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The Few Bets That Matter
$UNH might be a great company and maybe even a great long-term opportunity.
But I don’t understand the need to jump on every hyped trade on social media without even understanding the business.
Insurance is complex.
The models are complex.
The regulations are complex...
And right now thigns are clearly not going well for bulls. Why push you luck? Just move on, there are better names out there.
Not every stock needs your money.
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$UNH might be a great company and maybe even a great long-term opportunity.
But I don’t understand the need to jump on every hyped trade on social media without even understanding the business.
Insurance is complex.
The models are complex.
The regulations are complex...
And right now thigns are clearly not going well for bulls. Why push you luck? Just move on, there are better names out there.
Not every stock needs your money.
tweet
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The Few Bets That Matter
Three defensive stocks which will outperform the $SPY this year.
$DAR - Turns waste into fuel. Government is about to force oil companies to buy more credits which benegfits $DAR two-folds.
$NTR - World's biggest fertilizer. Demand is growing while supply is flat and won't expand before long. Pricing power and guidance raised.
$SWBI - A pro-firearm administration, a cleared inventory and strong demand for new products.
None of them are sexy. All of them are cheap.
Depends if you're in it for the glory or the money.
https://t.co/4VEeuiyaMg
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Three defensive stocks which will outperform the $SPY this year.
$DAR - Turns waste into fuel. Government is about to force oil companies to buy more credits which benegfits $DAR two-folds.
$NTR - World's biggest fertilizer. Demand is growing while supply is flat and won't expand before long. Pricing power and guidance raised.
$SWBI - A pro-firearm administration, a cleared inventory and strong demand for new products.
None of them are sexy. All of them are cheap.
Depends if you're in it for the glory or the money.
https://t.co/4VEeuiyaMg
https://t.co/GeThNIWDHo tweet
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Fiscal.ai
General Motors has bought back 38% of its shares over the last 4 years.
That's an 11% annual reduction.
Emerging share cannibal?
$GM https://t.co/SV81hm1StX
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General Motors has bought back 38% of its shares over the last 4 years.
That's an 11% annual reduction.
Emerging share cannibal?
$GM https://t.co/SV81hm1StX
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App Economy Insights
Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy FY25.
Revenue -5% Y/Y to €80.8B:
🍷 Wines & Spirits -9% to €5.4B.
👜 Fashion & Leather goods -8% to €37.8B.
💅 Perfumes & Cosmetics -3% to €8.2B.
💍 Watches & Jewelry -1% to €10.5B.
🛍️ Selective retailing +0% to €18.3B. https://t.co/DOAjmlG6pu
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Louis Vuitton Moët Hennessy FY25.
Revenue -5% Y/Y to €80.8B:
🍷 Wines & Spirits -9% to €5.4B.
👜 Fashion & Leather goods -8% to €37.8B.
💅 Perfumes & Cosmetics -3% to €8.2B.
💍 Watches & Jewelry -1% to €10.5B.
🛍️ Selective retailing +0% to €18.3B. https://t.co/DOAjmlG6pu
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
ASML Holding $ASML reports Q4 2025 Earnings in 12 hours (1:00AM EST) 💵
🗓️ REV Est: €9.58B (+3%)
🗓️ EPS Est: €7.55 (+10%)
Key Highlights from Q4 2024 Report:
•Q4 Net Sales: €9.26B
•FY 2024 Revenue: €28.26B
•FY Installed Base •REV: €6.5B (16% YoY)
•Q4 Gross Margin: 51.7%
•FY Gross Margin: 51.3%
•FY Net Income: €7.6B
•FY Net System Sales (in units): 44 EUV, 374 DUV, 165 Metrology & Inspection
•Q4 Net System Bookings: €7.1B (of which €3.0B EUV)
•Year-end Backlog: ~€36B
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ASML Holding $ASML reports Q4 2025 Earnings in 12 hours (1:00AM EST) 💵
🗓️ REV Est: €9.58B (+3%)
🗓️ EPS Est: €7.55 (+10%)
Key Highlights from Q4 2024 Report:
•Q4 Net Sales: €9.26B
•FY 2024 Revenue: €28.26B
•FY Installed Base •REV: €6.5B (16% YoY)
•Q4 Gross Margin: 51.7%
•FY Gross Margin: 51.3%
•FY Net Income: €7.6B
•FY Net System Sales (in units): 44 EUV, 374 DUV, 165 Metrology & Inspection
•Q4 Net System Bookings: €7.1B (of which €3.0B EUV)
•Year-end Backlog: ~€36B
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The Few Bets That Matter
$UPS delivered a decent quarter this morning.
Still #2 on my watchlist.
The $AMZN divorce is ongoing and the company continues to cut costs left and rights 8ayoffs, network optimization, infrastructure cuts)...
H1-26 should be a bit ugly on the revenue side but they're also getting more per package with stable margins.
Key things to watch from here:
🔹Revenue per package
🔹Operating margins
🔹FCF margins
All three need to move higher to prove $UPS can walk away from $AMZN without hurting its cash-generating power; and be rewarded with higher multiples for it.
Next few quarters won’t be easy. But if they deliver, we get the perfect retest and confirmation of the upside.
This is a 100%+ return setup with the right trade 👇
https://t.co/vLFaK8OCfJ
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$UPS delivered a decent quarter this morning.
Still #2 on my watchlist.
The $AMZN divorce is ongoing and the company continues to cut costs left and rights 8ayoffs, network optimization, infrastructure cuts)...
H1-26 should be a bit ugly on the revenue side but they're also getting more per package with stable margins.
Key things to watch from here:
🔹Revenue per package
🔹Operating margins
🔹FCF margins
All three need to move higher to prove $UPS can walk away from $AMZN without hurting its cash-generating power; and be rewarded with higher multiples for it.
Next few quarters won’t be easy. But if they deliver, we get the perfect retest and confirmation of the upside.
This is a 100%+ return setup with the right trade 👇
https://t.co/vLFaK8OCfJ
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The Few Bets That Matter
How long before we accept that a stock just isn’t ready to go higher?
Every day, hundreds tell you to buy $ADBE $DUOL $HIMS $UNH $NFLX $PYPL & co.
Yet they keep printing yearly lows. Which gives them even more attention.
People love losers. And being down 50% apparently.
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How long before we accept that a stock just isn’t ready to go higher?
Every day, hundreds tell you to buy $ADBE $DUOL $HIMS $UNH $NFLX $PYPL & co.
Yet they keep printing yearly lows. Which gives them even more attention.
People love losers. And being down 50% apparently.
https://t.co/gymKiwJpsu tweet
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The Few Bets That Matter (@WealthyReadings) on X
The FinX Darlings & Why Not to Buy Them
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Here are the members of Congress who have made the most in the stock market over the last week, per our estimates.
Pelosi is up $3.5M, more than 20 times her annual salary.
Track their portfolios live on Quiver: https://t.co/8zxlvTUFKc
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JUST IN: Here are the members of Congress who have made the most in the stock market over the last week, per our estimates.
Pelosi is up $3.5M, more than 20 times her annual salary.
Track their portfolios live on Quiver: https://t.co/8zxlvTUFKc
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