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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Novo Nordisk stock trades near its lowest valuation in the last 5 years, almost hitting its bottom at the peak of pessimism during the 2020 stock market crash
This is despite strong double-digit EPS growth estimates through 2027
$NVO https://t.co/wGdJpfsVO3
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Novo Nordisk stock trades near its lowest valuation in the last 5 years, almost hitting its bottom at the peak of pessimism during the 2020 stock market crash
This is despite strong double-digit EPS growth estimates through 2027
$NVO https://t.co/wGdJpfsVO3
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Investing visuals
$NVDA GTC keynote highlights:
🔹Blackwell Ultra chip set for H2 2025
🔹3.6M Blackwell units ordered by cloud giants in 2025
🔹$1T data center capEx by 2028 expected
🔹GROOT N1 model leads robotics, diversifies revenue
🔹GM partnership cements $NVDA's role in autonomy https://t.co/jUXczA6BoP
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$NVDA GTC keynote highlights:
🔹Blackwell Ultra chip set for H2 2025
🔹3.6M Blackwell units ordered by cloud giants in 2025
🔹$1T data center capEx by 2028 expected
🔹GROOT N1 model leads robotics, diversifies revenue
🔹GM partnership cements $NVDA's role in autonomy https://t.co/jUXczA6BoP
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App Economy Insights
📺 US TV Time February 2025:
Streaming 43.5% (+5.8pp Y/Y).
• YouTube 11.6% (+2.3pp Y/Y).
• Netflix 8.2% (+0.4pp Y/Y).
• Disney apps 4.8% (+0.1pp Y/Y).
• Prime Video 3.5% (+0.7pp Y/Y).
• Roku Channel 2.1% (+0.9pp Y/Y).
$GOOG $NFLX $AMZN $DIS $ROKU
Source: Nielsen. https://t.co/GoFxk89jod
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📺 US TV Time February 2025:
Streaming 43.5% (+5.8pp Y/Y).
• YouTube 11.6% (+2.3pp Y/Y).
• Netflix 8.2% (+0.4pp Y/Y).
• Disney apps 4.8% (+0.1pp Y/Y).
• Prime Video 3.5% (+0.7pp Y/Y).
• Roku Channel 2.1% (+0.9pp Y/Y).
$GOOG $NFLX $AMZN $DIS $ROKU
Source: Nielsen. https://t.co/GoFxk89jod
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The Investing for Beginners Podcast
Compounding machines.
We all want them, hard to find.
Look for those with high ROIC + reinvestment rates. https://t.co/prY2t76wvE
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Compounding machines.
We all want them, hard to find.
Look for those with high ROIC + reinvestment rates. https://t.co/prY2t76wvE
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The Kobeissi Letter
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (3/19/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 2nd straight meeting
2. Fed says uncertainty around economy has increased
3. Median forecast shows 50 bps of rate cuts in 2025
4. Fed to slow balance sheet runoff beginning April 1st
5. Fed sharply reduces 2025 growth projections
6. Fed marks up their 2025 inflation forecast
The Fed PAUSE officially continues.
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SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (3/19/2025):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for 2nd straight meeting
2. Fed says uncertainty around economy has increased
3. Median forecast shows 50 bps of rate cuts in 2025
4. Fed to slow balance sheet runoff beginning April 1st
5. Fed sharply reduces 2025 growth projections
6. Fed marks up their 2025 inflation forecast
The Fed PAUSE officially continues.
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Value Spotlight (Andrew Sather)
Top Quintile ROIC = Steady Compounding
Case in point, $WSO
Shares up +19% annually since IPO in 1989. https://t.co/mJ8BX7dRTw
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Top Quintile ROIC = Steady Compounding
Case in point, $WSO
Shares up +19% annually since IPO in 1989. https://t.co/mJ8BX7dRTw
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The Fed has released their updated dot-plot.
4 Fed officials expect no rate cuts in 2025 compared to just 1 in December.
The median forecast shows 50 basis points of rate cuts in 2025. https://t.co/csDJM5ZKur
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BREAKING: The Fed has released their updated dot-plot.
4 Fed officials expect no rate cuts in 2025 compared to just 1 in December.
The median forecast shows 50 basis points of rate cuts in 2025. https://t.co/csDJM5ZKur
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The Fed makes multiple revisions to their 2025 economic data projections.
1. Cuts 2025 GDP growth projection from 2.1% to 1.7%
2. Raises unemployment forecast from 4.3% to 4.4%
3. Raises PCE inflation forecast from 2.5% to 2.7%
4. Raises Core PCE inflation forecast from 2.5% to 2.8%
The Fed sees higher inflation and a weaker economy.
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BREAKING: The Fed makes multiple revisions to their 2025 economic data projections.
1. Cuts 2025 GDP growth projection from 2.1% to 1.7%
2. Raises unemployment forecast from 4.3% to 4.4%
3. Raises PCE inflation forecast from 2.5% to 2.7%
4. Raises Core PCE inflation forecast from 2.5% to 2.8%
The Fed sees higher inflation and a weaker economy.
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The Kobeissi Letter
This clip is from almost exactly 11 months ago:
Fed Chair Powell was asked about stagflation and he said he's not seeing the "stag" or the "flation."
Today, the Fed raised both unemployment and inflation forecasts for 2025, while cutting GDP growth estimates.
We are now seeing the "stag" and the "flation"
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This clip is from almost exactly 11 months ago:
Fed Chair Powell was asked about stagflation and he said he's not seeing the "stag" or the "flation."
Today, the Fed raised both unemployment and inflation forecasts for 2025, while cutting GDP growth estimates.
We are now seeing the "stag" and the "flation"
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Greenhaven Road Capital on PAR Technology $PAR US
Thesis: With strong recurring revenue growth, major client wins like Burger King, and a solid acquisition strategy, PAR Technology is on track to scale profitably—potentially becoming a "Rule of 40" company in 2025.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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Greenhaven Road Capital on PAR Technology $PAR US
Thesis: With strong recurring revenue growth, major client wins like Burger King, and a solid acquisition strategy, PAR Technology is on track to scale profitably—potentially becoming a "Rule of 40" company in 2025.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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