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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: $PYPL is +24% in the past month — is it still attractive? Let’s have a look at some earnings estimates & multiple assumptions:
2024E: $4.40 (-13.7% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (9.7% YoY)
2026E: $5.41 (12.0% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but let’s assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.41 in EPS & see its CAGR potential
21x P/E: $113.61💵 … ~20.8% CAGR
20x P/E: $108.20💵 … ~18.3% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.71💵 … ~15.7% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.38💵 … ~13.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.97💵 … ~10.4% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings (a multiple justified by its growth rate & balance sheet $13.61B in Cash & $9.72B allowing for aggressive share repurchases)
So although $PYPL is +24% in the past month, today at $73.00💵 $PYPL still appears to be an attractive consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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RT @DimitryNakhla: $PYPL is +24% in the past month — is it still attractive? Let’s have a look at some earnings estimates & multiple assumptions:
2024E: $4.40 (-13.7% YoY) *FY Dec
2025E: $4.83 (9.7% YoY)
2026E: $5.41 (12.0% YoY)
$PYPL has an ok track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, but let’s assume $PYPL ends 2026 with $5.41 in EPS & see its CAGR potential
21x P/E: $113.61💵 … ~20.8% CAGR
20x P/E: $108.20💵 … ~18.3% CAGR
19x P/E: $102.71💵 … ~15.7% CAGR
18x P/E: $97.38💵 … ~13.1% CAGR
17x P/E: $91.97💵 … ~10.4% CAGR
As you can see, $PYPL appears to have attractive return potential if we assume >17x earnings (a multiple justified by its growth rate & balance sheet $13.61B in Cash & $9.72B allowing for aggressive share repurchases)
So although $PYPL is +24% in the past month, today at $73.00💵 $PYPL still appears to be an attractive consideration for investment
#stocks #investing
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Loomis Sayles on Disney $DIS US
Thesis: Disney’s unparalleled brand portfolio and strategic DTC focus position it for significant long-term growth, with shares currently undervalued relative to intrinsic value
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/2StXGJgxgj
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Loomis Sayles on Disney $DIS US
Thesis: Disney’s unparalleled brand portfolio and strategic DTC focus position it for significant long-term growth, with shares currently undervalued relative to intrinsic value
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/2StXGJgxgj
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Bourbon Capital
RT @BourbonCap: If you want to know how to fundamentally analyze a stock, keep these key factors in mind:
- Positive revenue growth
- EPS growth
- Low Debt-to-Equity ratio
- Positive PE ratios
- High Free Cash Flow
- Gross and Net profits
- Positive ROE
- Dividend yield
Which method or criteria do you usually use?
$SPY #nasdaq
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RT @BourbonCap: If you want to know how to fundamentally analyze a stock, keep these key factors in mind:
- Positive revenue growth
- EPS growth
- Low Debt-to-Equity ratio
- Positive PE ratios
- High Free Cash Flow
- Gross and Net profits
- Positive ROE
- Dividend yield
Which method or criteria do you usually use?
$SPY #nasdaq
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Offshore
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Bourbon Capital
RT @BourbonCap: Despite a 30% decline this month, $HIMS remains a promising investment. While many investors are selling, institutional funds continue to accumulate shares.
The company is profitable and has not missed revenue targets. Short interest remains high, indicating a potential for further upside as short sellers may be forced to cover their positions.
The following funds opened a new position this month:
1) Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities Fund added 756k shares
2) Hartford Small Company Hls Fund added 168k shares
3) Small Cap Stock Trust NAV added 122k shares
4) Vanguard Strategic Equity Fund added 368k shares
5) Bernstein Fund Inc added 122k shares
6) Soleus Capital Management, L.P. added 333k shares
7) Oberweis Asset Management Inc added 785k shares
8) Metavasi Capital LP added 505k shares
Green rows indicate new positions:
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RT @BourbonCap: Despite a 30% decline this month, $HIMS remains a promising investment. While many investors are selling, institutional funds continue to accumulate shares.
The company is profitable and has not missed revenue targets. Short interest remains high, indicating a potential for further upside as short sellers may be forced to cover their positions.
The following funds opened a new position this month:
1) Oberweis Small-Cap Opportunities Fund added 756k shares
2) Hartford Small Company Hls Fund added 168k shares
3) Small Cap Stock Trust NAV added 122k shares
4) Vanguard Strategic Equity Fund added 368k shares
5) Bernstein Fund Inc added 122k shares
6) Soleus Capital Management, L.P. added 333k shares
7) Oberweis Asset Management Inc added 785k shares
8) Metavasi Capital LP added 505k shares
Green rows indicate new positions:
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Quality Investing with Aria
Fascinating thread 👇
I think many investors follow this path in investing. Immediately shooting down the i vestment if its not <25
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Fascinating thread 👇
I think many investors follow this path in investing. Immediately shooting down the i vestment if its not <25
Early in my investment journey, I made the mistake of assuming every company had to trade within the historical S&P 500 P/E ratio range. If a stock was outside of that, I immediately thought it was overpriced and threw it out of my investable universe. But I quickly learned... tweet
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Quality Investing with Aria
No they don’t sell AI chips. This is a chicken wing chain
- 120 PE
- up 136% in 1Y
- Delicious yummy lemon pepper wings and tenders? ✅
Surely this can’t sustain itself right? 🤔 https://t.co/0Sw7vFikWT
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No they don’t sell AI chips. This is a chicken wing chain
- 120 PE
- up 136% in 1Y
- Delicious yummy lemon pepper wings and tenders? ✅
Surely this can’t sustain itself right? 🤔 https://t.co/0Sw7vFikWT
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Offshore
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Stock Analysis Compilation
Mar Vista on Linde $LIN US
Thesis: Linde’s leadership in the industrial gas market and strong growth potential in decarbonization and hydrogen projects position it for long-term success, especially at current attractive valuations
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/wvnoAX4Efe
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Mar Vista on Linde $LIN US
Thesis: Linde’s leadership in the industrial gas market and strong growth potential in decarbonization and hydrogen projects position it for long-term success, especially at current attractive valuations
(Extract from their Q2 letter) https://t.co/wvnoAX4Efe
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Librarian Capital
In Aug-19, we highlighted how HSBC valuation should not be compared with "real" UK banks
This has aged well
$HSBA share price up just 13% after 5 years, compared to 73% for NatWest $NWG and 67% for Barclays $BARC
$LLOY up just 17%, still better but not great
CEO is ex-HSBC https://t.co/ZjFeIpGGnm
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In Aug-19, we highlighted how HSBC valuation should not be compared with "real" UK banks
This has aged well
$HSBA share price up just 13% after 5 years, compared to 73% for NatWest $NWG and 67% for Barclays $BARC
$LLOY up just 17%, still better but not great
CEO is ex-HSBC https://t.co/ZjFeIpGGnm
Interesting article in the FT for HSBC. Asia is >80% of profit before tax even though it only has 42% of its RWA. This means $HSBA LN is not really a valuation comparable for likes of $LLOY LN, $BARC LN and $RBS LN. https://t.co/fBnShZ2zED tweet