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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD โฆ is $PYPL still undervalued? ๐๐ฝ
Letโs have a look at the earnings estimates:
2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)
$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
20x P/E: $108.00๐ต โฆ ~18.6% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.60๐ต โฆ ~16.0% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.20๐ต โฆ ~13.3% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.80๐ต โฆ ~10.5% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages
Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74๐ต appears to still be a decent consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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PayPal $PYPL is up +5.44% in the last five days & up +19.07% YTD โฆ is $PYPL still undervalued? ๐๐ฝ
Letโs have a look at the earnings estimates:
2024E: $4.41 (-13.5% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (+9.5% YoY)
2026E: $5.40 (+11.7% YoY)
$PYPL has a decent track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so letโs assume $BKNG ends 2026 with $5.40 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples
20x P/E: $108.00๐ต โฆ ~18.6% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.60๐ต โฆ ~16.0% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.20๐ต โฆ ~13.3% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.80๐ต โฆ ~10.5% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings, a valuation below what maybe justified by its renewed growth rate & a multiple below its historical averages
Despite its recent rally, $PYPL at $74๐ต appears to still be a decent consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐๐โผ๏ธ: ๐๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐. ๐๐๐๐ฒ๐ฅ๐จ๐ง ๐๐๐ฉ๐ข๐ญ๐๐ฅยฎ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ข๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ซ๐๐ฉ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐๐ฌ ๐ฆ๐๐ฒ ๐ก๐๐ฏ๐ ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐ข๐ญ๐ข๐๐ฌ ๐๐ข๐ฌ๐๐ฎ๐ฌ๐ฌ๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ.
๐๐ก๐ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ซ ๐ข๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐๐ฅ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฉ๐จ๐ฌ๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ง๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐๐ง๐ ๐ฌ๐ก๐จ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐๐ ๐๐จ๐ง๐ฌ๐ญ๐ซ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐๐ฌ๐ญ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐ญ ๐๐๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐ฆ๐๐๐ญ ๐ญ๐ก๐ ๐ฌ๐ฉ๐๐๐ข๐๐ข๐ ๐ง๐๐๐๐ฌ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ง๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐๐ฎ๐๐ฅ ๐จ๐ซ ๐ฌ๐ข๐ญ๐ฎ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง. ๐๐๐ฌ๐ญ ๐ฉ๐๐ซ๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐ ๐จ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ญ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฌ๐ฎ๐ฅ๐ญ๐ฌ.
๐๐ง๐๐จ๐ซ๐ฆ๐๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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โ Librarian Capital
FeverTree $FEVR in UK* - bottom shelf & on reduction
Not a good sign but has been the same for several months at least
Schweppes, main UK competitor, on shelf above
(* Islington Upper Street Sainsbury, but true also of other ones I have visited) https://t.co/u9YYJEUKYv
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FeverTree $FEVR in UK* - bottom shelf & on reduction
Not a good sign but has been the same for several months at least
Schweppes, main UK competitor, on shelf above
(* Islington Upper Street Sainsbury, but true also of other ones I have visited) https://t.co/u9YYJEUKYv
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Offshore
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โ Librarian Capital
L'Orรฉal $OR Aesop store on Islington Upper Street
Photo taken Wed lunch time (1 pm); zero customers
Staff outnumbered customers every time I went past this, except one weekend, but it's possible this is intended for weekend shoppers https://t.co/hE0I1AbFmx
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L'Orรฉal $OR Aesop store on Islington Upper Street
Photo taken Wed lunch time (1 pm); zero customers
Staff outnumbered customers every time I went past this, except one weekend, but it's possible this is intended for weekend shoppers https://t.co/hE0I1AbFmx
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โ Investing visuals
With the Nasdaq $QQQ up 2%, itโs nearing its all-time high. Hereโs an overview of the worldโs largest tech ETF๐ https://t.co/zYhpQZnbON
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With the Nasdaq $QQQ up 2%, itโs nearing its all-time high. Hereโs an overview of the worldโs largest tech ETF๐ https://t.co/zYhpQZnbON
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Offshore
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โ Stock Analysis Compilation
Smithson on Choice Hotels $CHH US
Choice Hotels' robust margins, coupled with strategic share buybacks, present a solid investment with a 5% free cash flow yield
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/bF5XC8P0Oi
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Smithson on Choice Hotels $CHH US
Choice Hotels' robust margins, coupled with strategic share buybacks, present a solid investment with a 5% free cash flow yield
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/bF5XC8P0Oi
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โ Librarian Capital
"Walmart Plans Instant Bank Payments, Cutting Out Card Networks" (Bloomberg) $V $MA
"The worldโs largest retailer has offered pay-by-bank through Walmart Pay since earlier this year ... (The) upgraded pay-by-bank offering will be rolled out in 2025 ... for online checkout"
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"Walmart Plans Instant Bank Payments, Cutting Out Card Networks" (Bloomberg) $V $MA
"The worldโs largest retailer has offered pay-by-bank through Walmart Pay since earlier this year ... (The) upgraded pay-by-bank offering will be rolled out in 2025 ... for online checkout"
Walmart customers will soon have the option to pay directly from their bank accounts with instant transfers for online purchases https://t.co/TH16uiYTsQ - Bloombergtweet
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โ Librarian Capital
Rightmove $RMV: long-time holder Kayne Anderson Rudnick has sold down ~1% (from 6.52% to 5.35%)
$REA non-binding offer was rejected by RMV board
They have until 30-Sep to make another one https://t.co/s6y42T8zzR
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Rightmove $RMV: long-time holder Kayne Anderson Rudnick has sold down ~1% (from 6.52% to 5.35%)
$REA non-binding offer was rejected by RMV board
They have until 30-Sep to make another one https://t.co/s6y42T8zzR
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โ Hidden Value Gems
Probably a buying opportunity ๐๐ผ $KSPI
Just adding a word โRussiaโ and expecting the stock to tankโฆ
I would be more cautious about $FRHC though, which was also subject to a short seller attack and is now +50% from its lows.
cc @CulperResearch https://t.co/fzFcG59Gpc
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Probably a buying opportunity ๐๐ผ $KSPI
Just adding a word โRussiaโ and expecting the stock to tankโฆ
I would be more cautious about $FRHC though, which was also subject to a short seller attack and is now +50% from its lows.
cc @CulperResearch https://t.co/fzFcG59Gpc
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โ Librarian Capital
"Tucker Carlson Plans New Nicotine-Pouch Brand (Alp)" (WSJ) $PM
"His partner in the venture ... said Alp would comply with federal regulations but declined to say whether the brand had sought clearance from the FDA"
"Alp pouches are moist, he said"
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"Tucker Carlson Plans New Nicotine-Pouch Brand (Alp)" (WSJ) $PM
"His partner in the venture ... said Alp would comply with federal regulations but declined to say whether the brand had sought clearance from the FDA"
"Alp pouches are moist, he said"
Tucker Carlson says he decided to launch his own nicotine-pouch brand because Zyn maker Philip Morris couldnโt take a joke https://t.co/78Q14NPpSN https://t.co/78Q14NPpSN - The Wall Street Journaltweet
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