The Long Investor
Because there is no greater return than a book.

An expert can spend years writing a book and you can buy it for $14

All their hard work can be transferred to you within a week or so.

Repeat this process every week.

personal spending on books https://t.co/xVdVodN3j4 - Sam Ro 📈
tweet

Giuliano
Having an answer does not mean one effectively solved a problem.
tweet

Brandon Beylo
The US has spent the past 85 years outsourcing critical mineral production.

Which is a problem in a world of escalating military conflict.

As of March 2023, the value of stockpiles was $912.3M.

That's just 1.2% of the stockpile's 1962 value of approximately $77.1B. https://t.co/0dSTc6GgKf
tweet

Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: 10 Quality Stocks That Have Grown EPS At A >10% CAGR Last 10 Years | LTM ROIC 💵

📲 Lam Research $LRCX
•EPS CAGR: 31.4%
•LTM ROIC: 30.5%

💳 Mastercard $MA
•EPS CAGR: 16.7%
•LTM ROIC: 61.1%

🖨️ ASML Holding $ASML
•EPS CAGR: 23.8%
•LTM ROIC: 48.7%

🚗 Copart $CPRT
•EPS CAGR: 22.1%
•LTM ROIC: 22.6%

🖱️ Alphabet $GOOG $GOOGL
•EPS CAGR: 10.2%
•LTM ROIC: 28.1%

🍎 Apple $AAPL
•EPS CAGR: 15.7%
•LTM ROIC: 65.1%

🦮 Zoetis $ZTS
•EPS CAGR: 14.1%
•LTM ROIC: 25.7%

🔩 Fastenal $FAST
•EPS CAGR: 10.2%
•LTM ROIC: 38.3%

🩻 UnitedHealth $UNH
•EPS CAGR: 16.4%
•LTM ROIC: 19.1%

👜 Moët Hennessy $LVMH $LVMUY
•EPS CAGR: 16.2%
•LTM ROIC: 21.0%

#stocks #investing
tweet

Brandon Beylo
Supply Risk For Critical Raw Materials in Military Applications

What metal do you see in the "Very High Risk" category more than any other?

Graphite.
tweet

The Long Investor
RT @VladBastion: 📊Forecasted GDP Growth in 2024 by IMF:

🇮🇳India +6.8%
🇨🇳China +4.6%
🇦🇪United Arab Emirates +3.5%
🇷🇺Russian Federation+3.2%
🇵🇱Poland+3.1%
🇹🇷Türkiye +3.1%
🇺🇸United States +2.7%
🇸🇦Saudi Arabia +2.6%
🇲🇽Mexico+2.4%
🇰🇷Korea +2.3%
🇧🇷Brazil +2.2%
🇪🇸Spain +1.9%
🇮🇱Israel +1.6%
🇦🇺Australia +1.5%
🇨🇭Switzerland +1.3%
🇨🇦Canada +1.2%
🇯🇵Japan +0.9%
🇮🇹Italy +0.7%
🇫🇷France +0.7%
🇳🇱Netherlands +0.6%
🇬🇧United Kingdom +0.5%
🇸🇪Sweden +0.2%
🇩🇪Germany +0.2%
🇦🇷Argentina -2.8%
tweet

Antonio Linares
Extending one more hour due to high demand.

My 2 Hour Deep Diver course is selling for $150 instead of $199 for the next 3 hours only.

Don’t miss out. - Antonio Linares
tweet

Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
A sober valuation analysis on $SBUX 🧘🏽‍♂️

•NTM P/E Ratio: 20.26x
•10-Year Mean: 28.66x

•NTM FCF Yield: 4.38%
•10-Year Mean: 3.16%

As you can see, $SBUX appears to be trading below fair value

Going forward, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in earnings per share & ~38% MORE in FCF per share🧠***

Before we get into valuation, let’s take a look at why $SBUX is a quality business

BALANCE SHEET🆗
•Cash & Equivalents: $3.95B
•Long-Term Debt: $13.59B

$SBUX has a decent balance sheet, a BBB+ S&P Credit Rating & 10.92x FFO Interest Coverage Ratio

RETURN ON CAPITAL✅
•2018: 34.9%
•2019: 76.4%
•2020: 9.0%
•2021: 25.5%
•2022: 29.1%
•2023: 33.2%

RETURN ON EQUITY🆗
•2018: 136.2%
•2019: (142.2%)
•2020: (13.2%)
•2021: (64.1%)
•2022: (46.9%)
•2023: (49.4%)

$SBUX has solid return metrics, highlighting the financial efficiency of the business

REVENUES✅
•2013: $14.87B
•2023: $35.98B
•CAGR: 9.23%

FREE CASH FLOW✅
•2013: $1.76B
•2023: $3.68B
•CAGR: 7.65%

NORMALIZED EPS✅
•2013: $1.10
•2023: $3.54
•CAGR: 12.39%

SHARE BUYBACKS✅
•2013 Shares Outstanding: 1.52B
•LTM Shares Outstanding: 1.15B

By reducing its shares outstanding ~24%, $SBUX increased its EPS by ~31% (assuming 0 growth)

MARGINS✅
•LTM Gross Margins: 27.4%
•LTM Operating Margins: 15.4%
•LTM Net Income Margins: 11.5%

PAID DIVIDENDS✅
•2013: $0.45
•2023: $2.16
•CAGR: 16.98%

***NOW TO VALUATION 🧠

As stated above, investors can expect to receive ~41% MORE in EPS & ~38% MORE in FCF per share

Using Benjamin Graham’s 2G rule of thumb, $SBUX has to grow earnings at an 10.13% CAGR over the next several years to justify its valuation

Today, analysts anticipate 2024 - 2026 EPS growth over the next few years to be greater than the (10.13%) required growth rate:

2024E: $4.04 (14.2% YoY) *FY Sep
2025E: $4.70 (16.2% YoY)
2026E: $5.42 (15.4% YoY)

$SBUX has a good track record of meeting analyst estimates ~2 years out, so let’s assume $SBUX ends 2026 with $5.42 in EPS & see its CAGR potential assuming different multiples

22x P/E: $119.24💵 … ~16.1% CAGR

21x P/E: $113.82💵 … ~14.1% CAGR

20x P/E: $108.40💵 … ~12.0% CAGR

19x P/E: $102.98💵 … ~9.9% CAGR

As you can see, EVEN when we assume a 20x multiple (a level that has rarely been breached in the past decade as you’ll see in the P/E chart), $SBUX has attractive CAGR potential

Even at 19x earnings — a multiple that $SBUX hasn’t traded at since 2010 — $SBUX has near double digit potential

So, there’s already a decent margin of safety 💪🏽

When we assume 21x - 22x (also well below its 10-year average and on the lower end of its valuation range), $SBUX has the potential to compound in the mid-teens

$SBUX appears to be an attractive consideration today at $86.00💵

#stocks #investing
___

𝐃𝐈𝐒𝐂𝐋𝐎𝐒𝐔𝐑𝐄‼️: 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐍𝐎𝐓 𝐈𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞. 𝐁𝐚𝐛𝐲𝐥𝐨𝐧 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐢𝐭𝐚𝐥® 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐲 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐞𝐬 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭.

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐧𝐥𝐲 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐥𝐝 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐛𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐫𝐮𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐢𝐧𝐯𝐞𝐬𝐭𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐚𝐝𝐯𝐢𝐜𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐦𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐩𝐞𝐜𝐢𝐟𝐢𝐜 𝐧𝐞𝐞𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐧𝐲 𝐢𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐝𝐮𝐚𝐥 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧. 𝐏𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐟𝐮𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐮𝐥𝐭𝐬.

𝐈𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐰𝐞𝐞𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐨𝐛𝐭𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐞𝐝 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐬𝐨𝐮𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐥𝐢𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞, 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐠𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐞𝐝 𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐚𝐜𝐲.
tweet

Brandon Beylo
Junior mining stocks trying to close green during a commodity bull cycle. https://t.co/oT4zvPuqmu
tweet