The Few Bets That Matter
$NBIS trades around 3x FY27 revenue, less including equity and non-core revenue.

The market had to price execution risk. I said that months ago while everyone else was pumping fantasy price targets, and that reset is happening.

The question now is at which point is the market only pricing risk and not pricing potential anymore?

Because AI is here, demand isn't slowing and no signs point to the systemic crash the market is now expecting.

$NBIS used to be the best community on X with great & honest coverage. This changed since the $MSFT deal and it now is terrible.

$NBIS is now covered by newcomers with no understanding of the fundamentals or the reality of the business, with unrealistic & unjustifiable price targets, riding an engagement hype brought by what was - and still is, an amazing investment thesis, which they simply don't understand.

And as usual with social medias, those kind of posts get the most attention, despite how detached from reality they are.

So we can now read everywhere that China banning $NVDA purchase is bullish for $NBIS because it gives more supply to the latter. Which is comparable to saying that a monkey is happy to see a lion die because it gives him more banana - stupid right?

Anyone with the smallest knowledge of the space knows that China cannot buy Blackwells and buys H20s, the only licensed GPUs which can be sold there. $NBIS doesn't give a rat's ass of whom buy H20s.

You can also read that $NBIS is easily a multi hundred billions company. Why? Because they should be valued by an ARR multiple and at 25x what should be $7B ARR by EOY26 plus its investments and subsidies then it is a $250B capitalisation.

Simple question: How do they reach $7B ARR by EOY26? Maybe they will, but per the last public information, they should have around 1GW connected power by then. That would be an expensive compute rate.

There is a reality to link to our thesis. $NBIS can do wonders but it will need to build infrastructure, to buy GPUs and install them, and this take time. They cannot connect and sell GW in a minute, there is a supply chain before it happening so we ought to be realistic. We can be bullish and realistic, but those people aren't anymore, they simply throw numbers left and right.

If this post gets some views, I'd like to say that I was in $NBIS before many, covered the company before many, and have an average much lower than many, so no, I did not miss the train and am not sad about it. I am very well in and up more than 1,000% due to call bought in the $20s. But I continue to have a fair coverage of the stock.
https://t.co/SqkuQ7YZdS

I am annoyed by the poor quality of content around here and most importantly by the amount of people who get caught in such bullshit.

You want to have above average returns? Be careful who you follow and what content you ingest. Those with the biggest mouth were nowhere to be found when the thesis was shared for free months ago.

I remain very bullish on $NBIS. And very bearish on whomever listen to those people. - The Few Bets That Matter
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Quiver Quantitative
Representative Mike Collins bought up to $165K of a meme coin called Ski Mask Dog over the last year.

It has now fallen 96% from its all-time high in December. https://t.co/67g5blzbxI
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Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: The Senate Rules Committee has advanced Senator Kennedy's bill to withhold lawmakers' pay during government shutdowns. https://t.co/VZR07TPc8t
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Fiscal.ai
Why is Lululemon struggling in the United States?

Revenue is now declining for the first time in 10+ years (excluding COVID).

$LULU https://t.co/H8cKjiB4hA
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The Few Bets That Matter
$BABA still trades at ~2.5x sales.

Cloud growing 30%+ & accelerating with governmental push.
Core e-com massively profitable and growing.
And growth is depressed by the sales of Sun Art and Intime.

Q1 FY26 will see 15%+ revenue growth, yet valuation remains ~2.5x sales.

Hmhm https://t.co/kYRDL9jVVl
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The Few Bets That Matter
$LULU could be the next $AEO 🙄 https://t.co/ZLr7ywkHDo
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Clark Square Capital
Looks like Interactive Brokers is adding Brazil to its tradeable markets https://t.co/5SRhB9JXdg
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Clark Square Capital
Idea thread time!

What's your best idea heading into 2026? (Any style, any market cap, any geography).

Be sure to add why you like it + valuation.

I will compile the responses and share.

Appreciate a RT for visibility! 🙏
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Wasteland Capital
2021 grift hall-of-famer $LAZR finally filed Chapter 11.

This sh*t was traded by imbeciles at $23bn in 2021, and the assets were now sold for $110m to, I kid you not, Quantum Computing $QUBT. Ayoo!

And the founder’s $83m Palisades home burned down in the fire this year. Sad. https://t.co/2X2r8did16

The spoils of tech mega-grift: $LAZR founder Austin Russell owns the $83m house from Succession. The stock, which was pumped to the dumbest investors by mega-banks, has lost $15.8bn since 2021 (down 77%). The biz had $41m rev, a negative 148% gross margin & lost $446m last year. https://t.co/vDBN4aOk8t - Wasteland Capital
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EndGame Macro
This is Ford acknowledging the first EV strategy didn’t match how truck buyers behave in a high rate environment. The all electric F-150 was expensive to build, hard to make money on, and demand dropped fast once payments rose and tax credits faded. So instead of burning billions trying to force it, Ford is pivoting toward what sells and pays the bills with more hybrids, extended range electric setups, and smaller, cheaper EVs that don’t require a lifestyle change. Gas and hybrid F-Series keep funding the company, while EV investment shifts toward affordability, energy storage, and platforms that can actually scale without massive losses. It’s less about ideology and more about survival and to protect the cash engine now, stay in the EV game, and wait until the economics make sense again.

BREAKING: In a massive hit, Ford, $F, is writing down $19.5 billion in EV investments.

Ford also says it will stop producing the electric version of the F-150. https://t.co/cWMPDeO9d0 - The Kobeissi Letter
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