The Few Bets That Matter
$QQQ & $SPY down, everything being sold today.

What's green?

$SLB 2.77%
$UPS 5.29%
$NTR 1.92%
$DAR 3.22%
$SWBI 3.75%

But no one cares. 👇

https://t.co/TVqbdhKTn4 - The Few Bets That Matter
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @P_Remarks: CART is grocery software
BKNG is travel software
KKR is asset management software
SPGI is bond software
TDG is aero maintenance software
SPOT is music software
AVGO is software
SNAP is software
PINS is software
Your wife’s bf is software
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: ChatGPT's custom instructions feature is insanely powerful.

But 99% of people write garbage instructions.

I tested 200+ custom instruction sets.

These 5 patterns increased output quality by 3.4x: https://t.co/xVEOxr2Gm8
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Clark Square Capital
$LUXE is getting pretty cheap again. At $7.50, it trades at 8x FY26 EBITDA (ex-offprice), and possibly ~3x FY28 EBITDA if they get to 8% margins (as guided). This would mean it trades at ~4-5x EPS ex-cash.

A thread on Mytheresa $MYTE, one of my favorite opportunities in the market today.

(1/x) - Clark Square Capital
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Clark Square Capital
RT @TheAppInvestor: Ragnarok Origin was the biggest mobile hit for $GRVY. Very first revenue anomaly I detected, and led to the first big run on the stock (covid helping)
It's been a whole 6 years so I guess we're ready for a "Classic" version?!

pre-reg open in South Korea. That'll be interesting
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Javier Blas
RT @BarakRavid: 🚨White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt after a call with Trump’s envoy Witkoff: “As of right now the talks with Iran are still scheduled…the talks will continue later this week as far as we are concerned”

🚨🇮🇷🇺🇸Iran has demanded changes to the venue and format for negotiations with the U.S. planned for this Friday, two sources with knowledge tell me. My story on @axios
https://t.co/gf82Z5iDtN - Barak Ravid
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God of Prompt
openclaw doesn't have to be expensive

here's the cheapest stack

https://t.co/oNpZYTk7a2 - God of Prompt
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Lumida Wealth Management
TRUMP ADMIN ON THE ECONOMY RIGHT NOW

@SecScottBessent: "I couldn't be more bullish. Atlanta Fed has us at 5.4% GDP growth. Last quarter was 4.4% but the private sector was actually growing at 4.7-4.8%, we just cut 280,000 government employees.

Everyone said the deficit would blow out past $2 trillion. Wrong.

Deficit to GDP dropped from 6.9% in 2024 to 5.4% now. That 6.9% was the highest EVER when we weren't in a recession or at war.

Inflation's dropping back toward the Fed's 2% target. My goal is to get the deficit down to 3% by the time the president leaves.

Strong non-inflationary growth. That's what matters."

@RuthlessPodcast
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The Few Bets That Matter
Not sure who is still buying risks today.
But I really wonder why you'd do so.

Everyone invests as see fit but I personally believe investors took terrible habits over the last two years, the most dangerous being getting used to buy every dip as they were all pushing to new highs few weeks later.

To my opinion, this time is over, or close to be.

https://t.co/TVqbdhKTn4 - The Few Bets That Matter
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God of Prompt
in 10 years we'll all be employed by agents

I launched https://t.co/tNYOm7V5wD last night and already 130+ people have signed up including an OF model (lmao) and the CEO of an AI startup.

If your AI agent wants to rent a person to do an IRL task for them its as simple as one MCP call. https://t.co/tgqlAWDWtJ - Alex
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
One of the more interesting things about $FICO is that, as long-term shareholders, a lower short-term stock price can be beneficial in the long-run.

How?

Because $FICO is a cannibal.

Shares outstanding down ~22% over the last 10 years.

In the last 12 months alone, $FICO spent ~$1.54B on buybacks.

That reduced share count by roughly 0.16M shares (160K).

Now let’s look at why price matters:

Assume $FICO allocates another $1.54B to repurchases.
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𝐒𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨 𝐀:

Market cap = $31.65B

$1.54B / $31.65B ≈ 4.86% of the company → 𝟓.𝟏𝟏% 𝐛𝐨𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐏𝐒

𝐒𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨 𝐁:

Market cap = ~$47.47B

$1.54B / $47.47B ≈ 3.24% of the company → 𝟑.𝟑𝟒% 𝐛𝐨𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐏𝐒
___

Same dollars. Different outcome.

𝘛𝘩𝘦 𝘭𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘦, 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘰𝘸𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱 𝘦𝘢𝘤𝘩 𝘳𝘦𝘱𝘶𝘳𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘥𝘰𝘭𝘭𝘢𝘳 𝘳𝘦𝘵𝘪𝘳𝘦𝘴 — 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦 𝘧𝘶𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨𝘴 𝘱𝘰𝘸𝘦𝘳 𝘢𝘤𝘤𝘳𝘶𝘦𝘴 𝘵𝘰 𝘳𝘦𝘮𝘢𝘪𝘯𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘴𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴.

𝙏𝙝𝙞𝙨 𝙞𝙨 𝙬𝙝𝙮 𝙛𝙤𝙧 𝙝𝙞𝙜𝙝-𝙦𝙪𝙖𝙡𝙞𝙩𝙮 𝙘𝙖𝙣𝙣𝙞𝙗𝙖𝙡𝙨, 𝙥𝙚𝙧𝙞𝙤𝙙𝙨 𝙤𝙛 𝙥𝙧𝙞𝙘𝙚 𝙬𝙚𝙖𝙠𝙣𝙚𝙨𝙨 𝙦𝙪𝙞𝙚𝙩𝙡𝙮 𝙚𝙣𝙝𝙖𝙣𝙘𝙚 𝙡𝙤𝙣𝙜-𝙩𝙚𝙧𝙢 𝙘𝙤𝙢𝙥𝙤𝙪𝙣𝙙𝙞𝙣𝙜.

𝘉𝘶𝘺𝘣𝘢𝘤𝘬𝘴 𝘥𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘫𝘶𝘴𝘵 𝘳𝘦𝘵𝘶𝘳𝘯 𝘤𝘢𝘱𝘪𝘵𝘢𝘭. 𝘛𝘩𝘦𝘺 𝘳𝘦𝘢𝘭𝘭𝘰𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘦 𝘰𝘸𝘯𝘦𝘳𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱 𝘵𝘰𝘸𝘢𝘳𝘥 𝘱𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘴𝘩𝘢𝘳𝘦𝘩𝘰𝘭𝘥𝘦𝘳𝘴 — 𝘮𝘰𝘴𝘵 𝘦𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘤𝘵𝘪𝘷𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘩𝘦𝘯 𝘱𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘴 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘥𝘦𝘱𝘳𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘦𝘥.
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God of Prompt
wait, why hasn't anyone made a community for agents

that is only centered on scientific research and verification of it

for them to solve all of our climate, energy, poverty, health issues

shows our priorities as humans
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The Transcript
$META CFO: New U.S. tax law brings 2026 cash tax savings

“We expect substantial cash tax savings from the new U.S. tax laws given the significant investments that we’re making in infrastructure and R&D.”
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Bourbon Capital
Wonderful companies near 52 weeks low

Palo Alto Networks $PANW
S&P Global $SPGI
Intuit $INTU
Axon Enterprise $AXON
Fair Isaac Corporation $FICO
Spotify Technology $SPOT
ServiceNow $NOW
TransDigm Group $TDG
Intuitive Surgical $ISRG
Blackstone $BX
Intercontinental Exchange $ICE
Booking Holdings $BKNG
Copart $CPRT
Synopsys $SNPS
Netflix $NFLX
Cadence Design Systems $CDNS
Microsoft Corporation $MSFT Not yet, but it’s heading there.
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