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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD โ€ฆ is $PYPL still undervalued? ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿฝ

Letโ€™s have a look at the earnings estimates:

2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)

$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโ€™s assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

20x P/E: $108.00๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~18.6% CAGR

19x P/E: $102.60๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~16.0% CAGR

18x P/E: $97.20๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~13.3% CAGR

17x P/E: $91.80๐Ÿ’ต โ€ฆ ~10.5% CAGR

As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages

Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74๐Ÿ’ต appears to still be a decent consideration for investment

#stocks #investing
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๐ƒ๐ˆ๐’๐‚๐‹๐Ž๐’๐”๐‘๐„โ€ผ๏ธ: ๐“๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐Ž๐“ ๐ˆ๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐€๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž. ๐๐š๐›๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐‚๐š๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ฅยฎ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐ž๐ฉ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐š๐ฒ ๐ก๐š๐ฏ๐ž ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ž๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐ž๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ.

๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐›๐ž ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ ๐š๐๐ฏ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ž ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐ž๐œ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ ๐ง๐ž๐ž๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐š๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐š๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐š๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐ž๐ซ๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐Ÿ๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.

๐ˆ๐ง๐Ÿ๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐œ๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐ž๐ž๐ญ ๐ก๐š๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ž๐ง ๐จ๐›๐ญ๐š๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ ๐Ÿ๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ ๐›๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐›๐ž ๐ซ๐ž๐ฅ๐ข๐š๐›๐ฅ๐ž, ๐›๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐š๐ซ๐š๐ง๐ญ๐ž๐ž๐ ๐š๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐œ๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ญ๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐š๐œ๐œ๐ฎ๐ซ๐š๐œ๐ฒ.
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โ Librarian Capital
FeverTree $FEVR in UK* - bottom shelf & on reduction

Not a good sign but has been the same for several months at least

Schweppes, main UK competitor, on shelf above

(* Islington Upper Street Sainsbury, but true also of other ones I have visited) https://t.co/u9YYJEUKYv
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โ Librarian Capital
L'Orรฉal $OR Aesop store on Islington Upper Street
Photo taken Wed lunch time (1 pm); zero customers

Staff outnumbered customers every time I went past this, except one weekend, but it's possible this is intended for weekend shoppers https://t.co/hE0I1AbFmx
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โ Investing visuals
With the Nasdaq $QQQ up 2%, itโ€™s nearing its all-time high. Hereโ€™s an overview of the worldโ€™s largest tech ETF๐Ÿ‘‡ https://t.co/zYhpQZnbON
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โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Smithson on Choice Hotels $CHH US

Choice Hotels' robust margins, coupled with strategic share buybacks, present a solid investment with a 5% free cash flow yield

(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/bF5XC8P0Oi
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โ Librarian Capital
"Walmart Plans Instant Bank Payments, Cutting Out Card Networks" (Bloomberg) $V $MA

"The worldโ€™s largest retailer has offered pay-by-bank through Walmart Pay since earlier this year ... (The) upgraded pay-by-bank offering will be rolled out in 2025 ... for online checkout"

Walmart customers will soon have the option to pay directly from their bank accounts with instant transfers for online purchases https://t.co/TH16uiYTsQ
- Bloomberg
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โ Librarian Capital
Rightmove $RMV: long-time holder Kayne Anderson Rudnick has sold down ~1% (from 6.52% to 5.35%)

$REA non-binding offer was rejected by RMV board
They have until 30-Sep to make another one https://t.co/s6y42T8zzR
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โ Hidden Value Gems
Probably a buying opportunity ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ $KSPI

Just adding a word โ€œRussiaโ€ and expecting the stock to tankโ€ฆ

I would be more cautious about $FRHC though, which was also subject to a short seller attack and is now +50% from its lows.

cc @CulperResearch https://t.co/fzFcG59Gpc
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โ Librarian Capital
"Tucker Carlson Plans New Nicotine-Pouch Brand (Alp)" (WSJ) $PM

"His partner in the venture ... said Alp would comply with federal regulations but declined to say whether the brand had sought clearance from the FDA"

"Alp pouches are moist, he said"

Tucker Carlson says he decided to launch his own nicotine-pouch brand because Zyn maker Philip Morris couldnโ€™t take a joke https://t.co/78Q14NPpSN https://t.co/78Q14NPpSN
- The Wall Street Journal
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