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The Kobeissi Letter
The case for a SHORT SQUEEZE:
Since February 19th, the S&P 500 has erased -$5 TRILLION in its most one-sided move since the 2022 bear market.
Total PUT option volumes have surged to a record 30+ MILLION contracts over the last 5 days.
Is a short squeeze coming?
(a thread) https://t.co/AutLiKW7Yh
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The case for a SHORT SQUEEZE:
Since February 19th, the S&P 500 has erased -$5 TRILLION in its most one-sided move since the 2022 bear market.
Total PUT option volumes have surged to a record 30+ MILLION contracts over the last 5 days.
Is a short squeeze coming?
(a thread) https://t.co/AutLiKW7Yh
tweet
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Forager on Catapult $CAT AU
Thesis: Catapult is on a strong path to sustained profitability, with significant revenue growth, a dominant market position, and the potential for a $2-4 billion valuation by 2031.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/VKQpjLrYiX
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Forager on Catapult $CAT AU
Thesis: Catapult is on a strong path to sustained profitability, with significant revenue growth, a dominant market position, and the potential for a $2-4 billion valuation by 2031.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/VKQpjLrYiX
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: US stocks extend decline as President Trump raises steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada to 50%.
The Dow is now down -600 points in 30 minutes. https://t.co/el8o6ORCvR
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BREAKING: US stocks extend decline as President Trump raises steel and aluminum tariffs on Canada to 50%.
The Dow is now down -600 points in 30 minutes. https://t.co/el8o6ORCvR
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App Economy Insights
RT @EconomyApp: $ORCL Oracle Q3 FY25 (February quarter).
• RPO +63% Y/Y fx neutral to $130B.
• Revenue +6% Y/Y to $14.1B ($0.3B miss).
• Non-GAAP EPS $1.47 ($0.02 miss).
• Dividend +25% to $0.50/share.
Cloud revenue +23% Y/Y to $6.2B:
• Application (SaaS) +9% Y/Y to $3.6B.
• Infrastructure (IaaS) +49% Y/Y to $2.7B.
CEO Safra Catz:
"We have now signed cloud agreements with several world-leading technology companies, including OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, and AMD. We expect that our huge $130 billion sales backlog will help drive a 15% increase in Oracle's overall revenue in our next fiscal year beginning this June. And we expect RPO to continue to grow rapidly—as we look forward to signing our first Stargate contract—yet another big opportunity for Oracle to expand both its AI training and AI inferencing businesses in the near future."
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RT @EconomyApp: $ORCL Oracle Q3 FY25 (February quarter).
• RPO +63% Y/Y fx neutral to $130B.
• Revenue +6% Y/Y to $14.1B ($0.3B miss).
• Non-GAAP EPS $1.47 ($0.02 miss).
• Dividend +25% to $0.50/share.
Cloud revenue +23% Y/Y to $6.2B:
• Application (SaaS) +9% Y/Y to $3.6B.
• Infrastructure (IaaS) +49% Y/Y to $2.7B.
CEO Safra Catz:
"We have now signed cloud agreements with several world-leading technology companies, including OpenAI, xAI, Meta, NVIDIA, and AMD. We expect that our huge $130 billion sales backlog will help drive a 15% increase in Oracle's overall revenue in our next fiscal year beginning this June. And we expect RPO to continue to grow rapidly—as we look forward to signing our first Stargate contract—yet another big opportunity for Oracle to expand both its AI training and AI inferencing businesses in the near future."
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump says "the only thing that makes sense is for Canada to become our 51st State."
He adds, "this would make all tariffs, and everything else, totally disappear."
New tariffs of 50% on Steel and Aluminum will be live tomorrow. https://t.co/ckDD7KGPgc
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BREAKING: President Trump says "the only thing that makes sense is for Canada to become our 51st State."
He adds, "this would make all tariffs, and everything else, totally disappear."
New tariffs of 50% on Steel and Aluminum will be live tomorrow. https://t.co/ckDD7KGPgc
The case for a SHORT SQUEEZE:
Since February 19th, the S&P 500 has erased -$5 TRILLION in its most one-sided move since the 2022 bear market.
Total PUT option volumes have surged to a record 30+ MILLION contracts over the last 5 days.
Is a short squeeze coming?
(a thread) https://t.co/AutLiKW7Yh tweet
Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
JUST IN: Representatives Eugene Vindman and Brian Fitzpatrick have introduced a bill to reduce Congress' salary if the debt limit is reached, or a shutdown occurs.
Do you support this? https://t.co/4lX6NhMuj0
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JUST IN: Representatives Eugene Vindman and Brian Fitzpatrick have introduced a bill to reduce Congress' salary if the debt limit is reached, or a shutdown occurs.
Do you support this? https://t.co/4lX6NhMuj0
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Ukraine is reportedly ready to sign the US Minerals Deal, according to Fox News.
Ukraine is also reportedly ready for a "partial ceasefire" agreement.
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BREAKING: Ukraine is reportedly ready to sign the US Minerals Deal, according to Fox News.
Ukraine is also reportedly ready for a "partial ceasefire" agreement.
The case for a SHORT SQUEEZE:
Since February 19th, the S&P 500 has erased -$5 TRILLION in its most one-sided move since the 2022 bear market.
Total PUT option volumes have surged to a record 30+ MILLION contracts over the last 5 days.
Is a short squeeze coming?
(a thread) https://t.co/AutLiKW7Yh tweet
Offshore
Photo
Investing visuals
Why AI Is not Hype – A real-Life example 👇
The company I work for demonstrated a proof of concept today using a ChatGPT model for image recognition to pre-fill and verify data, previously a manual task. By automating this process, we saved about six minutes per instance. That doesn’t sound like much, right?
Well, this process runs 282,000 times a year, resulting in a staggering 28,000 hours saved.
Let’s estimate an hourly rate of $25. A simple AI use case like this just saved the company $700,000 per year. And this was just build and released in a matter of months.
This is one of the many examples I've seen so far. Right now, the company is experimenting with 10 other proof of concepts for various use cases. Many of which I believe will scale massively over time. The same goes for many other businesses right now. They are still very much in the experimental phase. Only just beginning to grasp the massive potential of AI.
This is why I’ve positioned my portfolio heavily in companies that benefit from the various stages of AI adoption. Investing is about looking to the future, and I truly believe there’s so much more to come. As both an investing and tech geek, I find this incredibly exciting.
What a great time to be in!
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Why AI Is not Hype – A real-Life example 👇
The company I work for demonstrated a proof of concept today using a ChatGPT model for image recognition to pre-fill and verify data, previously a manual task. By automating this process, we saved about six minutes per instance. That doesn’t sound like much, right?
Well, this process runs 282,000 times a year, resulting in a staggering 28,000 hours saved.
Let’s estimate an hourly rate of $25. A simple AI use case like this just saved the company $700,000 per year. And this was just build and released in a matter of months.
This is one of the many examples I've seen so far. Right now, the company is experimenting with 10 other proof of concepts for various use cases. Many of which I believe will scale massively over time. The same goes for many other businesses right now. They are still very much in the experimental phase. Only just beginning to grasp the massive potential of AI.
This is why I’ve positioned my portfolio heavily in companies that benefit from the various stages of AI adoption. Investing is about looking to the future, and I truly believe there’s so much more to come. As both an investing and tech geek, I find this incredibly exciting.
What a great time to be in!
tweet