⁠Investing visuals
$TEM Q1 Earnings 🚨

• Revenue $255M vs $248M Est.
• EPS ($0.24) vs. ($0.27) Est.
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⁠Wall St Engine
$WYNN Resorts Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $1.70B (Est: $1.75B) 🔴
🔹 Adj EPS: $1.07 (Est: $1.31) 🔴
🔹 Adj Net Income: $113.1M (Est: $137.2M) 🔴
🔹 Adjusted Property EBITDAR: $532.9M (Est: $561.8M) 🔴

Segment Breakdown
Macau; Wynn Palace:
🔹 Revenue: $535.9M (vs. $586.9M YoY)
🔹 EBITDAR: $161.9M (vs. $202.4M YoY)
🔹 VIP win rate: 2.61% (vs. 3.30% YoY)
🔹 Mass win rate: 24.8% (vs. 24.5% YoY)

Wynn Macau:
🔹 Revenue: $330.0M (vs. $411.7M YoY)
🔹 EBITDAR: $90.2M (vs. $137.2M YoY)
🔹 VIP win rate: 1.09% (vs. 3.39% YoY)
🔹 Mass win rate: 18.7% (vs. 19.4% YoY)

U.S. Properties
🔹 Las Vegas Operations:
🔹 Revenue: $625.3M (vs. $636.5M YoY)
🔹 EBITDAR: $223.4M (vs. $246.3M YoY)
🔹 Table win %: 24.3% (within expected 22–26%)

Encore Boston Harbor:
🔹 Revenue: $209.2M (vs. $217.8M YoY)
🔹 EBITDAR: $57.5M (vs. $63.1M YoY)
🔹 Table win %: 20.5% (within expected 18–22%)

Strategic & Financial Updates
🔸 Declared $0.25/share dividend, payable May 30, 2025
🔸 Repurchased 2.36M shares for $200M in Q1; $613M buyback authorization remaining
🔸 UAE Project (Wynn Al Marjan Island): hotel tower reached 47th floor; $682.9M contributed to date
🔸 Board remains confident in long-term capital returns; continued free cash flow strength from Macau
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⁠Wall St Engine
$TEM | Tempus AI Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $255.7M (Est: $248M) 🟢
🔹 Adj EPS: ($0.24) (Est: -$0.27) 🟢
🔹 Adj EBITDA: ($16.2M) (Est: -$22M) 🟢

FY25 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: $1.25B (Est: $1.24B) 🟢
🔹 Adj EBITDA: +$5M (Est: $5M) 🟡

Other Q1 Metrics:
🔹 Net Loss: ($68.0M) (vs. $64.7M YoY)
🔹 Gross Profit: $155.2M (vs. $77.7M YoY) +99.8%
🔹 Gross Margin: ~61%

Segment Breakdown
🔹 Genomics Revenue: $193.8M (+88.9% YoY)
🔹 Oncology Testing: $119.0M (+31% YoY)
🔹 Hereditary Testing (Ambry): $63.5M (+23% unit growth)
🔹 Data & Services Revenue: $61.9M (+43.2% YoY)
🔹 Insights/Data Licensing Growth: +58% YoY

Strategic & Operational Highlights
🔸 Secured $200M in model/data licensing deals via AstraZeneca & Pathos collaboration
🔸 Completed Ambry Genetics acquisition
🔸 Announced new partnerships with Illumina & Deep 6 AI
🔸 Launched olivia, an AI-powered personal health concierge
🔸 National rollout of xT CDx test at $4,500 per test
🔸 Adj EBITDA improved by $27.8M YoY
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$UPST | Upstart Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $213.4M (Est: $199.5M) 🟢
🔹 Adj EPS: ($0.03) (Est: $0.17) 🔴
🔹 Adj Net Income: $25M (Est: $16M) 🟢

Q2'25 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: ~$225M (Est: $223.7M) 😐
🔹 Adj EBITDA: ~$37M
🔹 Adj Net Income: ~$25M
🔹 GAAP Net Loss: ~-$10M

FY25 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: ~$1.01B (Est: $1.001B) 😐
🔹 Adj EBITDA Margin: ~19%
🔹 Revenue from Fees: ~$920M
🔹 Net Interest Income: ~$90M
🔹 GAAP Net Income expected positive in H2

Other Metrics:
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $42.6M
🔹 Contribution Margin: 55% (vs. 59% YoY)
🔹 GAAP Net Loss: -$2.4M (vs. -$64.6M YoY)
🔹 Loan Volume: $2.1B (+89% YoY)
🔹 Loans Originated: 240,706 (+102% YoY)
🔹 Conversion Rate: 19.1% (vs. 14.0% YoY)

Strategic & Operational Updates
🔸 Signed $1.2B loan-purchase agreement with Fortress through March 2026
🔸 90% of Q1 loans were fully automated
🔸 Hosting Upstart AI Day on May 14, 2025
🔸 CEO: “AI is delivering a radically better product for consumers”
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PAKISTAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN: SOME TIME AGO, INDIA ATTACKED PAKISTAN IN THREE LOCATIONS WITH MISSILES – ARY

PAKISTAN WILL RESPOND TO ATTACKS BY INDIA - PAKISTAN MILITARY SPOKESMAN TELLS ARY
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$ALAB | Astera Labs Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $159.4M (Est: $152M) 🟢
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.33 (Est: $0.28) 🟢
🔹 Adj Oper Income: $53.7M (Est: $47M) 🟢
🔹 Gross Margin: 74.9%

Q2'25 Guidance
🔹 Revenue: $173M (Est: $160M) 🟢
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.33 (Est: $0.30) 🟢
🔹 Adj Operating Income: $54M (Est: $51M) 🟢

Strategic & Operational Updates
🔸 Revenue up 13% QoQ and 144% YoY on strong AI/cloud demand
🔸 Shipping PCIe Gen 6 Scorpio Switches and Aries 6 Retimers
🔸 New NVIDIA Blackwell-based MGX platform reference design
🔸 Expanded Cloud-Scale Interop Lab; showcased PCIe 6 interoperability with NVIDIA & Micron
🔸 Dr. Craig Barratt appointed to Board of Directors
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PAKISTAN INTERNATIONAL AIRLINES SPOKESPERSON SAYS FLIGHTS ALREADY AIRBORNE HAVE BEEN DIVERTED TO KARACHI
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$RIVN | Rivian Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $1.24B (Est: $981.2M) 🟢
🔹 Adj Gross Profit: $206M (vs. -$527M YoY)
🔹 Adj EBITDA: -$329M (vs. -$798M YoY)
🔹 Cash & Equivalents: $4.69B (Est: $5.3B) 🔴
🔹 Net Loss: -$545M (vs. -$1.45B YoY)
🔹 Gross Margin: +17% (vs. -44% YoY)

2025 Guidance
🔹 FY Deliveries: 40K–46K (Prior: 46K–51K) 🔴
🔹 FY Adj EBITDA Loss: ($1.7B) to ($1.9B)
🔹 FY Capex: $1.8B–$1.9B (Prior: $1.6B–$1.7B) 🔴

Operational Highlights
🔸 Production: 14,611 vehicles | Deliveries: 8,640
🔸 Secured $1B investment from VW Group (expected June 30)
🔸 Completed 36K+ demo drives in Q1, record for the company
🔸 R2 development on track; first-half 2026 production timeline affirmed
🔸 Partnered with HelloFresh (70 Rivian vans deployed)
🔸 CEO notes ~$3,000 tariff impact per vehicle
🔸 Hosting AI Day and expanding fleet partnerships
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THE INDIAN ARMED FORCES LAUNCHED ‘OPERATION SINDOOR’, HITTING TERRORIST INFRASTRUCTURE IN PAKISTAN AND PAKISTAN-OCCUPIED JAMMU AND KASHMIR -STATEMENT

NO PAKISTANI MILITARY FACILITIES HAVE BEEN TARGETED-STATEMENT
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⁠Wall St Engine
$AMD Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $7.44B (Est: $7.11B) 🟢
🔹 Non-GAAP EPS: $0.96 (Est: $0.95) 🟢
🔹 Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 54% (vs. 52% YoY)

Segment Highlights
🔹 Data Center: $3.7B (↑57% YoY) – driven by EPYC CPUs and Instinct GPUs
🔹 Client + Gaming: $2.9B (↑28% YoY)
🔹 Client: $2.3B (↑68% YoY) – driven by Zen 5 Ryzen demand
🔹 Gaming: $647M (↓30% YoY) – decline in semi-custom
🔹 Embedded: $823M (↓3% YoY)

Q2 Outlook
🔹 Revenue: ~$7.4B ± $300M (in-line)
🔹 Non-GAAP Gross Margin: 43% including $800M inventory charge
🔹 Excluding charge, Gross Margin: ~54%

Strategic & Product Highlights
🔸 Closed ZT Systems acquisition to strengthen data center presence
🔸 Frontier AI support expanded (Meta Llama 4, Google Gemma 3) via ROCm stack
🔸 Dell, Jio, Cisco, Nokia partnerships across AI/Telecom
🔸 Radeon RX 9070 XT and Ryzen 9950X3D launched for gaming/content creation
🔸 Core42 deploying Instinct GPUs to power France’s top AI center
🔸 Supports UALink 1.0 standard; continues hyperscaler momentum (Oracle, Google)
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⁠Investing visuals
$AMD Q1 Earnings 🚨

• Revenue $7.4B vs $7.2B Est.
• EPS $0.96 vs. $0.93 Est.
• Data center revenue $3.7B vs $3.52B Est.

Q2 Outlook: $7.10B-$7.70 vs $7.24B Est.
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INDIA 🇮🇳 GOVT: "OUR ACTIONS HAVE BEEN FOCUSED, MEASURED AND NON-ESCALATORY IN NATURE"

THE INDIAN ARMED FORCES LAUNCHED ‘OPERATION SINDOOR’, HITTING TERRORIST INFRASTRUCTURE IN PAKISTAN AND PAKISTAN-OCCUPIED JAMMU AND KASHMIR -STATEMENT

NO PAKISTANI MILITARY FACILITIES HAVE BEEN TARGETED-STATEMENT - Wall St Engine
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⁠Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: A quality valuation analysis on $ANET 🧘🏽‍♂️

•NTM P/E Ratio: 32.74x
•10-Year Mean: 31.71x

•NTM FCF Yield: 3.13%
•10-Year Mean: 3.42%

As you can see, $ANET appears to be trading near fair value

Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~3% LESS in earnings per share & ~8% LESS in FCF per share🧠***

Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $ANET is a quality business

BALANCE SHEET✅
•Cash & Equivalents: $8.30B
•Long-Term Debt: $0

$ANET has an excellent balance sheet

RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2019: 24.8%
•2020: 19.3%
•2021: 22.1%
•2022: 30.9%
•2023: 31.0%
•2024: 29.3%

RETURN ON EQUITY✅
•2019: 34.1%
•2020: 20.4%
•2021: 23.0%
•2022: 30.5%
•2023: 34.5%
•2024: 33.1%

$ANET has great return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUES✅
•2019: $2.41B
•2024: $7.00B
•CAGR: 23.77%

FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2019: $0.95B
•2024: $3.68B
•CAGR: 31.10%

NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2019: $0.61
•2024: $2.27
•CAGR: 30.05%

SHARE BUYBACKS🆗
•2019 Shares Outstanding: 1.29B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 1.28B

MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 64.1%
•LTM Operating Margins: 42.0%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 40.7%

***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~3% LESS in EPS & ~8% LESS in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $ANET has to grow earnings at a 16.37% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2025 - 2027 EPS growth over the next few years to be slightly less than the (16.37%) required growth rate:

2025E: $2.49 (9.9% YoY) *FY Dec
2026E: $2.96 (18.7% YoY)
2027E: $3.61 (22.0% YoY)

$ANET has a great track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but let’s assume $ANET ends 2027 with $3.61 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

32x P/E: $115.52💵 … ~14.2% CAGR

30x P/E: $108.30💵 … ~11.6% CAGR

29x P/E: $101.08💵 … ~8.8% CAGR

28x P/E: $93.86💵 … ~6.0% CAGR

As you can see, we’d have to assume >30x multiple for $ANET to have attractive return potential

At 29x earnings $ANET has decent CAGR potential

However, we must be aware of the risk that if data center demand cools, we could see downward revisions in already aggressive growth estimates that could lead to a 10% - 15% multiple contraction

While $ANET is an excellent business, it may not have the same level of predictability as other quality compounders, so we should require a greater margin of safety

If I want to own $ANET, I’d likely consider buying in tranches, 1/3 at $80, 1/3 at $70 & 1/3 at $60
___

𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
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$CPNG | Coupang Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $7.90B (Est: $8.06B) 🔴
🔹 Gross Profit: $2.30B (Gross Margin: 29.3%)
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $382M (Est: $373.7M) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $114M (Est: $87.6M) 🟢
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$LCID | Lucid Q1'25 Earnings Highlights

🔹 Revenue: $235M (Est: $246.0M) 🔴
🔹 EPS: ($0.20) (Est: -$0.23) 🟢
🔹 Net Loss: $366.2M (Est: -$719.2M) 🟢
🔹 Operating Loss: $691.9M (Est: -$683.7M) 🔴

Operational Metrics
🔹 Vehicles Produced: 2,212 (excludes 600+ units in transit to KSA)
🔹 Vehicles Delivered: 3,109 (+58% YoY)
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