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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
After today’s earnings report, $FICO stock is down -30% from its all time highs 📉
$1,300 is where I start to get interested 🤞🏽 https://t.co/e1QHTvc6Ml
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After today’s earnings report, $FICO stock is down -30% from its all time highs 📉
$1,300 is where I start to get interested 🤞🏽 https://t.co/e1QHTvc6Ml
Fair Isaac $FICO Reports a Mixed Q1 🆗
❌Rev: $439.9M vs $452.2M (est) | +15% YoY
✅EPS: $6.14 vs $6.07 (est) | +28% YoY
Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) for Software segment for full year 2024 was $729.3M, a +6% YoY increase https://t.co/2VyV2gFc0C tweet
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
The Stock Market can be wild at times 📊
$GOOG reports $26.53B in net income (+30% EPS growth YoY)
$GOOG loses ~$190B in market value 📉
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$PLTR reports $341.94M in net income (+67% EPS growth YoY)
$PLTR gains ~$46B in market value 📈
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“Efficient market” they say …
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The Stock Market can be wild at times 📊
$GOOG reports $26.53B in net income (+30% EPS growth YoY)
$GOOG loses ~$190B in market value 📉
___
$PLTR reports $341.94M in net income (+67% EPS growth YoY)
$PLTR gains ~$46B in market value 📈
___
“Efficient market” they say …
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Laughing Water Capital on Nextnav $NN US
Thesis: Nextnav is likely undervalued at ~$40 per share, as its nationwide low band spectrum could command a premium over recent Verizon transactions, and despite opposition to its FCC petition, it is expected to negotiate from a position of strength.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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Laughing Water Capital on Nextnav $NN US
Thesis: Nextnav is likely undervalued at ~$40 per share, as its nationwide low band spectrum could command a premium over recent Verizon transactions, and despite opposition to its FCC petition, it is expected to negotiate from a position of strength.
(Extract from their Q4 letter)
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InsideArbitrage
$EA Electronic Arts plans $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase under its $5 billion share repurchase plan announced last year
🔄 This will bring total stock repurchases to $2.5 billion within the first year of its $5 billion authorization.
📉 It repurchased 2.4 million shares for $375 million during Q4, bringing the total for the TTM to 10.1 million shares for $1.450 billion
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$EA Electronic Arts plans $1 billion accelerated stock repurchase under its $5 billion share repurchase plan announced last year
🔄 This will bring total stock repurchases to $2.5 billion within the first year of its $5 billion authorization.
📉 It repurchased 2.4 million shares for $375 million during Q4, bringing the total for the TTM to 10.1 million shares for $1.450 billion
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Quiver Quantitative
Another update.
Two weeks ago, we sent out a notification on Pelosi's purchase of Tempus AI call options.
$TEM has now risen 94% since her trade. https://t.co/KW4vhWCKDM
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Another update.
Two weeks ago, we sent out a notification on Pelosi's purchase of Tempus AI call options.
$TEM has now risen 94% since her trade. https://t.co/KW4vhWCKDM
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InsideArbitrage
$MMM 3M Company👇
🔹Declares Quarterly Dividend (has been paying dividends for 100+ years!) and
🔹Authorizes a new $7.5 billion share repurchase plan (~2% of its current market cap) that replaces the prior one. The authorization has no pre-established closing date
🔹 Gradual share repurchases over the last 3 years, cutting down shares oustanding by ~6%
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$MMM 3M Company👇
🔹Declares Quarterly Dividend (has been paying dividends for 100+ years!) and
🔹Authorizes a new $7.5 billion share repurchase plan (~2% of its current market cap) that replaces the prior one. The authorization has no pre-established closing date
🔹 Gradual share repurchases over the last 3 years, cutting down shares oustanding by ~6%
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InsideArbitrage
$MAT Mattel shares jump (+10.4%) after hrs as the toy company reports strong results: EPS of $0.35 beats by $0.15 | Revenue of $1.65B (1.59% Y/Y) beats by $20.23M
For the full year 2024, the company repurchased $400 million of shares and targets to repurchase $600 million in 2025 under its $1 billion share repurchase authorization announced in Feb 2024
Recent C-Suite Transition: CFO Mr.Anthony DiSilvestro announced his retirement effective May 15, 2025
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$MAT Mattel shares jump (+10.4%) after hrs as the toy company reports strong results: EPS of $0.35 beats by $0.15 | Revenue of $1.65B (1.59% Y/Y) beats by $20.23M
For the full year 2024, the company repurchased $400 million of shares and targets to repurchase $600 million in 2025 under its $1 billion share repurchase authorization announced in Feb 2024
Recent C-Suite Transition: CFO Mr.Anthony DiSilvestro announced his retirement effective May 15, 2025
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InsideArbitrage
$MTCH Match Group appoints Spencer Rascoff—Zillow co-founder—as its new CEO, replacing Bernard Kim.
- Rascoff has served on Match’s board since March 2024 & was brought in after talks with activist investor Elliott Management. 🏗️
- Rascoff’s Background:
🏡 Co-founded & led Zillow for a decade
✈️ Co-founded Hotwire (sold to Expedia for $700M)
CEO Compensation:
💰 Base Salary: $800K/year
💵 Target Bonus: 200% of salary
🚀 $30M Value Creation Award if stock hits $40-$60 for 45 days
Last October, Match Group announced insider Steven Bailey is set to become CFO effective March 1, 2025, as Gary Swidler transitions from CFO to remain President.
Stock tumbles -9% after-hours as revenue guidance disappoints. 📉
Match also projects 2025 sales of $3.38B–$3.50B, below estimates.
Q4 Earnings:
💰 EPS: $0.59 (beat $0.54 est.)
📊 Revenue: $860M (beat $859M est.)
⚠️ Weak Q1 guidance: $820M–$830M vs. $853M est. 📉
📱Tinder Troubles: Paying users fell 4% YoY to 14.6M, marking 9 straight quarters of decline. Match struggles with slowing engagement & economic headwinds.
🤖Match plans to leverage AI across its dating apps, but analysts see real growth only by 2026.
Activist Push: Rascoff’s appointment follows Elliott Management’s involvement to turn Match around. The company has struggled since its IAC spinoff in 2020, losing over $20B in market cap. 📉
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$MTCH Match Group appoints Spencer Rascoff—Zillow co-founder—as its new CEO, replacing Bernard Kim.
- Rascoff has served on Match’s board since March 2024 & was brought in after talks with activist investor Elliott Management. 🏗️
- Rascoff’s Background:
🏡 Co-founded & led Zillow for a decade
✈️ Co-founded Hotwire (sold to Expedia for $700M)
CEO Compensation:
💰 Base Salary: $800K/year
💵 Target Bonus: 200% of salary
🚀 $30M Value Creation Award if stock hits $40-$60 for 45 days
Last October, Match Group announced insider Steven Bailey is set to become CFO effective March 1, 2025, as Gary Swidler transitions from CFO to remain President.
Stock tumbles -9% after-hours as revenue guidance disappoints. 📉
Match also projects 2025 sales of $3.38B–$3.50B, below estimates.
Q4 Earnings:
💰 EPS: $0.59 (beat $0.54 est.)
📊 Revenue: $860M (beat $859M est.)
⚠️ Weak Q1 guidance: $820M–$830M vs. $853M est. 📉
📱Tinder Troubles: Paying users fell 4% YoY to 14.6M, marking 9 straight quarters of decline. Match struggles with slowing engagement & economic headwinds.
🤖Match plans to leverage AI across its dating apps, but analysts see real growth only by 2026.
Activist Push: Rascoff’s appointment follows Elliott Management’s involvement to turn Match around. The company has struggled since its IAC spinoff in 2020, losing over $20B in market cap. 📉
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