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The Few Bets That Matter
$LYFT is the equivalent of price action porn.
Don't follow the company and wouldn't buy against $UBER. But every stock has a price.
And this one is going higher. https://t.co/uBcds1IDPN
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$LYFT is the equivalent of price action porn.
Don't follow the company and wouldn't buy against $UBER. But every stock has a price.
And this one is going higher. https://t.co/uBcds1IDPN
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memenodes
he is getting too powerful
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he is getting too powerful
Happy new year!!! https://t.co/IRDaFYbWIs - ウエスP(Wes-P/Mr Uekusa)tweet
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The Few Bets That Matter
Ignoring China in 2025 was costly. Ignoring it in 2026 will be even more so.
$BABA is one of my top pick for this year, for one simple reason: the government is crytal clear on its 2026 focus.
1. Consumption
2. Innovation
And when China sets priorities, it tends to execute. If you have paid attention over the past decades, you wouldn't bet against them.
Why would this time be any different?
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Ignoring China in 2025 was costly. Ignoring it in 2026 will be even more so.
$BABA is one of my top pick for this year, for one simple reason: the government is crytal clear on its 2026 focus.
1. Consumption
2. Innovation
And when China sets priorities, it tends to execute. If you have paid attention over the past decades, you wouldn't bet against them.
Why would this time be any different?
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: One of the most successful political accounts on Polymarket has bet $100K that Gavin Newsom will be the Democratic nominee in 2028.
They will win almost $300K if correct. https://t.co/rFQmwby1Q9
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JUST IN: One of the most successful political accounts on Polymarket has bet $100K that Gavin Newsom will be the Democratic nominee in 2028.
They will win almost $300K if correct. https://t.co/rFQmwby1Q9
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memenodes
First time the liquid covers her face is actually water.
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First time the liquid covers her face is actually water.
NEW: Lily Phillips has been baptized & now accepts Jesus Christ as her Lord & Savior.
The odds of Him returning this year are now down to 2%.
https://t.co/UeOTKmnjGU - Polymarkettweet
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The Few Bets That Matter
$TMDX closed the quarter with 2,308 flights after a very strong finish to December.
I see a revenue floor of ~$157M (+29% YoY), putting FY25 slightly above $600M (+36% YoY).
Final numbers will depend on DCD/DBD mix, services and heart/lung trials, but overall I expect $TMDX to at least meet the midpoint of guidance - raised three times this year.
This assumes ~20% use of third-party transport, consistent with previous quarters and management’s targets. Any deviation would impact the math.
I am very positive on the company and look forward to what FY26 brings. Probably going to be great.
https://t.co/FThbpSovjv
I still consider the stock a steal at today's price.
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$TMDX closed the quarter with 2,308 flights after a very strong finish to December.
I see a revenue floor of ~$157M (+29% YoY), putting FY25 slightly above $600M (+36% YoY).
Final numbers will depend on DCD/DBD mix, services and heart/lung trials, but overall I expect $TMDX to at least meet the midpoint of guidance - raised three times this year.
This assumes ~20% use of third-party transport, consistent with previous quarters and management’s targets. Any deviation would impact the math.
I am very positive on the company and look forward to what FY26 brings. Probably going to be great.
https://t.co/FThbpSovjv
I still consider the stock a steal at today's price.
🚨 $TMDX is dirt cheap, and I don’t say that often.
Financials are strong. Growth is strong. Multiples are reasonable. And we’re set up for a Q4 beat.
Here’s why $TMDX will go higher, why they’ll likely beat FY expectations and why it is one of the best buy on the market 👇
Quarter flight numbers so far.
🔹October: 773 flights → 24.9 per day
🔹November to date: 317 flights → 26.4 per day
🔹Q4 to date: 1,090 flights → 25.3 per day
As of today, not even halfway through Q4, $TMDX has generated around $74.4M in revenue, roughly half of what’s needed to hit the low end of its FY guidance - which has already been raised three times this year.
This comes after just 43 days, with 49 days left in the quarter.
At the current pace of 25.3 flights per day, they’re on track for.
≈ 2,330 flights total in Q4
≈ $159M in revenue
That would push FY25 revenue toward the high end of their guidance without any acceleration in flight frequency.
And december is historically the strongest month of the quarter, and the second strongest of the year in terms of transplant activity and flight data for $TMDX.
So if they simply maintain this rhythm, they’ll hit the high end of their guidance and if flights accelerate - as history suggests, we're up for a beat.
That being said, my calculations aren't perfect, nothing really is, but there are reasons to expect a strong quarter based on today data for $TMDX.
All while the stock trades at its lowest multiples in years, with many bullish catalysts ahead.
🔹 Rapid growth & expanding margins
🔹 Recession proof business model
🔹 Multiple short-term growth verticals
🔹 Strong winter seasonality
🔹 Competition acquirerd 20×+ sales
You'll find everything you need to build your convictions just below 👇 - The Few Bets That Mattertweet
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Fiscal.ai
Airbnb and Marriott currently trade at almost the exact same market cap.
Airbnb: $82 billion
Marriott: $83 billion
Which company will be larger 5 years from now?
$ABNB $MAR https://t.co/HpTl0WqzmA
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Airbnb and Marriott currently trade at almost the exact same market cap.
Airbnb: $82 billion
Marriott: $83 billion
Which company will be larger 5 years from now?
$ABNB $MAR https://t.co/HpTl0WqzmA
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