Offshore
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ 2 months ago I stated: โI consider $MELI a strong buy closer to $1,700๐ต (~9% below todayโs price) where I can reasonably expect ~14% CAGR while assuming a 36x end multiple, ensuring some margin of safetyโ Since reachingโฆ
ectory, fueled by powerful network effects that should drive sustained momentum
Key factors contributing to its promising outlook include ๐
1. Margin expansion
2. Unparalleled access to Latin America's burgeoning economy
3. Network effects that produce self-reinforcing dynamics ensuring long-term competitiveness, among other things
Those buying $MELI today at $1856๐ต are buying it for a fair price, with little margin of safety โ however, these growth rates have to be revised down substantially for $MELI to miss the mark, even if the company grows earnings at 25% CAGR over the next 5 years, shareholders will likely end up with a decent return
I consider $MELI a strong buy closer to $1,700๐ต (~9% below todayโs price) where I can reasonably expect ~14% CAGR while assuming a 36x end multiple, ensuring some margin of safety
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ tweet
Key factors contributing to its promising outlook include ๐
1. Margin expansion
2. Unparalleled access to Latin America's burgeoning economy
3. Network effects that produce self-reinforcing dynamics ensuring long-term competitiveness, among other things
Those buying $MELI today at $1856๐ต are buying it for a fair price, with little margin of safety โ however, these growth rates have to be revised down substantially for $MELI to miss the mark, even if the company grows earnings at 25% CAGR over the next 5 years, shareholders will likely end up with a decent return
I consider $MELI a strong buy closer to $1,700๐ต (~9% below todayโs price) where I can reasonably expect ~14% CAGR while assuming a 36x end multiple, ensuring some margin of safety
#stocks #investing
___
๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ. - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ tweet
Offshore
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โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Clearbridge Small Cap Strategy on First Watch Restaurant $FWRG US
Thesis: First Watch Restaurant is an attractive growth opportunity in casual dining, focusing on breakfast and lunch to maintain low labor costs and high margins.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/kZ8aO6bBQS
tweet
Clearbridge Small Cap Strategy on First Watch Restaurant $FWRG US
Thesis: First Watch Restaurant is an attractive growth opportunity in casual dining, focusing on breakfast and lunch to maintain low labor costs and high margins.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/kZ8aO6bBQS
tweet
Offshore
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โ Investing visuals
I'm no expert on $NU, but their customer growth over the past 5 years is impressive to say the least๐ https://t.co/SLTZbVRwc3
tweet
I'm no expert on $NU, but their customer growth over the past 5 years is impressive to say the least๐ https://t.co/SLTZbVRwc3
tweet
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: As an investor, itโs exciting to find companies where profits and stock prices rise together over time
Here are 10 high-quality compounders, businesses that keep growing steadily, still trading near their valuations from 5 years ago, plus their impressive returns ๐งต
tweet
RT @DimitryNakhla: As an investor, itโs exciting to find companies where profits and stock prices rise together over time
Here are 10 high-quality compounders, businesses that keep growing steadily, still trading near their valuations from 5 years ago, plus their impressive returns ๐งต
tweet
Offshore
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โ Startup Archive
Sam Altman on how to build a "product improvement engine" in your company:
"Talk to your users and watch them use your product, figure out what parts are sub-par, and then make your product better. Then do it again. This cycle should be the number one focus of the company, and it should drive everything else. If you improve your product 5% every week, it will really compound."
tweet
Sam Altman on how to build a "product improvement engine" in your company:
"Talk to your users and watch them use your product, figure out what parts are sub-par, and then make your product better. Then do it again. This cycle should be the number one focus of the company, and it should drive everything else. If you improve your product 5% every week, it will really compound."
"A Great Product" by Sam Altman https://t.co/78wQgXZKi9 - The Founders' Tribunetweet
Offshore
Photo
โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Brown Advisory on AutoZone $AZO US
Thesis: AutoZone is the leading US automotive parts retailer, effectively serving the growing used car market and expanding into the DIFM sector, while maintaining strong customer loyalty through immediate parts availability and exceptional capital discipline.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet
Brown Advisory on AutoZone $AZO US
Thesis: AutoZone is the leading US automotive parts retailer, effectively serving the growing used car market and expanding into the DIFM sector, while maintaining strong customer loyalty through immediate parts availability and exceptional capital discipline.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
tweet
Offshore
Video
โ Quiver Quantitative
If anyone is wondering how a politician has made tens of millions of dollars on a $174K salary:
Check out Quiver.
It lets you track politiciansโ:
- Stock trading
- Portfolio
- Net Worth
- Corporate Donors
- Proposed Legislation
Along with data on hedge fund holdings, company financials, insider trading, and more.
Open to the public with no ads.
I try to post interesting insights from the data, but I think itโs important that the raw data is available to anyone who wants to do their own research.
tweet
If anyone is wondering how a politician has made tens of millions of dollars on a $174K salary:
Check out Quiver.
It lets you track politiciansโ:
- Stock trading
- Portfolio
- Net Worth
- Corporate Donors
- Proposed Legislation
Along with data on hedge fund holdings, company financials, insider trading, and more.
Open to the public with no ads.
I try to post interesting insights from the data, but I think itโs important that the raw data is available to anyone who wants to do their own research.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: $CDNS & $SNPS provide tools and IP for designing and verifying microchips and electronic systems
10-year total return:
$CDNS ~1258%
$SNPS ~900%
10-year EPS growth:
$CDNS 535%
$SNPS 421%
10-year multiple expansion:
$CDNS 118%
$SNPS 90%
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As you can see, multiple expansion has significantly driven its total returns
Looking ahead, investors might not want to count on further expansion over the next decade, particularly if growth rates slow during that time
tweet
RT @DimitryNakhla: $CDNS & $SNPS provide tools and IP for designing and verifying microchips and electronic systems
10-year total return:
$CDNS ~1258%
$SNPS ~900%
10-year EPS growth:
$CDNS 535%
$SNPS 421%
10-year multiple expansion:
$CDNS 118%
$SNPS 90%
___
As you can see, multiple expansion has significantly driven its total returns
Looking ahead, investors might not want to count on further expansion over the next decade, particularly if growth rates slow during that time
tweet
Offshore
Photo
โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Baron India Fund on Coforge Limited $COFORGE IN
Thesis: Coforge Limited is well-positioned to capitalize on the digital transformation of global enterprises, with expected earnings growth of 15% to 20% over the next three to five years.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/v7epYAT1xD
tweet
Baron India Fund on Coforge Limited $COFORGE IN
Thesis: Coforge Limited is well-positioned to capitalize on the digital transformation of global enterprises, with expected earnings growth of 15% to 20% over the next three to five years.
(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/v7epYAT1xD
tweet
โ Startup Archive
RT @benrollert: This is actually really good advice and people just ignore it even though itโs simple
tweet
RT @benrollert: This is actually really good advice and people just ignore it even though itโs simple
Sam Altman on how to build a "product improvement engine" in your company:
"Talk to your users and watch them use your product, figure out what parts are sub-par, and then make your product better. Then do it again. This cycle should be the number one focus of the company, and it should drive everything else. If you improve your product 5% every week, it will really compound." - Startup Archivetweet
twitter.com
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