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God of Prompt
RT @alex_prompter: secret life hack:

> install prompt copilot in your chrome browser
> create your context profile
> enhance your prompts with personalized info

https://t.co/ljXGkMbGyM

your prompts suck and your AI forgets you exist

we fixed both:
โ†’ prompt enhancement that actually works
โ†’ context profiles that follow you everywhere

same you, any AI.

start for free ๐Ÿ‘‰ https://t.co/TKMMCzVWj1 https://t.co/xzSQCkyvu7
- Prompt Copilot
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Fiscal.ai
Uber has increased its take-rate over the years.

Current Mobility Take Rate: 31%

How much higher can this go?

$UBER https://t.co/eLGTAAqIVp
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God of Prompt
50% = the model you use
50% = your prompt

interesting research.

MIT tested 1,900 people on AI performance.

50% was the model.
50% was the prompt.

Your skill matters as much as the model itself. https://t.co/b43Q9l16bM
- Prompt Copilot
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @F_Compounders: Great way to assess pricing power

Chris Hohn, founder of TCI, views high incremental margins as one of the strongest signals of a companyโ€™s moat & pricing power๐Ÿ’ธ

Incremental operating margin tells you how much additional operating income a business generates for every additional $1 of revenue.

Hereโ€™s how to calculate it:

Pick two periods (Year 1 โ†’ Year 2)

Year 1 Revenue: $10B
Year 2 Revenue: $12B
ฮ” ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: $๐Ÿ๐

Year 1 Operating Income: $2B
Year 2 Operating Income: $3B
ฮ” ๐‚๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž: $๐Ÿ๐

๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐ซ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ฅ ๐Ž๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ ๐ข๐ง = ฮ” ๐Ž๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ˆ๐ง๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ž / ฮ” ๐‘๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ง๐ฎ๐ž

So: $1B / $2B = 50%

๐˜”๐˜ฆ๐˜ข๐˜ฏ๐˜ช๐˜ฏ๐˜จ: 50 cents of every new $1 of revenue fell to operating profit.
___

Why this matters: High incremental margins usually signal low incremental costs, pricing power, & structural operating leverage โ€” the traits that allow a great business to compound faster as it scales. Itโ€™s one of the cleanest ways to see whether a companyโ€™s moat is strengthening & efficiently scaling.

Iโ€™ve included 4 high-quality stocks with their incremental operating margins since 2021 for further example ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

$FICO $MSFT $MA $NFLX
- Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: How to write prompts that make AI give you exactly what's in your head:
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: In hindsight, perhaps a year from today, the brief moment $MSFT traded at ~26x may look like an obvious opportunity hiding in plain sight. https://t.co/G5EHiyA5AB

A quality valuation analysis on $MSFT ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 27.29x
โ€ข3-Year Mean: 30.51x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 2.09%
โ€ข3-Year Mean: 2.46%

As you can see, $MSFT appears to be trading below fair value on a forward earnings basis

Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~12% MORE in earnings per share & ~18% LESS in FCF per share๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $MSFT is a super business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Equivalents: $102.01B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $35.38B

$MSFT has an excellent balance sheet, an AAA S&P Credit Rating & 58x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2021: 31.1%
โ€ข2022: 34.0%
โ€ข2023: 30.9%
โ€ข2024: 29.7%
โ€ข2025: 28.0%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2021: 47.1%
โ€ข2022: 47.2%
โ€ข2023: 38.8%
โ€ข2024: 37.1%
โ€ข2025: 33.3%

$MSFT has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUEโœ…
โ€ข2021: $168.09B
โ€ข2026E: $326.83B
โ€ขCAGR: 14.22%

FREE CASH FLOW๐Ÿ†—*
โ€ข2021: $56.12B
โ€ข2026E: $75.05B
โ€ขCAGR: 5.98%

*This is largely due to heavy AI-related reinvestment โ€” current 2028 FCF estimate $116.45B โ€” worth noting operating cash flow increases underscore $MSFT efficient AI infrastructure scaling validating high ROI-potential

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2021: $7.97
โ€ข2026E: $16.26
โ€ขCAGR: 15.32%

SHARE BUYBACKSโœ…
โ€ข2016 Shares Outstanding: 8.01B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 7.46B

By reducing its shares outstanding ~7%, $MSFT increased its EPS by ~8% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 68.8%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 46.3%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 35.7%

PAID DIVIDENDSโœ…
โ€ข2015: $1.24
โ€ข2025: $3.32
โ€ขCAGR: 10.34%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~12% MORE in EPS & ~18% LESS in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $MSFT has to grow earnings at a 13.65% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2026 - 2028 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (13.65%) required growth rate:

2026E: $16.26 (19% YoY) *FY Jun

2027E: $18.75 (15% YoY)
2028E: $22.31 (19% YoY)

$MSFT has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโ€™s assume $MSFT ends 2028 with $22.31 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

30x P/E: $669๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~17.9% CAGR

29x P/E: $647๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~16.3% CAGR

28x P/E: $625๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~14.7% CAGR

27x P/E: $602๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~13.0% CAGR

26x P/E: $580๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.3% CAGR

As you can see, weโ€™d have to assume ~28x multiple for $MSFT to have attractive return potential

At 26x - 27x earnings $MSFT has ok CAGR potential

If $MSFT multiple expands slightly, >15% CAGR

$MSFT is one of the highest quality companies in the world & is firing on all cylinders

Today at $454๐Ÿ’ต $MSFT appears to be a strong consideration for investment with a decent margin of safety

$MSFT has large margin of safety at $420๐Ÿ’ต, where I can reasonably expect ~13% CAGR while assuming a more conservative 25x
___

๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ

๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž๐๐ฎ๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž, ๐š๐ง ๐จ๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ž๐ซ, ๐จ๐ซ ๐š ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ.

๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐. ๐€๐ง๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ž๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ซ๐ž ๐š๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐๐š๐ญ๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐›๐ฅ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐›๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐ก๐š๐ง๐ ๐ž ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐œ๐ž.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๏ฟฝ[...]
Offshore
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ RT @DimitryNakhla: In hindsight, perhaps a year from today, the brief moment $MSFT traded at ~26x may look like an obvious opportunity hiding in plain sight. https://t.co/G5EHiyA5AB A quality valuation analysis on $MSFT ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธโ€ฆ
๏ฟฝ ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐๐จ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ tweet