Offshore
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Fiscal.ai
PayPal is at a 10% free cash flow yield.
Value play or value trap?
$PYPL https://t.co/psALvs7fkW
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PayPal is at a 10% free cash flow yield.
Value play or value trap?
$PYPL https://t.co/psALvs7fkW
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Offshore
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The Few Bets That Matter
You only need a few great names to make a fortune, as long as you size up when you find them.
So why not focus on those only?
Current positions: $TMDX $ALAB $ONON $ETH $MSTR $BABA $NBIS $PATH 👇
https://t.co/oQtqE0KFFh
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You only need a few great names to make a fortune, as long as you size up when you find them.
So why not focus on those only?
Current positions: $TMDX $ALAB $ONON $ETH $MSTR $BABA $NBIS $PATH 👇
https://t.co/oQtqE0KFFh
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Offshore
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Clark Square Capital
$LUXE Mytheresa and Net-a-Porter right now https://t.co/GpkAWUX3Rd
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$LUXE Mytheresa and Net-a-Porter right now https://t.co/GpkAWUX3Rd
Looks like Saks isn't going to make it to New Year's https://t.co/AxPwbNDFf1 tweet
Offshore
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EndGame Macro
This is not a business and government partnership. It is the full outsourcing of sovereign state functions to a figure who answers to no electorate, but whose actions shape the global balance of power. https://t.co/Fa4AKEoqal
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This is not a business and government partnership. It is the full outsourcing of sovereign state functions to a figure who answers to no electorate, but whose actions shape the global balance of power. https://t.co/Fa4AKEoqal
(1/3) 🇺🇸 The Private Pentagon: How Washington Weaponized Musk’s Infrastructure for the Next War
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I. The Hidden Doctrine: Strategic Leverage Through Privatization
Elon Musk’s elevation to the heart of U.S. national security architecture was not the product of mere entrepreneurial brilliance. It reflects a larger structural transformation in how America asserts power in the 21st century. As trust in institutions collapses and bureaucratic inertia stifles innovation, the United States has shifted to a more agile, deniable form of statecraft: embedding sovereign functions within privately controlled platforms.
Musk’s companies SpaceX, Starlink, Tesla, Neuralink, and X have evolved into more than market leaders. They now function as critical organs of U.S. infrastructure: in defense, energy, communications, and artificial intelligence. And crucially, they operate outside of traditional oversight. This privatized scaffolding can scale up instantly in a crisis or conflict, sidestepping the usual public scrutiny that hinders state mobilization.
This isn’t nationalization. It’s something more efficient and more dangerous: strategic hollowing of the state into a civilian-owned empire capable of both wartime execution and peacetime ambiguity.
⸻
II. How the Musk Doctrine Functions in Practice
The clearest demonstration of this model is Starlink, Musk’s satellite internet constellation. While marketed as a civilian connectivity solution, Starlink is now a frontline asset in conflicts such as Ukraine, providing jam-resistant battlefield communications. It has been described in military planning circles as a redundant command-and-control grid for scenarios like a Taiwan conflict, where traditional infrastructure might be destroyed in a first strike.
SpaceX, meanwhile, now carries not only NASA payloads but also sensitive DoD and intelligence assets. Its classified arm, Starshield, is tightly integrated with U.S. military orbital surveillance and targeting functions. Through Starshield, Musk has effectively become the logistics commander of American space warfare infrastructure without a rank, a uniform, or a vote of Congressional approval.
Tesla’s Dojo supercomputer, originally trained for self-driving systems, is now being discussed as a viable platform for military-grade AI: drone swarming, ISR pattern recognition, autonomous convoy management. Musk has built the hardware and neural training base for battlefield autonomy, ahead of DARPA timelines.
Tesla’s vertically integrated supply chain including lithium, nickel, and cobalt mining and refining positions it as a strategic energy reserve. If China weaponizes rare earth exports, Tesla’s U.S.-based refining capacity and battery plants could pivot instantly into military energy logistics hubs.
Even Musk’s ownership of X (formerly Twitter) serves strategic U.S. interests. It provides deniable information operations infrastructure, with the ability to shape narratives in real time, disrupt hostile campaigns, or quietly amplify state-aligned voices. Unlike state-run media, it’s privately controlled and therefore exempt from FOIA, FARA, and Geneva restrictions. tweet
Offshore
Video
EndGame Macro
Elon Musk’s elevation to the heart of U.S. national security architecture was not the product of mere entrepreneurial brilliance. It reflects a larger structural transformation in how America asserts power in the 21st century. As trust in institutions collapses and bureaucratic inertia stifles innovation, the United States has shifted to a more agile, deniable form of statecraft…embedding sovereign functions within privately controlled platforms.
tweet
Elon Musk’s elevation to the heart of U.S. national security architecture was not the product of mere entrepreneurial brilliance. It reflects a larger structural transformation in how America asserts power in the 21st century. As trust in institutions collapses and bureaucratic inertia stifles innovation, the United States has shifted to a more agile, deniable form of statecraft…embedding sovereign functions within privately controlled platforms.
(1/3) 🇺🇸 The Private Pentagon: How Washington Weaponized Musk’s Infrastructure for the Next War
⸻
I. The Hidden Doctrine: Strategic Leverage Through Privatization
Elon Musk’s elevation to the heart of U.S. national security architecture was not the product of mere entrepreneurial brilliance. It reflects a larger structural transformation in how America asserts power in the 21st century. As trust in institutions collapses and bureaucratic inertia stifles innovation, the United States has shifted to a more agile, deniable form of statecraft: embedding sovereign functions within privately controlled platforms.
Musk’s companies SpaceX, Starlink, Tesla, Neuralink, and X have evolved into more than market leaders. They now function as critical organs of U.S. infrastructure: in defense, energy, communications, and artificial intelligence. And crucially, they operate outside of traditional oversight. This privatized scaffolding can scale up instantly in a crisis or conflict, sidestepping the usual public scrutiny that hinders state mobilization.
This isn’t nationalization. It’s something more efficient and more dangerous: strategic hollowing of the state into a civilian-owned empire capable of both wartime execution and peacetime ambiguity.
⸻
II. How the Musk Doctrine Functions in Practice
The clearest demonstration of this model is Starlink, Musk’s satellite internet constellation. While marketed as a civilian connectivity solution, Starlink is now a frontline asset in conflicts such as Ukraine, providing jam-resistant battlefield communications. It has been described in military planning circles as a redundant command-and-control grid for scenarios like a Taiwan conflict, where traditional infrastructure might be destroyed in a first strike.
SpaceX, meanwhile, now carries not only NASA payloads but also sensitive DoD and intelligence assets. Its classified arm, Starshield, is tightly integrated with U.S. military orbital surveillance and targeting functions. Through Starshield, Musk has effectively become the logistics commander of American space warfare infrastructure without a rank, a uniform, or a vote of Congressional approval.
Tesla’s Dojo supercomputer, originally trained for self-driving systems, is now being discussed as a viable platform for military-grade AI: drone swarming, ISR pattern recognition, autonomous convoy management. Musk has built the hardware and neural training base for battlefield autonomy, ahead of DARPA timelines.
Tesla’s vertically integrated supply chain including lithium, nickel, and cobalt mining and refining positions it as a strategic energy reserve. If China weaponizes rare earth exports, Tesla’s U.S.-based refining capacity and battery plants could pivot instantly into military energy logistics hubs.
Even Musk’s ownership of X (formerly Twitter) serves strategic U.S. interests. It provides deniable information operations infrastructure, with the ability to shape narratives in real time, disrupt hostile campaigns, or quietly amplify state-aligned voices. Unlike state-run media, it’s privately controlled and therefore exempt from FOIA, FARA, and Geneva restrictions. tweet
Offshore
Video
EndGame Macro
China Turns EU Agriculture Into a Weapon to Break Europe at Its Weakest Moment
Formally, this is about trade law. China is imposing provisional tariffs of up to 42.7% on EU dairy, effective December 23, 2025, arguing that European subsidies allowed producers to undercut China’s domestic market. The tiered structure with lower rates for firms that cooperate, higher ones for those that don’t follows standard anti subsidy playbooks. But that structure also turns the policy into leverage, not just enforcement.
What makes this move powerful isn’t the tariff itself. It’s the timing.
Why the Timing Is the Weapon
This lands right after farmer protests in Brussels forced EU leaders to delay the Mercosur decision. That episode revealed a vulnerability that when rural Europe mobilizes, the EU’s political machinery slows and fractures quickly. Beijing didn’t create that stress, it stepped directly into it.
Dairy is a smart target because it’s politically sensitive in countries where farmer unrest already has momentum. The goal isn’t to damage Europe’s economy in the aggregate. It’s to intensify a domestic pressure point that Brussels is already struggling to manage.
The Trap Brussels Can’t Easily Escape
Brussels also can’t relieve that pressure by quietly backing down elsewhere. Loosening tariffs on Chinese EVs would risk accelerating the squeeze on Europe’s auto sector that’s already under strain from high costs, shrinking margins, and uneven EV adoption. Those tariffs were meant to buy time for domestic industry. Reversing course under pressure would signal that Europe’s industrial defenses don’t hold when challenged.
So China is forcing a narrow corridor…maintain the EV line and accept agricultural fallout, or bend and risk deeper credibility damage in manufacturing.
The Mercosur Angle Beneath the Surface
There’s another layer here. Delaying or destabilizing Mercosur works in China’s favor. A fully executed Mercosur deal would pull Europe deeper into South American supply chains, reduce dependence on Chinese inputs over time, and potentially strengthen a Western Hemisphere bloc that Washington would be eager to anchor especially under a U.S. administration openly looking to counter China’s global reach.
By stirring pressure among EU farmers the very group most hostile to Mercosur, China helps keep that agreement politically radioactive. Europe stays fragmented, cautious, and more dependent on existing trade relationships, including Chinese technology and critical minerals like lithium that underpin the EV transition.
Into China’s Mind…A Low Cost, Asymmetric Bet
From Beijing’s perspective, this is a low cost move with asymmetric upside. China doesn’t rely heavily on EU dairy and has diversified food imports for years. That keeps the economic downside contained. Politically, though, the payoff can be large.
If Brussels bends, China gains leverage on EVs and accelerates its foothold in Europe’s auto market. If Brussels holds firm, pressure can widen…dairy today, pork or brandy tomorrow increasing internal strain without China needing a full escalation. Either path tests EU cohesion.
Who This Really Pressures
Farmers feel the pain first, but they aren’t the end target. Brussels is. China is turning Europe’s internal politics into the bargaining channel, betting that sustained pressure on agriculture will eventually collide with industrial policy, trade strategy, and alliance politics all at once.
That’s why this feels like the worst possible moment. Not because dairy is decisive on its own but because Europe’s margin for political error is already thin, and Beijing is pushing precisely where it knows the system bends before it breaks.
China will impose provisional duties of up to 42.7% on certain dairy products imported from the European Union after concluding the first phase of an anti-subsidy probe widely seen as retaliation for the bloc's electric vehicle tariffs https://t.co/CT4CJjgKQ7 https://t.co/Lic[...]
China Turns EU Agriculture Into a Weapon to Break Europe at Its Weakest Moment
Formally, this is about trade law. China is imposing provisional tariffs of up to 42.7% on EU dairy, effective December 23, 2025, arguing that European subsidies allowed producers to undercut China’s domestic market. The tiered structure with lower rates for firms that cooperate, higher ones for those that don’t follows standard anti subsidy playbooks. But that structure also turns the policy into leverage, not just enforcement.
What makes this move powerful isn’t the tariff itself. It’s the timing.
Why the Timing Is the Weapon
This lands right after farmer protests in Brussels forced EU leaders to delay the Mercosur decision. That episode revealed a vulnerability that when rural Europe mobilizes, the EU’s political machinery slows and fractures quickly. Beijing didn’t create that stress, it stepped directly into it.
Dairy is a smart target because it’s politically sensitive in countries where farmer unrest already has momentum. The goal isn’t to damage Europe’s economy in the aggregate. It’s to intensify a domestic pressure point that Brussels is already struggling to manage.
The Trap Brussels Can’t Easily Escape
Brussels also can’t relieve that pressure by quietly backing down elsewhere. Loosening tariffs on Chinese EVs would risk accelerating the squeeze on Europe’s auto sector that’s already under strain from high costs, shrinking margins, and uneven EV adoption. Those tariffs were meant to buy time for domestic industry. Reversing course under pressure would signal that Europe’s industrial defenses don’t hold when challenged.
So China is forcing a narrow corridor…maintain the EV line and accept agricultural fallout, or bend and risk deeper credibility damage in manufacturing.
The Mercosur Angle Beneath the Surface
There’s another layer here. Delaying or destabilizing Mercosur works in China’s favor. A fully executed Mercosur deal would pull Europe deeper into South American supply chains, reduce dependence on Chinese inputs over time, and potentially strengthen a Western Hemisphere bloc that Washington would be eager to anchor especially under a U.S. administration openly looking to counter China’s global reach.
By stirring pressure among EU farmers the very group most hostile to Mercosur, China helps keep that agreement politically radioactive. Europe stays fragmented, cautious, and more dependent on existing trade relationships, including Chinese technology and critical minerals like lithium that underpin the EV transition.
Into China’s Mind…A Low Cost, Asymmetric Bet
From Beijing’s perspective, this is a low cost move with asymmetric upside. China doesn’t rely heavily on EU dairy and has diversified food imports for years. That keeps the economic downside contained. Politically, though, the payoff can be large.
If Brussels bends, China gains leverage on EVs and accelerates its foothold in Europe’s auto market. If Brussels holds firm, pressure can widen…dairy today, pork or brandy tomorrow increasing internal strain without China needing a full escalation. Either path tests EU cohesion.
Who This Really Pressures
Farmers feel the pain first, but they aren’t the end target. Brussels is. China is turning Europe’s internal politics into the bargaining channel, betting that sustained pressure on agriculture will eventually collide with industrial policy, trade strategy, and alliance politics all at once.
That’s why this feels like the worst possible moment. Not because dairy is decisive on its own but because Europe’s margin for political error is already thin, and Beijing is pushing precisely where it knows the system bends before it breaks.
China will impose provisional duties of up to 42.7% on certain dairy products imported from the European Union after concluding the first phase of an anti-subsidy probe widely seen as retaliation for the bloc's electric vehicle tariffs https://t.co/CT4CJjgKQ7 https://t.co/Lic[...]