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Yellowbrick Investing
Added 57 new stock write-ups to the site (pt 2):
@TheRayMyers - $ZETA (overview)
@M97Capital - $VMED.DE
@dede_eyesan - $LATO-B.ST (watchlist)
@FuzzyPandaShort - $RCAT (short)
@LaTranquillum - $TEM1V.HE
@FluentInQuality - $NWL.AX, $IVSO.ST, $HEM.ST https://t.co/TUo9kKy5Vc
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Umesh
RT @RunwareAI: ๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ๐Ÿฅ
Watch this space. Riverflow soon to drop EXCLUSIVELY on @RunwareAI!
It beats every other image editing model in the Artificial Analysis arena.
Follow and hit the bell to be the first to try the latest SOTA release.

I got early access to a mysterious new image model that THINKS

I tested it on this shotโ€ฆ and it beats Nano Banana! ๐Ÿ‘€

Prompt ๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/vBumKa45Eo
- Salma
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App Economy Insights
Spotifyโ€™s top video podcasts are coming to Netflix starting early 2026. $SPOT $NFLX

Ads are slowly changing the model, and Netflix is going after YouTube's leading share of the US TV market. https://t.co/nuRqDZ7xcp
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Yellowbrick Investing
Added 57 new stock write-ups to the site (pt final):
@SaeschInv (exploring AIM) - $SAA.L, $LIKE.L, $MTEC.L, $LST.L, $WINK.L, $LORD.L, $MAI.L, $LSC.L, $LDG.L, $LIV.L
@realLigerCub - $TZOO
@ridireresearch - long $GFS / short $INTC
@JRI_Podcast - $KDK.V
and more... https://t.co/A7QPNlaBIV
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: A sober valuation analysis on $MNST ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 26.71x
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 33.16x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 3.36%
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 3.05%

As you can see, $MNST appears to be trading below fair value

Going forward, investors can receive ~24% MORE in earnings per share & ~10% MORE in FCF per share ๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $MNST is a quality business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Short-Term Inv: $3.56B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $0

$MNST has an excellent balance sheet

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2019: 33.7%
โ€ข2020: 31.5%
โ€ข2021: 27.4%
โ€ข2022: 22.4%
โ€ข2023: 24.3%
โ€ขLTM: 24.0%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2019: 28.5%
โ€ข2020: 30.2%
โ€ข2021: 23.5%
โ€ข2022: 17.5%
โ€ข2023: 21.4%
โ€ขLTM: 21.0%

$MNST has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2013: $2.25B
โ€ข2023: $7.14B
โ€ขCAGR: 12.24%

FREE CASH FLOWโœ…
โ€ข2013: $301.27M
โ€ข2023: $1.49B
โ€ขCAGR: 17.38%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2013: $0.34
โ€ข2023: $1.54
โ€ขCAGR: 16.30%

SHARE BUYBACKSโŒ
โ€ข2013 Shares Outstanding: 1.04B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 1.05B

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 53.5%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 28.2%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 22.8%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~24% MORE in EPS & ~10% MORE in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $MNST has to grow earnings at a 13.36% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly more than the (13.36%) required growth rate:

2024E: $1.78 (15.8% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $2.04 (14.4% YoY)
2026E: $2.31 (13.3% YoY)

$MNST has a great track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโ€™s assume $MNST ends 2026 with $2.31 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

32x P/E: $73.92๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~17.8% CAGR

30x P/E: $69.30๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~14.8% CAGR

29x P/E: $66.99๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~13.3% CAGR

28x P/E: $64.68๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.7% CAGR

As you can see, $MNST appears to have attractive return potential EVEN if we assume 28x earnings, a multiple substantially below its 5-year mean (32.24x) & 10-year mean (33.16x)

Today at $49๐Ÿ’ต $MNST appears to be an attractive consideration for investment

#stocks #investing
___

๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ.
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Yellowbrick Investing
Number 1 rule of pumping stocks: only pump 1 stock at a time

๐Ÿงต Why Iโ€™m Long $HUT โ€” and Why It Could Be a 100ร— Story by 2029

Iโ€™ve taken a long position in $HUT (Hut 8) โ€” and I think itโ€™s one of the most misunderstood stocks in the market.
Everyone still calls it a miner.
I see it as the energy + AI infrastructure platform that the market hasnโ€™t caught up to yet (unlike my other 2 favorite longs IREN and CIFR).
๐Ÿ‘‡
- Eric Jackson
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: Copart is in its largest drawdown (-31%) since the 2022 bear market

Adjusted for cash, $CPRT now trades for ~23x https://t.co/4jHncAtoST
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