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The Few Bets That Matter
Three defensive stocks which will outperform the $SPY this year.
$DAR - Turns waste into fuel. Government is about to force oil companies to buy more credits which benegfits $DAR two-folds.
$NTR - World's biggest fertilizer. Demand is growing while supply is flat and won't expand before long. Pricing power and guidance raised.
$SWBI - A pro-firearm administration, a cleared inventory and strong demand for new products.
None of them are sexy. All of them are cheap.
Depends if you're in it for the glory or the money.
https://t.co/4VEeuiyaMg
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Three defensive stocks which will outperform the $SPY this year.
$DAR - Turns waste into fuel. Government is about to force oil companies to buy more credits which benegfits $DAR two-folds.
$NTR - World's biggest fertilizer. Demand is growing while supply is flat and won't expand before long. Pricing power and guidance raised.
$SWBI - A pro-firearm administration, a cleared inventory and strong demand for new products.
None of them are sexy. All of them are cheap.
Depends if you're in it for the glory or the money.
https://t.co/4VEeuiyaMg
https://t.co/GeThNIWDHo tweet
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Fiscal.ai
General Motors has bought back 38% of its shares over the last 4 years.
That's an 11% annual reduction.
Emerging share cannibal?
$GM https://t.co/SV81hm1StX
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General Motors has bought back 38% of its shares over the last 4 years.
That's an 11% annual reduction.
Emerging share cannibal?
$GM https://t.co/SV81hm1StX
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App Economy Insights
Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy FY25.
Revenue -5% Y/Y to €80.8B:
🍷 Wines & Spirits -9% to €5.4B.
👜 Fashion & Leather goods -8% to €37.8B.
💅 Perfumes & Cosmetics -3% to €8.2B.
💍 Watches & Jewelry -1% to €10.5B.
🛍️ Selective retailing +0% to €18.3B. https://t.co/DOAjmlG6pu
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Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy FY25.
Revenue -5% Y/Y to €80.8B:
🍷 Wines & Spirits -9% to €5.4B.
👜 Fashion & Leather goods -8% to €37.8B.
💅 Perfumes & Cosmetics -3% to €8.2B.
💍 Watches & Jewelry -1% to €10.5B.
🛍️ Selective retailing +0% to €18.3B. https://t.co/DOAjmlG6pu
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
ASML Holding $ASML reports Q4 2025 Earnings in 12 hours (1:00AM EST) 💵
🗓️ REV Est: €9.58B (+3%)
🗓️ EPS Est: €7.55 (+10%)
Key Highlights from Q4 2024 Report:
•Q4 Net Sales: €9.26B
•FY 2024 Revenue: €28.26B
•FY Installed Base •REV: €6.5B (16% YoY)
•Q4 Gross Margin: 51.7%
•FY Gross Margin: 51.3%
•FY Net Income: €7.6B
•FY Net System Sales (in units): 44 EUV, 374 DUV, 165 Metrology & Inspection
•Q4 Net System Bookings: €7.1B (of which €3.0B EUV)
•Year-end Backlog: ~€36B
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ASML Holding $ASML reports Q4 2025 Earnings in 12 hours (1:00AM EST) 💵
🗓️ REV Est: €9.58B (+3%)
🗓️ EPS Est: €7.55 (+10%)
Key Highlights from Q4 2024 Report:
•Q4 Net Sales: €9.26B
•FY 2024 Revenue: €28.26B
•FY Installed Base •REV: €6.5B (16% YoY)
•Q4 Gross Margin: 51.7%
•FY Gross Margin: 51.3%
•FY Net Income: €7.6B
•FY Net System Sales (in units): 44 EUV, 374 DUV, 165 Metrology & Inspection
•Q4 Net System Bookings: €7.1B (of which €3.0B EUV)
•Year-end Backlog: ~€36B
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The Few Bets That Matter
$UPS delivered a decent quarter this morning.
Still #2 on my watchlist.
The $AMZN divorce is ongoing and the company continues to cut costs left and rights 8ayoffs, network optimization, infrastructure cuts)...
H1-26 should be a bit ugly on the revenue side but they're also getting more per package with stable margins.
Key things to watch from here:
🔹Revenue per package
🔹Operating margins
🔹FCF margins
All three need to move higher to prove $UPS can walk away from $AMZN without hurting its cash-generating power; and be rewarded with higher multiples for it.
Next few quarters won’t be easy. But if they deliver, we get the perfect retest and confirmation of the upside.
This is a 100%+ return setup with the right trade 👇
https://t.co/vLFaK8OCfJ
tweet
$UPS delivered a decent quarter this morning.
Still #2 on my watchlist.
The $AMZN divorce is ongoing and the company continues to cut costs left and rights 8ayoffs, network optimization, infrastructure cuts)...
H1-26 should be a bit ugly on the revenue side but they're also getting more per package with stable margins.
Key things to watch from here:
🔹Revenue per package
🔹Operating margins
🔹FCF margins
All three need to move higher to prove $UPS can walk away from $AMZN without hurting its cash-generating power; and be rewarded with higher multiples for it.
Next few quarters won’t be easy. But if they deliver, we get the perfect retest and confirmation of the upside.
This is a 100%+ return setup with the right trade 👇
https://t.co/vLFaK8OCfJ
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The Few Bets That Matter
How long before we accept that a stock just isn’t ready to go higher?
Every day, hundreds tell you to buy $ADBE $DUOL $HIMS $UNH $NFLX $PYPL & co.
Yet they keep printing yearly lows. Which gives them even more attention.
People love losers. And being down 50% apparently.
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How long before we accept that a stock just isn’t ready to go higher?
Every day, hundreds tell you to buy $ADBE $DUOL $HIMS $UNH $NFLX $PYPL & co.
Yet they keep printing yearly lows. Which gives them even more attention.
People love losers. And being down 50% apparently.
https://t.co/gymKiwJpsu tweet
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The Few Bets That Matter (@WealthyReadings) on X
The FinX Darlings & Why Not to Buy Them
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Here are the members of Congress who have made the most in the stock market over the last week, per our estimates.
Pelosi is up $3.5M, more than 20 times her annual salary.
Track their portfolios live on Quiver: https://t.co/8zxlvTUFKc
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JUST IN: Here are the members of Congress who have made the most in the stock market over the last week, per our estimates.
Pelosi is up $3.5M, more than 20 times her annual salary.
Track their portfolios live on Quiver: https://t.co/8zxlvTUFKc
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Fiscal.ai
Reminder: Amazon owns a ~15% stake in Anthropic, the parent company behind Claude.
Earlier this month, Anthropic announced they were raising money at a $350B valuation.
$AMZN https://t.co/dLbVo39wi4
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Reminder: Amazon owns a ~15% stake in Anthropic, the parent company behind Claude.
Earlier this month, Anthropic announced they were raising money at a $350B valuation.
$AMZN https://t.co/dLbVo39wi4
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Clark Square Capital
Strategic Cap has 6 proposals for Gungho's annual meeting in March.
The two most important: 1) calls for a repurchase of Taizo Son's shares, or >20% of shares outstanding, and 2) calls for a special dividend of 20% of Gungho's cash.
Bodes well for a return of cap at $GRVY
Link: https://t.co/Y5cL8mEYTX
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Strategic Cap has 6 proposals for Gungho's annual meeting in March.
The two most important: 1) calls for a repurchase of Taizo Son's shares, or >20% of shares outstanding, and 2) calls for a special dividend of 20% of Gungho's cash.
Bodes well for a return of cap at $GRVY
Link: https://t.co/Y5cL8mEYTX
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