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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump says he is “not even looking at the stock market.” https://t.co/biAHhbolQJ
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BREAKING: President Trump says he is “not even looking at the stock market.” https://t.co/biAHhbolQJ
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Giverny Capital on Ferguson $FERG US
Thesis: Ferguson is the largest plumbing-supplies distributor in the US, with strong market power, healthy profits, and potential for growth through acquisitions despite weak housing construction.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/didFWjKi0R
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Giverny Capital on Ferguson $FERG US
Thesis: Ferguson is the largest plumbing-supplies distributor in the US, with strong market power, healthy profits, and potential for growth through acquisitions despite weak housing construction.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/didFWjKi0R
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
A correction occurs when the stock market declines by at least 10% to 20% 📉
We’ll officially enter a correction if / when the S&P 500 and Nasdaq drop to:
$SPY: 5,532
$IXIC: 18,184 (the Nasdaq is already in correction territory)
A bear market is defined as a stock market decline of 20% or more 📉
We’ll officially enter a bear market if the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall to:
$SPY: 4,917
$IXIC: 16,164
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A correction occurs when the stock market declines by at least 10% to 20% 📉
We’ll officially enter a correction if / when the S&P 500 and Nasdaq drop to:
$SPY: 5,532
$IXIC: 18,184 (the Nasdaq is already in correction territory)
A bear market is defined as a stock market decline of 20% or more 📉
We’ll officially enter a bear market if the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fall to:
$SPY: 4,917
$IXIC: 16,164
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Quiver Quantitative
RT @InsiderRadar: 🚨BREAKING: New Insider Purchase
The Chairman of the Board at $SBGI has reported purchasing $1.6m of the company's stock in two separate purchases this week.
These are the first insider purchases at the company in over a year.
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RT @InsiderRadar: 🚨BREAKING: New Insider Purchase
The Chairman of the Board at $SBGI has reported purchasing $1.6m of the company's stock in two separate purchases this week.
These are the first insider purchases at the company in over a year.
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Finding Compounders
Graph visualizing Total Shareholder Return.
Source : McKinsey Valuation https://t.co/czKfZO6pBc
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Graph visualizing Total Shareholder Return.
Source : McKinsey Valuation https://t.co/czKfZO6pBc
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: President Trump just spoke on the cause of the stock market sell-off.
Do you agree with him? https://t.co/5P9M36lhl7
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BREAKING: President Trump just spoke on the cause of the stock market sell-off.
Do you agree with him? https://t.co/5P9M36lhl7
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App Economy Insights
$COST Costco Q2 FY25.
• Revenue +9% Y/Y to $63.7B ($0.6B beat).
• EPS $4.02 ($0.09 miss).
• 897 warehouses (+22 Y/Y, +6 Q/Q).
Comparable sales Y/Y (adjusted):
• US +8.6%.
• Company +9.1%.
• E-commerce +22.2%. https://t.co/nsqKj4MXAE
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$COST Costco Q2 FY25.
• Revenue +9% Y/Y to $63.7B ($0.6B beat).
• EPS $4.02 ($0.09 miss).
• 897 warehouses (+22 Y/Y, +6 Q/Q).
Comparable sales Y/Y (adjusted):
• US +8.6%.
• Company +9.1%.
• E-commerce +22.2%. https://t.co/nsqKj4MXAE
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App Economy Insights
$AVGO Broadcom Q1 FY25 (January quarter).
VMWare acquisition completed in late 11/2023.
• Revenue +25% Y/Y to $14.9B ($0.3B beat).
• Non-GAAP EPS $1.60 ($0.09 beat).
Q2 FY25 guidance:
• Revenue ~$14.9B ($0.3B beat).
• Adjusted EBITDA margin ~66%. https://t.co/jOFydCzYtY
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$AVGO Broadcom Q1 FY25 (January quarter).
VMWare acquisition completed in late 11/2023.
• Revenue +25% Y/Y to $14.9B ($0.3B beat).
• Non-GAAP EPS $1.60 ($0.09 beat).
Q2 FY25 guidance:
• Revenue ~$14.9B ($0.3B beat).
• Adjusted EBITDA margin ~66%. https://t.co/jOFydCzYtY
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The Kobeissi Letter
Trading during trade wars:
Over the last 2 weeks, the S&P 500's market cap has swung by an average of $500+ BILLION per day.
This has created an exceptional trading environment for technical traders.
Want to capitalize on it? Here's what we've been doing.
(a thread) https://t.co/M06mNrqSF0
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Trading during trade wars:
Over the last 2 weeks, the S&P 500's market cap has swung by an average of $500+ BILLION per day.
This has created an exceptional trading environment for technical traders.
Want to capitalize on it? Here's what we've been doing.
(a thread) https://t.co/M06mNrqSF0
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Offshore
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: President Trump is considering an Executive Order to establish a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve as soon as tomorrow, per Bloomberg, DB. https://t.co/dDAZqlzdFT
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BREAKING: President Trump is considering an Executive Order to establish a Bitcoin Strategic Reserve as soon as tomorrow, per Bloomberg, DB. https://t.co/dDAZqlzdFT
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