Offshore
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Startup Archive
Keith Rabois shares the decision-making framework he learned from Reid Hoffman
“Reid has a very specific view of how to make decisions… Most people create pros and cons lists. But Reid was adamant that that was the worst possible way to make a decision. He trained me to never do that… So since this conversation in 2002, I have never done that. You will never find a notebook where I write down the pros and cons of any decision.”
Instead, Reid advocates for strictly ranking your priorities — this could be priorities in your life, priorities for your company, etc.
Then you try to make the decision based solely on the first priority. Only if there’s a tie do you go to your second or third priority. As Keith explains:
“The reason Reid’s model is so brilliant is because when you create a pros and cons list, you’re creating effectively — and visually — a false equivalence.”
When your brain sees two pros and three cons it looks at each item as though it’s equivalent. But usually the reasons for doing something will follow a power law. The first one might be really, really important, while the second factor is only slightly important.
But when you see them all listed equally in a pros and cons list, you’re brain will often make the wrong decision.
Video source: @khoslaventures (2023)
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Keith Rabois shares the decision-making framework he learned from Reid Hoffman
“Reid has a very specific view of how to make decisions… Most people create pros and cons lists. But Reid was adamant that that was the worst possible way to make a decision. He trained me to never do that… So since this conversation in 2002, I have never done that. You will never find a notebook where I write down the pros and cons of any decision.”
Instead, Reid advocates for strictly ranking your priorities — this could be priorities in your life, priorities for your company, etc.
Then you try to make the decision based solely on the first priority. Only if there’s a tie do you go to your second or third priority. As Keith explains:
“The reason Reid’s model is so brilliant is because when you create a pros and cons list, you’re creating effectively — and visually — a false equivalence.”
When your brain sees two pros and three cons it looks at each item as though it’s equivalent. But usually the reasons for doing something will follow a power law. The first one might be really, really important, while the second factor is only slightly important.
But when you see them all listed equally in a pros and cons list, you’re brain will often make the wrong decision.
Video source: @khoslaventures (2023)
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Offshore
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Moon Dev
RT @AJTraceyBTC: Bro is legit, funded by @MoonDevOnYT 777 https://t.co/pUY22psUus
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RT @AJTraceyBTC: Bro is legit, funded by @MoonDevOnYT 777 https://t.co/pUY22psUus
Prop firms charge you to fail
I’ll pay you to trade
And let you keep all profits https://t.co/Dfho6f9B5z tweet
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Fiscal.ai
D.R. Horton generated ~$89,000 in gross profit per home this quarter.
Their lowest figure since 2020.
"We increased our sales incentives during the first quarter, and we expect incentives to remain elevated in fiscal 2026"
$DHI https://t.co/DU4XYr3oN2
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D.R. Horton generated ~$89,000 in gross profit per home this quarter.
Their lowest figure since 2020.
"We increased our sales incentives during the first quarter, and we expect incentives to remain elevated in fiscal 2026"
$DHI https://t.co/DU4XYr3oN2
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Offshore
Video
God of Prompt
SoftBank just bet $70M that your competitors are about to build better software than you.
In 45 days, Emergent jumped from $25M to $50M ARR.
5M+ builders already moved.
6M+ real apps shipped.
While you're debugging Supabase, they're already deployed. https://t.co/ekFZPDYOtf
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SoftBank just bet $70M that your competitors are about to build better software than you.
In 45 days, Emergent jumped from $25M to $50M ARR.
5M+ builders already moved.
6M+ real apps shipped.
While you're debugging Supabase, they're already deployed. https://t.co/ekFZPDYOtf
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Offshore
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Boston Scientific is in a >15% drawdown and currently trades only ~10% above its 10-year avg multiple of ~25x
$BSX is a business worth keeping an eye on https://t.co/mDYcmXszdt
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Boston Scientific is in a >15% drawdown and currently trades only ~10% above its 10-year avg multiple of ~25x
$BSX is a business worth keeping an eye on https://t.co/mDYcmXszdt
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: 🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI could run out of money by mid-2027.
Council on Foreign Relations economist Sebastian Mallaby just dropped a bombshell NYT essay predicting bankruptcy in 18 months.
The numbers are devastating. $8B loss in 2025. $14B projected loss in 2026. $115B cumulative burn through 2029. All while 95% of ChatGPT's 800 million users pay nothing.
OpenAI just announced ads in ChatGPT. That's not innovation. That's desperation.
Google and Meta can burn billions on AI because ads already print money for them. OpenAI has no fallback. Just a $300B valuation built on hope and a $1.4 trillion bill it can't pay.
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RT @godofprompt: 🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI could run out of money by mid-2027.
Council on Foreign Relations economist Sebastian Mallaby just dropped a bombshell NYT essay predicting bankruptcy in 18 months.
The numbers are devastating. $8B loss in 2025. $14B projected loss in 2026. $115B cumulative burn through 2029. All while 95% of ChatGPT's 800 million users pay nothing.
OpenAI just announced ads in ChatGPT. That's not innovation. That's desperation.
Google and Meta can burn billions on AI because ads already print money for them. OpenAI has no fallback. Just a $300B valuation built on hope and a $1.4 trillion bill it can't pay.
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God of Prompt
RT @godofprompt: @AlibabaGroup just dropped something wild.
Qwen App went from "AI that talks" to "AI that executes".
Order food, book flights, pay bills, call restaurants, process 100 documents... all in one chat.
No app switching. No manual workflows. Just done. https://t.co/ohLji1tZNM
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RT @godofprompt: @AlibabaGroup just dropped something wild.
Qwen App went from "AI that talks" to "AI that executes".
Order food, book flights, pay bills, call restaurants, process 100 documents... all in one chat.
No app switching. No manual workflows. Just done. https://t.co/ohLji1tZNM
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