Antonio Linares
5 companies with multi-bagger potential on my watchlist:
1. $CRWD: cybersecurity is now about getting more and better data than the next guy and using it to train AI models that keep the bad guys away. $CRWD has good odds of turning into a winner-takes-all in this space, thanks to the architectural advantage it has over peers. It's effectively evolving into a platform, which competitors will likely be forced to plug into eventually.
2. $PATH: although initially just a harmless productivity app that automates clicks by watching what end users do on their screens, as $PATH develops a semantic understanding of the workflows it automates it can eventually automate work of very high value, closer to a company's core value creation mechanism (instead of just clicks). $PATH has had no problem competing with $MSFT to date, even though it basically lives in $MFST's back yard.
3. $RBLX: the more I study this company, the more I realize it is the social media platform of choice for Gen Alpha (those born between 2010 and 2024). $RBLX has demonstrated the ability to retain users as they grow up, which makes it more likely than not that the platform will be much more relevant in 10 years time.
4. $SMCI: the world is slowing realizing that not all data can/should be handed over to $AMZN, $GOOG and the other cloud hyper-scalers. The demand for personalized and proprietary data-centers is thus going through the roof and $SMCI has been obsessing about every painful detail involved in personalizing and deploying a datacenter, when nobody else really cared.
5. $ROKU: although largely disdained by the market at present, $ROKU has a privileged position in the smart TV OS space. Over the last few years, we saw a slowdown in the streaming space, which also affected $NFLX for example, and the market attributed $ROKU's weaker numbers to increased competition with $AMZN and $GOOG. My view is that $ROKU still dominates these two larger players and that, as the world continues to pivot towards smart TVs, $ROKU continues to compound an enormously valuable piece of digital real estate, which it may be able to capitalize on down the line via better unit economics.
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5 companies with multi-bagger potential on my watchlist:
1. $CRWD: cybersecurity is now about getting more and better data than the next guy and using it to train AI models that keep the bad guys away. $CRWD has good odds of turning into a winner-takes-all in this space, thanks to the architectural advantage it has over peers. It's effectively evolving into a platform, which competitors will likely be forced to plug into eventually.
2. $PATH: although initially just a harmless productivity app that automates clicks by watching what end users do on their screens, as $PATH develops a semantic understanding of the workflows it automates it can eventually automate work of very high value, closer to a company's core value creation mechanism (instead of just clicks). $PATH has had no problem competing with $MSFT to date, even though it basically lives in $MFST's back yard.
3. $RBLX: the more I study this company, the more I realize it is the social media platform of choice for Gen Alpha (those born between 2010 and 2024). $RBLX has demonstrated the ability to retain users as they grow up, which makes it more likely than not that the platform will be much more relevant in 10 years time.
4. $SMCI: the world is slowing realizing that not all data can/should be handed over to $AMZN, $GOOG and the other cloud hyper-scalers. The demand for personalized and proprietary data-centers is thus going through the roof and $SMCI has been obsessing about every painful detail involved in personalizing and deploying a datacenter, when nobody else really cared.
5. $ROKU: although largely disdained by the market at present, $ROKU has a privileged position in the smart TV OS space. Over the last few years, we saw a slowdown in the streaming space, which also affected $NFLX for example, and the market attributed $ROKU's weaker numbers to increased competition with $AMZN and $GOOG. My view is that $ROKU still dominates these two larger players and that, as the world continues to pivot towards smart TVs, $ROKU continues to compound an enormously valuable piece of digital real estate, which it may be able to capitalize on down the line via better unit economics.
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Offshore
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Giuliano
This extract from The Wealth of Nations is fundamental for understanding currency depreciation.
It will be curious to observe what happens with Argentina's Peso. https://t.co/CfnDDiuc0h
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This extract from The Wealth of Nations is fundamental for understanding currency depreciation.
It will be curious to observe what happens with Argentina's Peso. https://t.co/CfnDDiuc0h
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Q-Cap
From Forbes in 2013.
One of the best articles I read on Palantir’s crazy gov’t linked history.
TIL In 2005, the CIA literally saved Palantir from disappearing into the abyss with a $2M investment through its venture arm In-Q-Tel.
Also, this bit about Karp is worth every penny.
Still not investing in it but I like this guy now lol
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From Forbes in 2013.
One of the best articles I read on Palantir’s crazy gov’t linked history.
TIL In 2005, the CIA literally saved Palantir from disappearing into the abyss with a $2M investment through its venture arm In-Q-Tel.
Also, this bit about Karp is worth every penny.
Still not investing in it but I like this guy now lol
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Hidden Value Gems
A great post by @JohnHuber72 on the rising capital intensity of the Big Tech and the implications for earnings quality and future returns.
1/ Capex [of Big 4 Tech companies] is now over 3 times depreciation expense.
2/ This spending hasn’t yet hit the income statement, but it will in the next few years as depreciation expenses are set to triple in the coming years as D&A catches up with today’s capex spending.
3/ If the returns on these investments are good, then sales growth will be able to absorb these much higher expenses. But this is not a sure thing.
4/ While the P/E ratios range from 25 to 35, the P/FCF ranges from 40-50.
5/ “I’m not predicting a poor result, but I’m mindful of how difficult it will be given how different the companies are today.”
6/ They used to grow with very little capital invested, but now they have a mountain of capital to deploy, which is obviously much harder at 7 times the size.
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A great post by @JohnHuber72 on the rising capital intensity of the Big Tech and the implications for earnings quality and future returns.
1/ Capex [of Big 4 Tech companies] is now over 3 times depreciation expense.
2/ This spending hasn’t yet hit the income statement, but it will in the next few years as depreciation expenses are set to triple in the coming years as D&A catches up with today’s capex spending.
3/ If the returns on these investments are good, then sales growth will be able to absorb these much higher expenses. But this is not a sure thing.
4/ While the P/E ratios range from 25 to 35, the P/FCF ranges from 40-50.
5/ “I’m not predicting a poor result, but I’m mindful of how difficult it will be given how different the companies are today.”
6/ They used to grow with very little capital invested, but now they have a mountain of capital to deploy, which is obviously much harder at 7 times the size.
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The Long Investor
$PYPL a classic example of needing to zoom out and see the big picture.
Is it moving in the right direction?
It is making higher highs and higher lows?
Is it above all important moving averages?
Has it hit our First Target?
Yes. https://t.co/VCWsihVSNX
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$PYPL a classic example of needing to zoom out and see the big picture.
Is it moving in the right direction?
It is making higher highs and higher lows?
Is it above all important moving averages?
Has it hit our First Target?
Yes. https://t.co/VCWsihVSNX
$PYPL
First Target hit 🎯 https://t.co/018vehyLee tweet
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Brandon Beylo
Every $NTDOY shareholder when you ask them about the company. https://t.co/Sn0eE8HsPi
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Every $NTDOY shareholder when you ask them about the company. https://t.co/Sn0eE8HsPi
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