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Wasteland Capital
The slop-bowl-apocalypse continues. $CMG Same store sales down -2.5%, and the fourth Q in a row of declining traffic (-3.2%). Margins ok, BUT guidance for flat SSS for this year, implying that nothing is working to get more orders in, and +3-4% topline? No bueno at 33x โ26 P/E! https://t.co/Dj7Q4FJEaa
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The slop-bowl-apocalypse continues. $CMG Same store sales down -2.5%, and the fourth Q in a row of declining traffic (-3.2%). Margins ok, BUT guidance for flat SSS for this year, implying that nothing is working to get more orders in, and +3-4% topline? No bueno at 33x โ26 P/E! https://t.co/Dj7Q4FJEaa
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Pristine Capital
RT @realpristinecap: โข US Price Cycle Update ๐
โข Rotating into $XLP Consumer Staples ๐
โข $NVDA Testing Yearly POC Into Earnings ๐ก
Check out tonight's research note!
https://t.co/eYtaSwtTRt
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RT @realpristinecap: โข US Price Cycle Update ๐
โข Rotating into $XLP Consumer Staples ๐
โข $NVDA Testing Yearly POC Into Earnings ๐ก
Check out tonight's research note!
https://t.co/eYtaSwtTRt
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Offshore
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Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
RT @TeddyOkuyama: Kiyohara's explanation of how small cap growth stocks 'climb the valuation ladder' in Japan. First there is no analyst coverage, and the stock trades at 5x PE. Only retail and small HF buy. Then it gets coverage by Ichiyoshi, and then SBI, Okasan, Daiwa, and all the big brokers, by the time which the multiple will reach 15-20x PE. I.e. smart retail can buy small growth early and sell it to institutional in the end.
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RT @TeddyOkuyama: Kiyohara's explanation of how small cap growth stocks 'climb the valuation ladder' in Japan. First there is no analyst coverage, and the stock trades at 5x PE. Only retail and small HF buy. Then it gets coverage by Ichiyoshi, and then SBI, Okasan, Daiwa, and all the big brokers, by the time which the multiple will reach 15-20x PE. I.e. smart retail can buy small growth early and sell it to institutional in the end.
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Michael Fritzell (Asian Century Stocks)
RT @nothingbutjp: This still holds true. 5x PE (or 5x ev/ebit) is the right range.
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RT @nothingbutjp: This still holds true. 5x PE (or 5x ev/ebit) is the right range.
Kiyohara's explanation of how small cap growth stocks 'climb the valuation ladder' in Japan. First there is no analyst coverage, and the stock trades at 5x PE. Only retail and small HF buy. Then it gets coverage by Ichiyoshi, and then SBI, Okasan, Daiwa, and all the big brokers, by the time which the multiple will reach 15-20x PE. I.e. smart retail can buy small growth early and sell it to institutional in the end. - Japan Stock Feedtweet
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The Transcript
$FCX Freeport-McMoRan CEO: "global inventories of copper on exchanges have risen in recent months during a period of sharp increases in copper prices. Most analysts are projecting that the market will be tightly balanced during 2026, with some projecting deficits and others small surpluses."
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$FCX Freeport-McMoRan CEO: "global inventories of copper on exchanges have risen in recent months during a period of sharp increases in copper prices. Most analysts are projecting that the market will be tightly balanced during 2026, with some projecting deficits and others small surpluses."
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Fiscal.ai
Monday dot com since going public
Revenue: +387%
Stock Price: -55%
$MNDY https://t.co/EvXqFed66B
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Monday dot com since going public
Revenue: +387%
Stock Price: -55%
$MNDY https://t.co/EvXqFed66B
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The Transcript
Thursday's earnings deck:
Before Open: $UBER $LLY $ADNT $ABBV $NVO $CME $CDW $BG $CTSH $UBS $FTV $GEHC $BSX $JCI
After Close: $GOOGL $ARM $ORLY $SYM $FLNC $ALL $COHR $ELF $QCOM $ALGT $MET $MOD $MCK $ALGN https://t.co/cyaSq4JWWr
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Thursday's earnings deck:
Before Open: $UBER $LLY $ADNT $ABBV $NVO $CME $CDW $BG $CTSH $UBS $FTV $GEHC $BSX $JCI
After Close: $GOOGL $ARM $ORLY $SYM $FLNC $ALL $COHR $ELF $QCOM $ALGT $MET $MOD $MCK $ALGN https://t.co/cyaSq4JWWr
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: ChatGPT's custom instructions feature is insanely powerful.
But 99% of people write garbage instructions.
I tested 200+ custom instruction sets.
These 5 patterns increased output quality by 3.4x: https://t.co/xVEOxr2Gm8
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RT @godofprompt: ChatGPT's custom instructions feature is insanely powerful.
But 99% of people write garbage instructions.
I tested 200+ custom instruction sets.
These 5 patterns increased output quality by 3.4x: https://t.co/xVEOxr2Gm8
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @QualityInvest5: Sorry mom gonna have to call you back, Dimitry just dropped another post on $FICO
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RT @QualityInvest5: Sorry mom gonna have to call you back, Dimitry just dropped another post on $FICO
One of the more interesting things about $FICO is that, as long-term shareholders, a lower short-term stock price can be beneficial in the long-run.
How?
Because $FICO is a cannibal.
Shares outstanding down ~22% over the last 10 years.
In the last 12 months alone, $FICO spent ~$1.54B on buybacks.
That reduced share count by roughly 0.16M shares (160K).
Now letโs look at why price matters:
Assume $FICO allocates another $1.54B to repurchases.
___
๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐ข๐จ ๐:
Market cap = $31.65B
$1.54B / $31.65B โ 4.86% of the company โ ๐.๐๐% ๐๐จ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐๐
๐๐๐๐ง๐๐ซ๐ข๐จ ๐:
Market cap = ~$47.47B
$1.54B / $47.47B โ 3.24% of the company โ ๐.๐๐% ๐๐จ๐จ๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐๐
___
Same dollars. Different outcome.
๐๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ, ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ฉ๐ช๐ฑ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ค๐ฉ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ณ๐ค๐ฉ๐ข๐ด๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ญ๐ข๐ณ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ต๐ช๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด โ ๐ข๐ฏ๐ฅ ๐ต๐ฉ๐ฆ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ง๐ถ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฆ๐ข๐ณ๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฆ๐ณ ๐ข๐ค๐ค๐ณ๐ถ๐ฆ๐ด ๐ต๐ฐ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐ข๐ช๐ฏ๐ช๐ฏ๐จ ๐ด๐ฉ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด.
๐๐๐๐จ ๐๐จ ๐ฌ๐๐ฎ ๐๐ค๐ง ๐๐๐๐-๐ฆ๐ช๐๐ก๐๐ฉ๐ฎ ๐๐๐ฃ๐ฃ๐๐๐๐ก๐จ, ๐ฅ๐๐ง๐๐ค๐๐จ ๐ค๐ ๐ฅ๐ง๐๐๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ ๐ฃ๐๐จ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ช๐๐๐ฉ๐ก๐ฎ ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ฃ๐๐ ๐ก๐ค๐ฃ๐-๐ฉ๐๐ง๐ข ๐๐ค๐ข๐ฅ๐ค๐ช๐ฃ๐๐๐ฃ๐.
๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฃ๐ข๐ค๐ฌ๐ด ๐ฅ๐ฐ๐ฏโ๐ต ๐ซ๐ถ๐ด๐ต ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ต๐ถ๐ณ๐ฏ ๐ค๐ข๐ฑ๐ช๐ต๐ข๐ญ. ๐๐ฉ๐ฆ๐บ ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ค๐ข๐ต๐ฆ ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ฏ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด๐ฉ๐ช๐ฑ ๐ต๐ฐ๐ธ๐ข๐ณ๐ฅ ๐ฑ๐ข๐ต๐ช๐ฆ๐ฏ๐ต ๐ด๐ฉ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฐ๐ญ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ณ๐ด โ ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ด๐ต ๐ฆ๐ง๐ง๐ฆ๐ค๐ต๐ช๐ท๐ฆ๐ญ๐บ ๐ธ๐ฉ๐ฆ๐ฏ ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ช๐ค๐ฆ๐ด ๐ข๐ณ๐ฆ ๐ฅ๐ฆ๐ฑ๐ณ๐ฆ๐ด๐ด๐ฆ๐ฅ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎtweet