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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump to announce new auto tariffs at 4 PM ET, per CNBC. https://t.co/XRQfGqR61n
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BREAKING: President Trump to announce new auto tariffs at 4 PM ET, per CNBC. https://t.co/XRQfGqR61n
The trade war is back:
Markets are expecting Trump's April 2nd reciprocal tariffs day to be the "end of uncertainty."
But, we believe it will be the exact OPPOSITE, which is why tech stocks are down over -$400 billion this week.
Here's what's coming next.
(a thread) https://t.co/UPfm1lF7dh tweet
Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
US pension funds are buying massive amounts of stocks this week:
Pension funds are estimated to purchase ~$85 billion of US equities in a quarter-end rebalancing, the most since the 2020 pandemic, according to UBS.
This would mark their second-largest buy on record.
Additionally, US target date funds are projected to acquire $20 billion of stocks, the most since 2022.
The majority of rebalancing would be out of bonds and into equities as the market pulled back this quarter.
As a result, we have seen strong upside in stocks this week.
Can the rally hold once rebalancing ends?
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US pension funds are buying massive amounts of stocks this week:
Pension funds are estimated to purchase ~$85 billion of US equities in a quarter-end rebalancing, the most since the 2020 pandemic, according to UBS.
This would mark their second-largest buy on record.
Additionally, US target date funds are projected to acquire $20 billion of stocks, the most since 2022.
The majority of rebalancing would be out of bonds and into equities as the market pulled back this quarter.
As a result, we have seen strong upside in stocks this week.
Can the rally hold once rebalancing ends?
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Value Spotlight (Andrew Sather)
Is the carnage in Alibaba over?
ROIC seems to think so. Two things stand out after looking at 5 years of ROIC https://t.co/FTcWZdCyI5
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Is the carnage in Alibaba over?
ROIC seems to think so. Two things stand out after looking at 5 years of ROIC https://t.co/FTcWZdCyI5
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AkhenOsiris
Don is awesome, posts a massive amount of sell-side info while asking 0 in return. No subscription stuff here.
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Don is awesome, posts a massive amount of sell-side info while asking 0 in return. No subscription stuff here.
Hello Everyone,
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If you are willing to place a vote, you can do so through the link below. Simply click on it and select 'DonCorleone77.' If you are not a Stocktwits member, you may need to register to vote. Thanks for your support:
stocktwits.com/StocktwitsPol… - DonCorleone77tweet
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The S&P 500 officially falls back below 5700 with market cap losses rising to -$700 billion on the day. https://t.co/0jEUsryaOZ
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BREAKING: The S&P 500 officially falls back below 5700 with market cap losses rising to -$700 billion on the day. https://t.co/0jEUsryaOZ
The trade war is back:
Markets are expecting Trump's April 2nd reciprocal tariffs day to be the "end of uncertainty."
But, we believe it will be the exact OPPOSITE, which is why tech stocks are down over -$400 billion this week.
Here's what's coming next.
(a thread) https://t.co/UPfm1lF7dh tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
Talk about a change in sentiment:
After being the hottest stock in the market for years, Nvidia, $NVDA, is down another -6.5% today.
It has now erased over $750B of market cap since its high.
As a result, Nvidia is now worth less than both Apple and Microsoft.
What happened to Nvidia?
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Talk about a change in sentiment:
After being the hottest stock in the market for years, Nvidia, $NVDA, is down another -6.5% today.
It has now erased over $750B of market cap since its high.
As a result, Nvidia is now worth less than both Apple and Microsoft.
What happened to Nvidia?
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Finding Compounders
Prem Wasta in his shareholder letter shares some sentiments similar to those shared by Warren Buffett and Tom Murphy
Decentralization !! https://t.co/ddgFf2R27N
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Prem Wasta in his shareholder letter shares some sentiments similar to those shared by Warren Buffett and Tom Murphy
Decentralization !! https://t.co/ddgFf2R27N
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump announces 25% tariffs on “cars not made in the United States.”
tweet
BREAKING: President Trump announces 25% tariffs on “cars not made in the United States.”
The trade war is back:
Markets are expecting Trump's April 2nd reciprocal tariffs day to be the "end of uncertainty."
But, we believe it will be the exact OPPOSITE, which is why tech stocks are down over -$400 billion this week.
Here's what's coming next.
(a thread) https://t.co/UPfm1lF7dh tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Kobeissi Letter
The key to profitability right now:
Timing and sentiment are everything in this market.
We continue to see sentiment switch from risk-on to risk-off at a rapid pace.
At 9:45 AM ET this morning, we shifted back to shorts in the S&P 500 after holding longs from 5,500.
It was clear that sentiment had become overly bullish and tariff headwinds were underpriced.
Just hours later, and the S&P 500 is -100 points lower as trade war concerns are back.
Below is one of our clients who was able to capitalize on this swing.
Get ahead of sentiment shifts and this market is incredibly profitable.
tweet
The key to profitability right now:
Timing and sentiment are everything in this market.
We continue to see sentiment switch from risk-on to risk-off at a rapid pace.
At 9:45 AM ET this morning, we shifted back to shorts in the S&P 500 after holding longs from 5,500.
It was clear that sentiment had become overly bullish and tariff headwinds were underpriced.
Just hours later, and the S&P 500 is -100 points lower as trade war concerns are back.
Below is one of our clients who was able to capitalize on this swing.
Get ahead of sentiment shifts and this market is incredibly profitable.
@TKLSubscribers Just a portion of the wins today 💪💪thank you! https://t.co/bluzlejIT8 tweet