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The Transcript
$PYPL: -16% Pre-Market https://t.co/QyzKUK0R4B
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$PYPL: -16% Pre-Market https://t.co/QyzKUK0R4B
PayPal double miss & replaces @acce as CEO with HP CEO Enrique Lores.
Board comment: While some progress has been made in a number of areas over the last two years, the pace of change and execution was not in line with the Board’s expectations."
$PYPL: -16% Pre-Market https://t.co/I76WPqt9ON - The Transcripttweet
Offshore
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Chips & SaaS
RT @DividendTalks: This is how Wall Street is positioning for semiconductors in 2026.
Not Twitter hype.
Not retail flow.
Actual top picks from JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citi, and Goldman Sachs.
Different banks.
Different models.
Same conclusion.
The names that keep showing up:
$NVDA
$AVGO
$ASML
$LRCX
$AMAT
$ADI
$CDNS
$KLAC
This isn’t about “the next AI stock.”
It’s about who controls the bottlenecks:
• EUV lithography $ASML
• Chipmaking equipment $LRCX $AMAT $KLAC
• High-value IP and design software $CDNS $ADI
• System-level leverage $NVDA $AVGO
When banks align like this, they’re not trading headlines - they’re underwriting multi-year capex, backlog visibility, and pricing power.
Retail chases earnings beats.
Institutions position years ahead.
The real question isn’t “what’s the next runner?”
It’s where in the semiconductor stack you want exposure.
Front-end tools?
Back-end manufacturing?
Design & IP?
Or system-level monopolies?
Which of these do you own - and which do you think Wall Street is most confident in for 2026?
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RT @DividendTalks: This is how Wall Street is positioning for semiconductors in 2026.
Not Twitter hype.
Not retail flow.
Actual top picks from JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, Bank of America, Citi, and Goldman Sachs.
Different banks.
Different models.
Same conclusion.
The names that keep showing up:
$NVDA
$AVGO
$ASML
$LRCX
$AMAT
$ADI
$CDNS
$KLAC
This isn’t about “the next AI stock.”
It’s about who controls the bottlenecks:
• EUV lithography $ASML
• Chipmaking equipment $LRCX $AMAT $KLAC
• High-value IP and design software $CDNS $ADI
• System-level leverage $NVDA $AVGO
When banks align like this, they’re not trading headlines - they’re underwriting multi-year capex, backlog visibility, and pricing power.
Retail chases earnings beats.
Institutions position years ahead.
The real question isn’t “what’s the next runner?”
It’s where in the semiconductor stack you want exposure.
Front-end tools?
Back-end manufacturing?
Design & IP?
Or system-level monopolies?
Which of these do you own - and which do you think Wall Street is most confident in for 2026?
tweet
Offshore
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The Transcript
Eaton CEO: "...solid performance in 2025...Our growing and diversified backlog provides us with extended visibility...As we enter 2026, we are confident that this momentum positions us to capitalize on the significant opportunities ahead..."
$ETN: -4% Pre-Market https://t.co/TgIt0WtxC9
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Eaton CEO: "...solid performance in 2025...Our growing and diversified backlog provides us with extended visibility...As we enter 2026, we are confident that this momentum positions us to capitalize on the significant opportunities ahead..."
$ETN: -4% Pre-Market https://t.co/TgIt0WtxC9
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Offshore
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The Transcript
Transdigm CEO: "...This is a solid start to the 2026 fiscal year. Total revenue ran ahead of our expectations. Additionally, bookings were strong in all three of our major market channels."
$TDG: +4% Pre-Market https://t.co/vGaj8sUm3V
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Transdigm CEO: "...This is a solid start to the 2026 fiscal year. Total revenue ran ahead of our expectations. Additionally, bookings were strong in all three of our major market channels."
$TDG: +4% Pre-Market https://t.co/vGaj8sUm3V
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Benjamin Hernandez😎
No drama yesterday—just results. Premarket has high-conviction setups forming right now. We’ve highlighted bands and triggers already. Join the chat that actually delivers.
Enter 👉 https://t.co/71FIJId47G
Reply “Go” for instant access.
$RR $SOC $BMNR $BYND $PULM https://t.co/16o8luUIRQ
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No drama yesterday—just results. Premarket has high-conviction setups forming right now. We’ve highlighted bands and triggers already. Join the chat that actually delivers.
Enter 👉 https://t.co/71FIJId47G
Reply “Go” for instant access.
$RR $SOC $BMNR $BYND $PULM https://t.co/16o8luUIRQ
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Offshore
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Lumida Wealth Management
OpenAI lost $12 billion in a single quarter.
July through September 2025.
Microsoft's SEC filing confirmed it.
That's one of the biggest quarterly losses in tech history.
Only AOL Time Warner and Intel have ever lost more in three months. https://t.co/r8CMZRmCuh
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OpenAI lost $12 billion in a single quarter.
July through September 2025.
Microsoft's SEC filing confirmed it.
That's one of the biggest quarterly losses in tech history.
Only AOL Time Warner and Intel have ever lost more in three months. https://t.co/r8CMZRmCuh
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Offshore
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The Few Bets That Matter
If you are shocked by this $PYPL print... You just haven't been paying any attention.
You fell in love with your bias.
You shouldn't have been expecting anything else.
"Undervalued" is just another word to fool ourselves.
https://t.co/kH8PPQWPw2 https://t.co/9ypKMiwmzg
tweet
If you are shocked by this $PYPL print... You just haven't been paying any attention.
You fell in love with your bias.
You shouldn't have been expecting anything else.
"Undervalued" is just another word to fool ourselves.
https://t.co/kH8PPQWPw2 https://t.co/9ypKMiwmzg
The stocks I wouldn't be buying just yet... And why.
$NFLX
$ADBE
$DUOL
$MELI
$UBER
$META
$PYPL
$HIMS
Investing isn’t playing Pokémon; the goal isn’t to catch them all. It is to catch the great ones, the ones that can make a difference. - The Few Bets That Mattertweet
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The Few Bets That Matter
If you are shocked by this $PYPL print... You haven't been paying any attention.
You fell in love with your bias.
You shouldn't have been expecting anything else.
Undervalued is just another word to fool ourselves. And buybacks were never a bull case.
https://t.co/kH8PPQWPw2 https://t.co/c6n4qqs2gd
tweet
If you are shocked by this $PYPL print... You haven't been paying any attention.
You fell in love with your bias.
You shouldn't have been expecting anything else.
Undervalued is just another word to fool ourselves. And buybacks were never a bull case.
https://t.co/kH8PPQWPw2 https://t.co/c6n4qqs2gd
The stocks I wouldn't be buying just yet... And why.
$NFLX
$ADBE
$DUOL
$MELI
$UBER
$META
$PYPL
$HIMS
Investing isn’t playing Pokémon; the goal isn’t to catch them all. It is to catch the great ones, the ones that can make a difference. - The Few Bets That Mattertweet
Offshore
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The Transcript
🎬 Disney Succession:
— Josh D’Amaro named CEO of Disney Company, effective March 18, 2026, succeeding Bob Iger.
— Dana Walden appointed President and Chief Creative Officer, reporting to D’Amaro, in a newly created role.
$DIS: +1% Pre-Market https://t.co/mQNUPRTQ5G
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🎬 Disney Succession:
— Josh D’Amaro named CEO of Disney Company, effective March 18, 2026, succeeding Bob Iger.
— Dana Walden appointed President and Chief Creative Officer, reporting to D’Amaro, in a newly created role.
$DIS: +1% Pre-Market https://t.co/mQNUPRTQ5G
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
There have been two very different — and 𝘴𝘦𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 — camps in Google over the last couple of years.
𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 of world-class investors stepped in when shares traded ~15x earnings, amid regulatory pressure, competitive fears, and a narrative that Google would be an AI laggard.
𝐀𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 began buying after Google’s AI breakout — once the company was clearly demonstrating leadership in models, infrastructure, and real-world deployment.
𝙄𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙮, 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙛𝙞𝙧𝙨𝙩 𝙘𝙖𝙢𝙥 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙩𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙢𝙚𝙙 𝙤𝙧 𝙨𝙤𝙢𝙚 𝙚𝙭𝙞𝙩𝙚𝙙, 𝙖𝙨 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙 𝙘𝙖𝙢𝙥 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙙.
And I think 𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘩 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘣𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐭 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬/𝘳𝘦𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘦𝘹𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘰𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘴𝘺𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘤.
Bad news was abundant. Expectations were depressed. The margin of safety was wide.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘣𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘳.
Google is proving itself as a serious AI leader, regulatory fears have softened, and the company’s long-term growth runway looks larger than it did two years ago.
Same company.
Different entry points.
Different sources of edge.
𝘌𝘢𝘳𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘳, Google was a multiple + sentiment mean-reversion opportunity.
𝘛𝘰𝘥𝘢𝘺, it’s more of a premium business compounding opportunity — where returns depend on sustained execution, not multiple expansion.
𝙄𝙣 𝙗𝙤𝙩𝙝 𝙘𝙖𝙨𝙚𝙨, 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙡𝙮𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙗𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙚𝙛 𝙞𝙨 𝙨𝙞𝙢𝙞𝙡𝙖𝙧:
𝐆𝐨𝐨𝐠𝐥𝐞’𝐬 𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐠-𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦 𝐨𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐢𝐬 𝐛𝐢𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐰𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐝 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠.
I personally think Google is still early in its AI story. The applications, monetization paths, and ecosystem effects are just beginning to show themselves.
Not every great investment looks the same.
𝘚𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘴 the edge is buying when expectations collapse.
𝘚𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘴 the edge is recognizing that the future is larger than consensus.
Different paths.
Different expressions of the same long-term thesis.
$GOOGL $GOOGL
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There have been two very different — and 𝘴𝘦𝘦𝘮𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘭𝘺 𝘰𝘱𝘱𝘰𝘴𝘪𝘯𝘨 — camps in Google over the last couple of years.
𝐎𝐧𝐞 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 of world-class investors stepped in when shares traded ~15x earnings, amid regulatory pressure, competitive fears, and a narrative that Google would be an AI laggard.
𝐀𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 began buying after Google’s AI breakout — once the company was clearly demonstrating leadership in models, infrastructure, and real-world deployment.
𝙄𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙨𝙩𝙞𝙣𝙜𝙡𝙮, 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙛𝙞𝙧𝙨𝙩 𝙘𝙖𝙢𝙥 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙩𝙧𝙞𝙢𝙢𝙚𝙙 𝙤𝙧 𝙨𝙤𝙢𝙚 𝙚𝙭𝙞𝙩𝙚𝙙, 𝙖𝙨 𝙢𝙖𝙣𝙮 𝙛𝙧𝙤𝙢 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙨𝙚𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙 𝙘𝙖𝙢𝙥 𝙝𝙖𝙫𝙚 𝙚𝙣𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙚𝙙.
And I think 𝘣𝘰𝘵𝘩 𝘤𝘢𝘯 𝘣𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐭 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬/𝘳𝘦𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘸𝘢𝘴 𝘦𝘹𝘵𝘳𝘢𝘰𝘳𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘳𝘪𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘴𝘺𝘮𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘤.
Bad news was abundant. Expectations were depressed. The margin of safety was wide.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐝 𝐠𝐫𝐨𝐮𝐩 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘣𝘦 𝘳𝘪𝘨𝘩𝘵 𝘣𝘦𝘤𝘢𝘶𝘴𝘦 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘴 𝘯𝘰𝘸 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘳.
Google is proving itself as a serious AI leader, regulatory fears have softened, and the company’s long-term growth runway looks larger than it did two years ago.
Same company.
Different entry points.
Different sources of edge.
𝘌𝘢𝘳𝘭𝘪𝘦𝘳, Google was a multiple + sentiment mean-reversion opportunity.
𝘛𝘰𝘥𝘢𝘺, it’s more of a premium business compounding opportunity — where returns depend on sustained execution, not multiple expansion.
𝙄𝙣 𝙗𝙤𝙩𝙝 𝙘𝙖𝙨𝙚𝙨, 𝙩𝙝𝙚 𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙚𝙧𝙡𝙮𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙗𝙚𝙡𝙞𝙚𝙛 𝙞𝙨 𝙨𝙞𝙢𝙞𝙡𝙖𝙧:
𝐆𝐨𝐨𝐠𝐥𝐞’𝐬 𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐠-𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦 𝐨𝐩𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐢𝐬 𝐛𝐢𝐠𝐠𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐰𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐤𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐝 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠.
I personally think Google is still early in its AI story. The applications, monetization paths, and ecosystem effects are just beginning to show themselves.
Not every great investment looks the same.
𝘚𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘴 the edge is buying when expectations collapse.
𝘚𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘮𝘦𝘴 the edge is recognizing that the future is larger than consensus.
Different paths.
Different expressions of the same long-term thesis.
$GOOGL $GOOGL
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