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EndGame Macro
RT @MauiBoyMacro: This sincerely resonates with me and describes what motivates me to be here; sharing information, learning/growing and contributing where I can. ๐๐ผ
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RT @MauiBoyMacro: This sincerely resonates with me and describes what motivates me to be here; sharing information, learning/growing and contributing where I can. ๐๐ผ
Why I Post So Much: Because Every Day the Game Gets Smarter And So Should You
I look at the world like a game thatโs constantly trying to outsmart me. Inflation chips away at savings. Policies tilt the board. Laws shift incentives. Every move the system makes, itโs taking a small bite out of your time, your labor, your freedom usually without you even noticing. Money might not be everything, but it dictates almost everything we do. So I treat it like chess. The board is the monetary system, and the goal is simpleโฆdonโt get cornered.
That mindset forces me to study. You canโt win a game you donโt understand. So I read history to see what happens when debt piles up, when currencies debase, when governments overextend. Itโs not about predicting the future but rather about recognizing patterns. The same mistakes repeat with different branding. The players change, but the incentives donโt.
To me, this is awareness. Whether or not the system is out to get me doesnโt even matter. Acting as if it is makes me sharper. It keeps me questioning whatโs real value versus whatโs illusion. It keeps me from trusting a system that punishes people for saving, rewards debt, and sells security that quietly erodes in real terms.
Thereโs a psychological piece to it too. When you start viewing the world this way, you stop feeling like a victim and start thinking like a player. You realize youโre not powerless, youโre just uninformed. And the more you learn, the more control you take back. Thatโs what really drives me to post, trying to pull more people into that mindset. Not fear, but curiosity. Not cynicism, but agency.
Because once you see the game, you canโt unsee it. You start noticing how narratives are used to keep people comfortable, distracted, compliant. You start thinking in probabilities, not promises. And you realize that every bit of knowledge about history, markets, policy, or human behavior is a small form of protection.
Thatโs what all of this is about. The system may not actually be trying to screw you, but if you assume it is, youโll live smarter. Youโll learn faster. Youโll stop playing by rules that were never written for you in the first place. And honestly, I hope more people start thinking that way. Because once you do, you stop drifting and start playing the game on purpose. - EndGame Macrotweet
AkhenOsiris
RT @FreightAlley: Freight data has been telling us that there was more demand than retailers forecasted
https://t.co/VXCBRZLKoS
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RT @FreightAlley: Freight data has been telling us that there was more demand than retailers forecasted
https://t.co/VXCBRZLKoS
Mastercard's preliminary SpendingPulse data indicates U.S. retail sales excluding autos rose 4.1% year-over-year on Black Friday 2025, exceeding the 3.6% holiday season forecast and the 3.4% growth seen in 2024. - AkhenOsiristweet
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EndGame Macro
What a 0.70 Put/Call Ratio Is Really Telling Us
A put/call ratio this low isnโt some grand signal on its own, itโs just the market saying fewer people are paying for downside insurance right now. After two cuts, QT ending, and a steady grind higher in equities, a lot of hedges have basically bled out. People get tired of paying for protection that never gets used.
But thatโs only the surface read.
Why Itโs Dropping Now
A lot of this isnโt sentiment, itโs mechanics. When volatility slips and the tape gets quiet, systematic funds have to add exposure. Dealer flows pull volatility down even further. That combination naturally kills demand for puts whether or not investors feel safe. Itโs the structure of the market doing the work.
And Hereโs the Catch
The broader macro picture hasnโt magically improved. Oil is soft, growth is slowing, delinquencies are rising, credit is getting shakier, and everyone sees the refinancing wall coming. So this low put/call ratio doesnโt mean risk is gone, it just means nothing has sparked real fear yet, and the system rewards staying long until the moment it doesnโt.
The drop isnโt irrational. Itโs just the kind of calm that shows up right before markets need a fresh catalyst to wake up again.
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What a 0.70 Put/Call Ratio Is Really Telling Us
A put/call ratio this low isnโt some grand signal on its own, itโs just the market saying fewer people are paying for downside insurance right now. After two cuts, QT ending, and a steady grind higher in equities, a lot of hedges have basically bled out. People get tired of paying for protection that never gets used.
But thatโs only the surface read.
Why Itโs Dropping Now
A lot of this isnโt sentiment, itโs mechanics. When volatility slips and the tape gets quiet, systematic funds have to add exposure. Dealer flows pull volatility down even further. That combination naturally kills demand for puts whether or not investors feel safe. Itโs the structure of the market doing the work.
And Hereโs the Catch
The broader macro picture hasnโt magically improved. Oil is soft, growth is slowing, delinquencies are rising, credit is getting shakier, and everyone sees the refinancing wall coming. So this low put/call ratio doesnโt mean risk is gone, it just means nothing has sparked real fear yet, and the system rewards staying long until the moment it doesnโt.
The drop isnโt irrational. Itโs just the kind of calm that shows up right before markets need a fresh catalyst to wake up again.
Total Put/Call Ratio drops to 0.70, one of the lowest levels in the last 4 years ๐ https://t.co/5Kw1zcRH69 - Barcharttweet
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EndGame Macro
What Jack Dorsey Is Probably Signaling With 108
If youโve followed Jack for a while, you know he doesnโt post numbers randomly. The most straightforward read is that Block recently added 108 BTC to its balance sheet and he loves turning dry filings into little on chain haikus. Itโs his way of signaling that theyโre still quietly accumulating without making it a formal corporate announcement.
The Second Layer Most People Miss
Jack isnโt just a Bitcoin executive, heโs deep into Vipassanฤ, Eastern philosophy, and symbolic numerology. And in that world, 108 is a loaded number. It represents wholeness, cycles, completion. It shows up in meditation beads, mantra counts, and the way practitioners frame essential truths. Jack often blends that part of his life with the way he communicates about Bitcoin.
How It Comes Together
So the post probably isnโt a date, a prediction, or some cryptic countdown. Itโs Jack doing what he does bestโฆmixing a real world signal with a number that reflects how he sees Bitcoin not just as an investment, but as something foundational, cyclical, and spiritually aligned with his worldview of strip everything down to what actually matters.
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What Jack Dorsey Is Probably Signaling With 108
If youโve followed Jack for a while, you know he doesnโt post numbers randomly. The most straightforward read is that Block recently added 108 BTC to its balance sheet and he loves turning dry filings into little on chain haikus. Itโs his way of signaling that theyโre still quietly accumulating without making it a formal corporate announcement.
The Second Layer Most People Miss
Jack isnโt just a Bitcoin executive, heโs deep into Vipassanฤ, Eastern philosophy, and symbolic numerology. And in that world, 108 is a loaded number. It represents wholeness, cycles, completion. It shows up in meditation beads, mantra counts, and the way practitioners frame essential truths. Jack often blends that part of his life with the way he communicates about Bitcoin.
How It Comes Together
So the post probably isnโt a date, a prediction, or some cryptic countdown. Itโs Jack doing what he does bestโฆmixing a real world signal with a number that reflects how he sees Bitcoin not just as an investment, but as something foundational, cyclical, and spiritually aligned with his worldview of strip everything down to what actually matters.
108 - jacktweet
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EndGame Macro
What a 0.70 Put/Call Ratio Is Really Telling Us
A put/call down near these levels is the market saying, โWeโre not worried right now.โ When people stop buying puts and pile into calls, it usually means theyโve convinced themselves the coast is clear. Protection feels like a waste of money, upside feels cheap, and everyone wants to chase whatโs been working.
Why Itโs Happening Now
The setup makes sense. We just had a clean narrative flip, the Fed stepped back, cuts are on the table, QT is ending, yields have eased, and stocks have ripped higher. A lot of managers were underweight risk all year, and the easiest way to catch up into year end is to buy upside rather than rebuild hedges slowly. So positioning gets lopsidedโฆlots of calls, very few puts, and sentiment that feels almost relieved.
The Deeper Tone
But historically, when everyone leans to one side like this, short term returns get choppy. Not because disaster is guaranteed, just because the payoff for adding risk shrinks while the air pocket in the other direction grows. Itโs classic late cycle psychologyโฆthe feeling that the worst is behind us, right as the system is still carrying real macro fragility.
So the put/call ratio is flashing confidence maybe a little too much of it at the exact moment when the market should probably still be paying attention.
tweet
What a 0.70 Put/Call Ratio Is Really Telling Us
A put/call down near these levels is the market saying, โWeโre not worried right now.โ When people stop buying puts and pile into calls, it usually means theyโve convinced themselves the coast is clear. Protection feels like a waste of money, upside feels cheap, and everyone wants to chase whatโs been working.
Why Itโs Happening Now
The setup makes sense. We just had a clean narrative flip, the Fed stepped back, cuts are on the table, QT is ending, yields have eased, and stocks have ripped higher. A lot of managers were underweight risk all year, and the easiest way to catch up into year end is to buy upside rather than rebuild hedges slowly. So positioning gets lopsidedโฆlots of calls, very few puts, and sentiment that feels almost relieved.
The Deeper Tone
But historically, when everyone leans to one side like this, short term returns get choppy. Not because disaster is guaranteed, just because the payoff for adding risk shrinks while the air pocket in the other direction grows. Itโs classic late cycle psychologyโฆthe feeling that the worst is behind us, right as the system is still carrying real macro fragility.
So the put/call ratio is flashing confidence maybe a little too much of it at the exact moment when the market should probably still be paying attention.
Total Put/Call Ratio drops to 0.70, one of the lowest levels in the last 4 years ๐ https://t.co/5Kw1zcRH69 - Barcharttweet
memenodes
I've seen this before
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I've seen this before
I've lost $6000 trading over the last 3 months. I had $20 left and turned it to $400 then to zero all in one day. I've no choice but to leave crypto. - Coinfessionstweet
X (formerly Twitter)
Coinfessions (@coinfessions) on X
I've lost $6000 trading over the last 3 months. I had $20 left and turned it to $400 then to zero all in one day. I've no choice but to leave crypto.
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memenodes
There will be no second date, but at least she now knows what bitcoin is and who controls the market https://t.co/EYpQIYANLK
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There will be no second date, but at least she now knows what bitcoin is and who controls the market https://t.co/EYpQIYANLK
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Fiscal.ai
7 quality companies trading at their cheapest valuations ever:
1. Airbnb $ABNB
EV/EBIT: 22.6x https://t.co/QKzcWeWFTu
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7 quality companies trading at their cheapest valuations ever:
1. Airbnb $ABNB
EV/EBIT: 22.6x https://t.co/QKzcWeWFTu
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
Visa was JUST trading at a 4% FCF yield & legendary investor Chris Hohn increased his $V stake by +47%, making it 18% of TCI Fund ๐ต
Hereโs what $V has returned (CAGR %) each time it hit a 4% FCF yield for the first time in a given year since 2016
1. +17.8% CAGR | (1/19/16)
2. +16.2% CAGR | (9/27/17)
3. +15.6% CAGR | (2/8/18)
4. +12.2% CAGR | (8/5/19)
5. +15.6% CAGR | (3/16/20)
6. +17.1% CAGR | (3/7/22)
7. +18.0% CAGR | (9/21/23)
8. +13.9% CAGR | (4/24/24)
9. โ | (11/14/25)
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ
๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐, ๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐๐๐ซ, ๐จ๐ซ ๐ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ข๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ.
๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐. ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ ๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐๐.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
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Visa was JUST trading at a 4% FCF yield & legendary investor Chris Hohn increased his $V stake by +47%, making it 18% of TCI Fund ๐ต
Hereโs what $V has returned (CAGR %) each time it hit a 4% FCF yield for the first time in a given year since 2016
1. +17.8% CAGR | (1/19/16)
2. +16.2% CAGR | (9/27/17)
3. +15.6% CAGR | (2/8/18)
4. +12.2% CAGR | (8/5/19)
5. +15.6% CAGR | (3/16/20)
6. +17.1% CAGR | (3/7/22)
7. +18.0% CAGR | (9/21/23)
8. +13.9% CAGR | (4/24/24)
9. โ | (11/14/25)
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ
๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐ฏ๐ข๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐๐ฎ๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐, ๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐๐๐ซ, ๐จ๐ซ ๐ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ข๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ฎ๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐๐ฅ๐ฅ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ.
๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐จ๐ฅ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐. ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐จ๐ฉ๐ข๐ง๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐๐ฑ๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐๐๐ญ๐ ๐จ๐ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ฎ๐๐ฃ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ ๐ ๐ฐ๐ข๐ญ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ๐ข๐๐.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐๐จ๐๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
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