⁠The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump just now on speaking with China, "I don't want to comment on that, but I've spoken to him many times." https://t.co/gUhU1p6X7u
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⁠Investing visuals
$GOOGL visualized 🧵👇

1/6 - How $GOOGL makes money. https://t.co/PTuvgdx4oP
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⁠Finding Compounders
RT @gainify_io: $GOOGL trades at a 10%+ DISCOUNT to the S&P on P/E, EV/EBITDA, and FCF yield.

Earnings beat ✅
Valuation lag ❌ https://t.co/vFVRuZmy32
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
The fact that the market is not even reacting to this post just shows how numb we have all become to the volatility. https://t.co/OUuKL6zOOW
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⁠Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Trump just said that he would sign a ban on congressional stock trading.

He said:

"Well, I watched Nancy Pelosi get rich through insider information, and I would be okay with it. If they send that to me, I would do it."
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⁠Investing visuals
Massive earnings week ahead! Notable names:

• Monday: $DPZ, $NXP
• Tuesday: $PYPL, $SOFI, $V, $SPOT
• Wednesday: $MSFT, $META, $HOOD, $QCOM
• Thursday: $AMZN, $AAPL, $M, $ABNB, $TEAM
• Friday: $XOM

Which are you most excited for? https://t.co/ypgyJ5ewZj
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump says he would sign a ban on congressional stock trading.

However, prediction markets only see a 7% chance of this ban going through in 2025.

Trump has signaled support for this ban multiple times now.

BREAKING: Trump just said that he would sign a ban on congressional stock trading

Only a 7% chance it actually happens this year https://t.co/5M4tK8OOYD - Kalshi
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⁠Finding Compounders
Monitor what Insiders are doing!

Over the past two years: $13.6B+ in insider sales.
Insider purchases? Zero.

That’s a red flag for me. If management won’t bet on their own company, why should I?

As Joel Greenblatt put it: “If you’re going to buy a stock, it’s nice to know that the people running the business are buying too.”

Some won’t agree with this filter — and that’s okay.
The stock might do well. It might even compound.

But I’m not trying to catch every winner.
I’m just trying to avoid the big losers.

Just filtering for downside protection.
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
The US housing market is expected to slow down:

US home prices increased 4.5% year-over-year in Q1 2025, the smallest increase since Q3 2023.

Moody’s projects home prices will increase +3.6% and +2.5% in Q2 and Q3, respectively.

In Q4, home prices are expected to increase by just +1.0%, the lowest growth rate in at least 6 years.

This would bring full year 2025 growth to 1.8%, the lowest since 2011.

The long overdue housing cool-down may finally be coming soon.
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