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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Mastercard currently presents one of the more attractive risk/reward profiles among large-cap stocks, based on its combination of high-quality fundamentals, durable growth outlook, & a valuation that appears reasonable relative to historical norms & peers 💳
$MA
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Mastercard currently presents one of the more attractive risk/reward profiles among large-cap stocks, based on its combination of high-quality fundamentals, durable growth outlook, & a valuation that appears reasonable relative to historical norms & peers 💳
$MA
Mastercard is trading at its lowest valuation in the past year (P/E & FCF Yield) 💸
Here’s $MA projected CAGR through 2028 assuming consensus EPS hits $25.86:
32x P/E: $827💵 … ~16.1% CAGR
31x P/E: $801💵 … ~14.9% CAGR
30x P/E: $775💵 … ~13.7% CAGR
29x P/E: $749💵 … ~12.5% CAGR
28x P/E: $724💵 … ~11.3% CAGR
27x P/E: $698💵 … ~10.0% CAGR tweet
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Wasteland Capital
Six Flags now down more than 50% since Travis Kelce announced his investment a month ago. Ouch. Not $FUN!
At least Taylor has money, right? https://t.co/YrCWQbCg1E
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Six Flags now down more than 50% since Travis Kelce announced his investment a month ago. Ouch. Not $FUN!
At least Taylor has money, right? https://t.co/YrCWQbCg1E
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Quiver Quantitative
Representative Nancy Pelosi has lost $4M in the stock market today, per our estimates.
She is now worth just $270M. https://t.co/KQgQNdKdcp
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Representative Nancy Pelosi has lost $4M in the stock market today, per our estimates.
She is now worth just $270M. https://t.co/KQgQNdKdcp
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WealthyReadings
Shared two important write up with subs today.
- A review of the $PYPL conference at Citi Bank.
- A portfolio modifications detail talking about $DUOL $TSLA $ALAB $NBIS $TMDX & more.
Link's in bio.
It is important to keep our head cool & focus on our system in days like this. https://t.co/FpDsUu4L3s
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Shared two important write up with subs today.
- A review of the $PYPL conference at Citi Bank.
- A portfolio modifications detail talking about $DUOL $TSLA $ALAB $NBIS $TMDX & more.
Link's in bio.
It is important to keep our head cool & focus on our system in days like this. https://t.co/FpDsUu4L3s
tweet
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EndGame Macro
When Nvidia’s Rally Runs Into the Jobs Report
What makes that $900B round trip in NVDA interesting is that it lines up almost perfectly with a shift in the macro, not anything about Nvidia’s business.
The first leg up is easy to explain…blow out earnings, guidance still strong, everyone underweight the name scrambles to buy. That’s your +$450B positioning and FOMO doing what they always do around a flagship story stock.
The second leg, the give back starts once the jobs report lands and people actually process what it means. The data showed a labor market clearly losing momentum, with softer hiring and weaker revisions, but not an outright crack. In other words, growth is cooling, margins will get harder to defend, but the macro picture isn’t bad enough to guarantee another big helping of monetary support. Rate cut odds for December shifted toward hold, and suddenly the backdrop that justified paying any price for long duration growth stopped looking so friendly.
In that environment, a name like NVDA becomes the perfect source of cash…huge run up, crowded long, still great fundamentals but now sitting on top of a less forgiving policy and growth mix. So the post earnings squeeze turns into a post jobs derisking. The $900B swing is the tape repricing an AI champion to match a labor market that’s slowing and a Fed that might not be as eager to reflate the whole party.
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When Nvidia’s Rally Runs Into the Jobs Report
What makes that $900B round trip in NVDA interesting is that it lines up almost perfectly with a shift in the macro, not anything about Nvidia’s business.
The first leg up is easy to explain…blow out earnings, guidance still strong, everyone underweight the name scrambles to buy. That’s your +$450B positioning and FOMO doing what they always do around a flagship story stock.
The second leg, the give back starts once the jobs report lands and people actually process what it means. The data showed a labor market clearly losing momentum, with softer hiring and weaker revisions, but not an outright crack. In other words, growth is cooling, margins will get harder to defend, but the macro picture isn’t bad enough to guarantee another big helping of monetary support. Rate cut odds for December shifted toward hold, and suddenly the backdrop that justified paying any price for long duration growth stopped looking so friendly.
In that environment, a name like NVDA becomes the perfect source of cash…huge run up, crowded long, still great fundamentals but now sitting on top of a less forgiving policy and growth mix. So the post earnings squeeze turns into a post jobs derisking. The $900B swing is the tape repricing an AI champion to match a labor market that’s slowing and a Fed that might not be as eager to reflate the whole party.
Today's move in Nvidia is truly historic.
Between 4:00 AM ET yesterday and 2:00 PM ET today, Nvidia, $NVDA, both ADDED and LOST $450 billion in market cap.
That's a $900 billion swing in less than 36 hours. https://t.co/BUbpi9bjzj tweet