 0.90
10. $CSU 15x | 20% | 0.75
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10 Quality Compounders Trading <30x15% CAGR | PEG 💵
1. $MA 27x | 16% | 1.68
2. $MSFT 22x | 16% | 1.37
3. $NFLX 26x | 19% | 1.36
4. $META 21x | 16% | 1.31
5. $NVDA 26x | 20% | 1.30
6. $FICO 29x | 23% | 1.26
7. $NOW 24x | 20% | 1.20
8. $APP 29x | 26% | 1.11
9. $AMZN 27x | 30% | 0.90
10. $CSU 15x | 20% | 0.75
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Offshore
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The Transcript
RT @TheTranscript_: Alphabet CBO: "For FY 2025, our YouTube's annual revenue surpassed $60B across ads and subscriptions. In Q4, YouTube ads was driven, indeed, by strong growth and direct response." $GOOG $GOOGL https://t.co/oB5gWSIFmX
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RT @TheTranscript_: Alphabet CBO: "For FY 2025, our YouTube's annual revenue surpassed $60B across ads and subscriptions. In Q4, YouTube ads was driven, indeed, by strong growth and direct response." $GOOG $GOOGL https://t.co/oB5gWSIFmX
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The Transcript
$TRI Thomson Reuters CEO: "We believe and all the evidence in the marketplace today supports the fact that a general purpose model cannot do what professional-grade AI can do...the stakes for professionals are extraordinarily high. They must be correct. They're doing expert fiduciary work and they require data privacy and security. And ultimately, they are accountable for being correct"
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$TRI Thomson Reuters CEO: "We believe and all the evidence in the marketplace today supports the fact that a general purpose model cannot do what professional-grade AI can do...the stakes for professionals are extraordinarily high. They must be correct. They're doing expert fiduciary work and they require data privacy and security. And ultimately, they are accountable for being correct"
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Over the past 10 years, $MSFT has only experienced -25% drawdowns three times:
1. 2020 flash crash
2. 2022 bear market
3. Today
It’s rare to see $MSFT trade >25% below its highs — especially while fundamentals remain strong, the balance sheet is pristine, and the moat is firmly intact.
If $MSFT compounds earnings in the mid-teens over the next several years (a reasonable base case), periods like this tend to look very different in hindsight as they did in the past.
Volatility is the price of admission.
Long-term compounding is the reward.
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Over the past 10 years, $MSFT has only experienced -25% drawdowns three times:
1. 2020 flash crash
2. 2022 bear market
3. Today
It’s rare to see $MSFT trade >25% below its highs — especially while fundamentals remain strong, the balance sheet is pristine, and the moat is firmly intact.
If $MSFT compounds earnings in the mid-teens over the next several years (a reasonable base case), periods like this tend to look very different in hindsight as they did in the past.
Volatility is the price of admission.
Long-term compounding is the reward.
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Moon Dev
opus 4.6 just made it possible to have ai agents work for you 24/7
they can do anything you can write into a doc or explain in a video
employees are cooked
bringing on 3 clients in this closed beta: https://t.co/77Y7hzzevh https://t.co/n6y0y9ECZm
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opus 4.6 just made it possible to have ai agents work for you 24/7
they can do anything you can write into a doc or explain in a video
employees are cooked
bringing on 3 clients in this closed beta: https://t.co/77Y7hzzevh https://t.co/n6y0y9ECZm
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Brady Long
Skywork just dropped SkyBot Beta which is basically a 24/7 AI sidekick.
I know people say this a lot but it actually works while you’re sleeping. Or gambling on the Super Bowl😂
No hosting headaches or security paranoia. Just chat with bro on WhatsApp, Telegram, or Discord.
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Skywork just dropped SkyBot Beta which is basically a 24/7 AI sidekick.
I know people say this a lot but it actually works while you’re sleeping. Or gambling on the Super Bowl😂
No hosting headaches or security paranoia. Just chat with bro on WhatsApp, Telegram, or Discord.
Introducing SkyBot: Your 24/7 Proactive AI Works While you Sleep
We've removed the friction of hosting and the worry of security risks. Start chatting with SkyBot on WhatsApp, Telegram, or Discord.
Claim your SkyBot on Skywork and reclaim your Super Bowl weekend! https://t.co/ZcKhZj9oCl tweet
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Moon Dev
My clawdbot will make me a billionaire
I’ve got her watching TikTok all day doing some social arbitrage
Inspired by @DumbMoneyTV
She will find trends 6 months before Wall Street
Working 24/7/365 https://t.co/luYyZqVEL9
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My clawdbot will make me a billionaire
I’ve got her watching TikTok all day doing some social arbitrage
Inspired by @DumbMoneyTV
She will find trends 6 months before Wall Street
Working 24/7/365 https://t.co/luYyZqVEL9
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The Few Bets That Matter
I did not have $ALAB up 19% on my bingo card today.
Very glad I concentrated my portfolio and accumulated on the weekly 50 at $145. Price action is key, as usual. Portfolio up more than 10% today and flat YTD, a pretty good performance considering the state of FinX.
More to come on Tuesday after earnings. With CapEx announcements, AI hardware companies should continue to print money, compute optimizer even more than others.
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I did not have $ALAB up 19% on my bingo card today.
Very glad I concentrated my portfolio and accumulated on the weekly 50 at $145. Price action is key, as usual. Portfolio up more than 10% today and flat YTD, a pretty good performance considering the state of FinX.
More to come on Tuesday after earnings. With CapEx announcements, AI hardware companies should continue to print money, compute optimizer even more than others.
The only tech stocks I still own are $ALAB and $BABA, and I expect both to outperform.
$ALAB generates real cash today.
As long as CapEx keeps rising - and $AMZN just confirmed it isn’t slowing after Meta and Google did the same, semis will keep printing.
Unlike hyperscalers, semis are positive FCF. They don’t depend on future ROI; they monetize real spending happening now.
With hyperscalers guiding CapEx ~50% above expectations, that cash flows directly to semis.
The market wants free cash flow.
They have it.
$BABA is the only hyperscaler holding up while markets fall. Likely because.
1. Ownership is largely non-US → US tech pressure doesn’t apply
2. China has a different economic and financial regime and situation
3. Valuation is incomparable to US hyperscalers, with cash-generating assets outside tech
Both names sit in very specific situations. As the market gets picky, performance will come from singular assets, not sectors.
This isn’t the end of AI.
It’s the start of the stock-picking era. tweet