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Evan
RT @StockMKTNewz: The United States ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Secretary of ENERGY actually posted this ๐Ÿ˜… https://t.co/XkSciCvS0T
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naiive
that one bro after closing a trade for $69 profit https://t.co/yUIJHkmAHL
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: 86 members of Congress have now signed Thomas Massie's discharge petition to force the release of the full Epstein files.

This includes four Republicans (Mace, Boebert, Greene, and Massie)

218 signatures are needed.
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naiive
crypto guys problem in 2026
https://t.co/bgshohbnTP
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White Druski spitting hill billy you ainโ€™t lost is you /// reaction meme https://t.co/3dvBdRvz2U
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $GOOG ๐Ÿง˜๐Ÿฝโ€โ™‚๏ธ

โ€ขNTM P/E Ratio: 21.03x
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 23.08x

โ€ขNTM FCF Yield: 2.93%
โ€ข10-Year Mean: 4.17%

As you can see, $GOOG appears to be trading below fair value on an earnings basis

Going forward, investors can receive ~10% MORE in earnings per share & ~30% LESS in FCF per share ๐Ÿง ***

Before we get into valuation, letโ€™s take a look at why $GOOG is a great business

BALANCE SHEETโœ…
โ€ขCash & Short-Term Inv: $95.15B
โ€ขLong-Term Debt: $23.61B

$GOOG has a strong balance sheet, an AA+ S&P Credit Rating & 332x FFO Interest Coverage

RETURN ON CAPITALโœ…
โ€ข2020: 16.2%
โ€ข2021: 27.6%
โ€ข2022: 26.1%
โ€ข2023: 26.9%
โ€ข2024: 32.3%
โ€ขLTM: 30.4%

RETURN ON EQUITYโœ…
โ€ข2020: 19.0%
โ€ข2021: 32.1%
โ€ข2022: 23.6%
โ€ข2023: 27.4%
โ€ข2024: 32.9%
โ€ขLTM: 34.8%

$GOOG has strong return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUESโœ…
โ€ข2014: $66.00B
โ€ข2024: $350.02B
โ€ขCAGR: 18.16%

FREE CASH FLOWโœ…
โ€ข2014: $12.01B
โ€ข2024: $72.76B
โ€ขCAGR: 19.73%

NORMALIZED EPSโœ…
โ€ข2014: $1.28
โ€ข2024: $8.04
โ€ขCAGR: 20.17%

SHARE BUYBACKSโœ…
โ€ข2018 Shares Outstanding: 14.07B
โ€ขLTM Shares Outstanding: 12.31B

By reducing its shares outstanding ~12.5%, $GOOG increased its EPS by ~14.3% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINSโœ…
โ€ขLTM Gross Margins: 58.2%
โ€ขLTM Operating Margins: 33.2%
โ€ขLTM Net Income Margins: 31.1%

***NOW TO VALUATION ๐Ÿง 

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~10% MORE in EPS & ~30% LESS in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Grahamโ€™s 2G rule of thumb, $GOOG has to grow earnings at a 10.52% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2028 EPS growth over the next few years to be more than the (10.52%) required growth rate:

2025E: $9.93 (23.5% YoY) *FY Dec

2026E: $10.65 (7.2% YoY)
2027E: $12.00 (12.6% YoY)
2028E: $13.97 (16.4% YoY)

$GOOG has an excellent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but letโ€™s assume $GOOG ends 2028 with $13.97 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

23x P/E: $321.31๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~14.1% CAGR

22x P/E: $307.34๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~12.6% CAGR

21x P/E: $293.37๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~11.0% CAGR

20x P/E: $279.40๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~9.4% CAGR

19x P/E: $265.43๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~7.8% CAGR

As you can see, $GOOG appears to have attractive return potential IF we assume >21x earnings (a multiple below its 5-year & 10-year mean & a multiple justified by its growth rate & moat)

At >23x, $GOOG has aggressive CAGR potential & itโ€™s not unreasonable for the business to even trade for ~23x - ~25x (given its growth rate, moat, balance sheet, & exemplary capital allocation)

Today at $209๐Ÿ’ต $GOOG appears to be a good consideration for investment, albeit with a much smaller margin of safety compared to the last several months

Between cloud โ˜๏ธ , AI ๐Ÿค– , quantum computing โš›๏ธ, $GOOG has a strong growth runway ahead, with the potential for continued margin expansion serving as an additional tailwind

$GOOGL
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๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ. tweet
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Simplifying Stocks, CPA
Wifey who is 50% in $GOOGL https://t.co/q07ptHUgCA

BREAKING โš ๏ธ

JUDGE RULES GOOGLE NOT REQUIRED TO END PAYMENTS TO APPLE AND OTHER PARTNERS FOR PRELOADING GOOGLE PRODUCTS.

GOOGLE NOT REQUIRED TO SELL CHROME IN COURT ANTITRUST RULING.

JUDGE RULES GOOGLE WILL NOT HAVE TO SELL OFF THE ANDROID OPERATING SYSTEM.

$GOOGL +8% https://t.co/77Wnprff2I
- Simplifying Stocks, CPA
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Evan
RT @StockMKTNewz: STARBUCKS $SBUX TO LAUNCH PROTEIN-PACKED COLD FOAM, LATTES LATER THIS MONTH

"Customers who add Starbucksโ€™ protein cold foam to their grande beverages can expect about 19 to 26 grams of protein, while the chainโ€™s grande-sized protein latte delivers 27 to 36 grams of protein" - CNBC
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Aadit Sheth
This guy literally proves you donโ€™t need coding to build apps anymore
https://t.co/U7h7jPG3QM
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