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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
The last four instances $MSFT fell >11% & the subsequent CAGR:
3/16/2020 → 22%
7/19/2013 → 25%
1/22/2009 → 23%
4/28/2006 → 17%
Of course past performance never guarantees future results, yet it’s a fun exercise that helps illustrate the potential when buying amid fear. https://t.co/U0YcKeUhrk
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The last four instances $MSFT fell >11% & the subsequent CAGR:
3/16/2020 → 22%
7/19/2013 → 25%
1/22/2009 → 23%
4/28/2006 → 17%
Of course past performance never guarantees future results, yet it’s a fun exercise that helps illustrate the potential when buying amid fear. https://t.co/U0YcKeUhrk
Worst selloffs in Microsoft history:
- Crash of 87
- Tech crash
- GFC
- Covid
- Azure misses buyside bogey https://t.co/5PxMVrdxq9 tweet
Offshore
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Clark Square Capital
RT @deusexdividend: You are not an above-average investor. You rode the coattails of the largest global quantitative easing program in history. The asset price bubble will deflate and you will be forced to move back into your mom's basement. At least there will be pizza rolls
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RT @deusexdividend: You are not an above-average investor. You rode the coattails of the largest global quantitative easing program in history. The asset price bubble will deflate and you will be forced to move back into your mom's basement. At least there will be pizza rolls
Hit me with the harshest reality truth. https://t.co/fgIWAtqP4u tweet
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: There are several respected investors who have long stayed away from companies like $GOOG, $AMZN, $MSFT & $META — skeptical of the returns on the enormous capital expenditures tied to cloud and AI infrastructure.
I understand the concern, but I don’t think that’s the right conclusion.
These businesses are building the digital backbone of the next decade, and exposure to them still remains beneficial.
At the same time, I’ve found it important to balance those “builders” with the cash cows — $MA, $V, $SPGI, $FICO etc — businesses with exceptional FCF margins, durable moats, and minimal capital requirements.
𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐚 𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐟𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐨 𝐭𝐨 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐈 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐜𝐥𝐨𝐮𝐝 𝐛𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐝𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐰𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐄𝐱 𝐜𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐨𝐥𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐬.
The builders power the future; the cash cows become even more efficient by leveraging AI within their own operations — expanding margins, driving automation, & compounding value quietly in the background.
Lately, we’ve seen many quality compounders sold down to compelling valuations, while capital has chased anything labeled “AI,” even pre-revenue businesses now worth tens of billions.
𝘛𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘥𝘺𝘯𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘤 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳.
Eventually, when the market begins to see cracks in AI-related CapEx or re-evaluates growth expectations, capital will likely rotate back toward predictable, high-margin compounders quietly executing in the background.
It’s not about being contrarian against AI — it’s about being contrarian within quality.
The great opportunities often come from owning world-class businesses everyone’s temporarily disinterested in.
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RT @DimitryNakhla: There are several respected investors who have long stayed away from companies like $GOOG, $AMZN, $MSFT & $META — skeptical of the returns on the enormous capital expenditures tied to cloud and AI infrastructure.
I understand the concern, but I don’t think that’s the right conclusion.
These businesses are building the digital backbone of the next decade, and exposure to them still remains beneficial.
At the same time, I’ve found it important to balance those “builders” with the cash cows — $MA, $V, $SPGI, $FICO etc — businesses with exceptional FCF margins, durable moats, and minimal capital requirements.
𝐓𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐛𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐚 𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐟𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐨 𝐭𝐨 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐢𝐩𝐚𝐭𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐈 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐜𝐥𝐨𝐮𝐝 𝐛𝐮𝐢𝐥𝐝𝐨𝐮𝐭 𝐰𝐡𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐢𝐟 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐂𝐚𝐩𝐄𝐱 𝐜𝐲𝐜𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐨𝐥𝐬 𝐨𝐫 𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐬𝐡𝐢𝐟𝐭𝐬.
The builders power the future; the cash cows become even more efficient by leveraging AI within their own operations — expanding margins, driving automation, & compounding value quietly in the background.
Lately, we’ve seen many quality compounders sold down to compelling valuations, while capital has chased anything labeled “AI,” even pre-revenue businesses now worth tens of billions.
𝘛𝘩𝘢𝘵 𝘥𝘺𝘯𝘢𝘮𝘪𝘤 𝘭𝘪𝘬𝘦𝘭𝘺 𝘸𝘰𝘯’𝘵 𝘭𝘢𝘴𝘵 𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘦𝘷𝘦𝘳.
Eventually, when the market begins to see cracks in AI-related CapEx or re-evaluates growth expectations, capital will likely rotate back toward predictable, high-margin compounders quietly executing in the background.
It’s not about being contrarian against AI — it’s about being contrarian within quality.
The great opportunities often come from owning world-class businesses everyone’s temporarily disinterested in.
tweet
Offshore
Video
God of Prompt
RT @prompt_copilot: Grammarly fixes your writing.
💫 https://t.co/7vzwuTo8vA fixes your prompts.
> Prompt enhancement
> Autocomplete
> Context profiles
Chrome extension for ChatGPT, Gemini, Perplexity.
Start your free trial 👉 https://t.co/TKMMCzVWj1 https://t.co/gZhh1ozINU
tweet
RT @prompt_copilot: Grammarly fixes your writing.
💫 https://t.co/7vzwuTo8vA fixes your prompts.
> Prompt enhancement
> Autocomplete
> Context profiles
Chrome extension for ChatGPT, Gemini, Perplexity.
Start your free trial 👉 https://t.co/TKMMCzVWj1 https://t.co/gZhh1ozINU
tweet
Offshore
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Fiscal.ai
"We anticipate 2026 capital expenditures to be in the range of $115 billion to $135 billion."
$META https://t.co/FsVtyXGwaE
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"We anticipate 2026 capital expenditures to be in the range of $115 billion to $135 billion."
$META https://t.co/FsVtyXGwaE
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Offshore
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Brady Long
RT @thisdudelikesAI: Facebook raised BILLIONS with a pitch deck that looks… ugly.
So I recreated the original Facebook pitch deck using Gamma + Nano Banana.
What happened next completely changed how I think about raising money in 2026 👇 https://t.co/8ZTF2ZzkVx
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RT @thisdudelikesAI: Facebook raised BILLIONS with a pitch deck that looks… ugly.
So I recreated the original Facebook pitch deck using Gamma + Nano Banana.
What happened next completely changed how I think about raising money in 2026 👇 https://t.co/8ZTF2ZzkVx
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Offshore
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Senator Katie Britt just sold her stock in JP Morgan, $JPM
This comes after she received criticism for filing her purchase months past the reporting deadline
We caught her STOCK Act violations on Tuesday, and @pelositracker brought massive attention to the $JPM trade
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BREAKING: Senator Katie Britt just sold her stock in JP Morgan, $JPM
This comes after she received criticism for filing her purchase months past the reporting deadline
We caught her STOCK Act violations on Tuesday, and @pelositracker brought massive attention to the $JPM trade
BREAKING: We just caught more STOCK Act violations.
Senator Katie Britt just filed over a dozen stock transactions months past the filing deadline.
She bought Google, $GOOG, in April. It has risen 106% since then.
Full trade list up on Quiver. https://t.co/hlDoAmMMX9 tweet