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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
$AMZN trades at ~$2.17T market cap.

AWS + ADS generated ~$197.36B in LTM revenue โ€” both segments with 30%+ operating margins.

$AMZN now trades ~11x AWS + ADS sales. https://t.co/VEVgQpOujF

Amazon $AMZN Q4 2025 Report ๐Ÿ—“๏ธ

โœ… REV: $213.39B (+14% YoY)
โŒ EPS: $1.95 (+5% YoY)

โ˜๏ธ AWS $35.79B (+24% YoY)
๐Ÿ’ต ADS $21.31B (+23% YoY)

โ˜๏ธ AWS growth accelerated for the third consecutive quarter, fastest growth rate in last 13 quarters

๐Ÿ’ฐ FY Operating Income +17% YoY https://t.co/pnjoLFZEYR
- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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The Transcript
Big Tech capex:

$MSFT $GOOG $GOOGL $META $AAPL $AMZN https://t.co/fkuhyHUJcv

Capex guided up in FY 26:

$AMZN CEO: "We expect to invest about $200B in capex across Amazon in 2026."

$GOOGL CEO: "Our 2026 CapEx investments are anticipated to be in the range of $175 to $185B."

$META CEO: "We anticipate 2026 capex.. to be in the range of $115-135B"
- The Transcript
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Fiscal.ai
"With such strong demand for our existing offerings and seminal opportunities like AI, chips, robotics, & low earth orbit satellites, we expect to invest about $200B in CapEx across Amazon in 2026, and anticipate strong long-term return on invested capital.โ€

$AMZN https://t.co/hmuOV6mdwJ
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The Transcript
Bloom Energy CEO: "Bring-your-own-power has shifted from a slogan to a business necessity for AI hyperscalers and manufacturing facilities. This shift is secular and growing."

$BE: +11% AH https://t.co/vkswJwrO7t
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The Transcript
Atlassian CEO: "We had a fantastic Q2. Weโ€™re building a bloody great business. Iโ€™m convinced AI is great for Atlassian. Others think software is dead. In this environment, it seems that noise swamps signal, nuance gets lost."

$TEAM: -9% AH https://t.co/grps5IlRZc
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The Transcript
Atlassian: "We plan to accelerate the pace of share repurchases in H2 relative to H1....To further underscore their conviction in our massive long-term growth opportunities, the founders will pause their selling plans that have been in place since the IPO" $TEAM https://t.co/P5DsPTbwRW

Atlassian CEO: "We had a fantastic Q2. Weโ€™re building a bloody great business. Iโ€™m convinced AI is great for Atlassian. Others think software is dead. In this environment, it seems that noise swamps signal, nuance gets lost."

$TEAM: -9% AH https://t.co/grps5IlRZc
- The Transcript
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The Transcript
Doximity CEO: "Weโ€™re proud to deliver another quarter of strong profits and record engagement."

$DOCS: -33% AH https://t.co/hoWd0Upi8Z
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: Dev Kantesaria on AI risk as it relates to $FICO $SPGI & $MCO

Dev frames these businesses not as pure โ€œprediction engines,โ€ but as fill collectors embedded inside the financial systems:

โ€œAs it relates to displacement of things like $FICO scores, $MCO ratings, and $SPGI ratings โ€” theyโ€™re toll collectors in these industriesโ€ฆ ๐™„ ๐™™๐™ค๐™ฃโ€™๐™ฉ ๐™จ๐™š๐™š ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™ฎ ๐™™๐™ž๐™จ๐™ฅ๐™ก๐™–๐™˜๐™š๐™ข๐™š๐™ฃ๐™ฉ simply because thereโ€™s an AI model that can calculate the credit decision five percentage points better. ๐™„๐™ฉโ€™๐™จ ๐™ฃ๐™ค๐™ฉ ๐™Ÿ๐™ช๐™จ๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™—๐™ค๐™ช๐™ฉ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š ๐™ฅ๐™ง๐™š๐™™๐™ž๐™˜๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™จ โ€” ๐™ฉ๐™๐™š๐™ง๐™šโ€™๐™จ ๐™– ๐™ฃ๐™š๐™ฉ๐™ฌ๐™ค๐™ง๐™  ๐™š๐™›๐™›๐™š๐™˜๐™ฉ ๐™–๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™– ๐™ซ๐™–๐™ก๐™ช๐™š ๐™ฉ๐™ค ๐™ฉ๐™๐™ค๐™จ๐™š ๐™ง๐™–๐™ฉ๐™ž๐™ฃ๐™œ๐™จ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ ๐™œ๐™ค๐™š๐™จ ๐™›๐™–๐™ง ๐™—๐™š๐™ฎ๐™ค๐™ฃ๐™™ ๐™ฉ๐™๐™–๐™ฉ.โ€
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These platforms benefit from:

โ€ข Deep network effects
โ€ข Regulatory & institutional embedment
โ€ข Industry standardization
โ€ข Decades of historical continuity

A bank doesnโ€™t use $FICO simply because itโ€™s the best mathematical model.

It uses $FICO because itโ€™s the common language of credit โ€” across underwriting, portfolio monitoring, M&A, and securitization.

Likewise, debt markets donโ€™t rely on $SPGI or $MCO solely for accuracy.

They rely on them because their ratings are recognized, trusted, and priced into capital markets globally.

Dev makes an important point:

Even if someone offered a โ€œbetterโ€ rating for free, issuers would still face higher borrowing costs ๐˜ช๐˜ง the market doesnโ€™t recognize that rating as equivalent.
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Video: Grants Interest Rate Observer | Growth and Profitability (11/20/2024)
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The Transcript
$AMZN CEO with the usual reminder on AWS growth

"As a reminder, it's very different having 24% Y/Y growth on a $142B annual run rate than to have a higher percentage growth on a meaningfully smaller base, which is the case with our competitors." https://t.co/8mN6kgdvpz

$AMZN CEO: "AWS growing 24% (our fastest growth in 13 quarters)..." https://t.co/HgFigEwVx8
- The Transcript
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