The Few Bets That Matter
$NFLX used to be a compounder with solid growth, tons of cash flow and a huge market left to tap in.
The Warner Bros deal changes the risk profile. A $70B+ acquisition for a $420B company means leverage and execution risk.
It doesn’t mean failure. It means the market prices in risk and won't give the stock its premium anymore.
If anything, this could turn into a great opportunity given how great management has been and the potential of all the IPs.
But it’s going to take time.
tweet
$NFLX used to be a compounder with solid growth, tons of cash flow and a huge market left to tap in.
The Warner Bros deal changes the risk profile. A $70B+ acquisition for a $420B company means leverage and execution risk.
It doesn’t mean failure. It means the market prices in risk and won't give the stock its premium anymore.
If anything, this could turn into a great opportunity given how great management has been and the potential of all the IPs.
But it’s going to take time.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
$MA derives 60% Rev from its payments network
Just a credit card co? Nope
Other 40% flows from Value-Added Services & Solutions (VASS) — high-margin cyber, analytics, & consulting offerings
Best part: VASS growth accelerated annually since 2021 & on track for ~20% YoY in 2025 https://t.co/q2vUxnx37V
tweet
$MA derives 60% Rev from its payments network
Just a credit card co? Nope
Other 40% flows from Value-Added Services & Solutions (VASS) — high-margin cyber, analytics, & consulting offerings
Best part: VASS growth accelerated annually since 2021 & on track for ~20% YoY in 2025 https://t.co/q2vUxnx37V
tweet
Offshore
Video
Quiver Quantitative
BREAKING: Senator Jon Ossoff has said that there are private conversations to prevent a ban on congressional stock trading. https://t.co/tyZMNSXnvR
tweet
BREAKING: Senator Jon Ossoff has said that there are private conversations to prevent a ban on congressional stock trading. https://t.co/tyZMNSXnvR
tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
Compute providers continue to raise CapEx with $ORCL now planning up to $50B FY26, and $AVGO confirmed that demand for switches & hardware in general are through the roof.
Meanwhile, every actor in the industry confirm that the bottleneck was energy, which can be resolved two ways.
More energy sources or more efficient hardware.
All those points converge to a handful companies selling hardware focused on compute efficiency and optimization, one of them being $ALAB.
And no one talks about this.
tweet
Compute providers continue to raise CapEx with $ORCL now planning up to $50B FY26, and $AVGO confirmed that demand for switches & hardware in general are through the roof.
Meanwhile, every actor in the industry confirm that the bottleneck was energy, which can be resolved two ways.
More energy sources or more efficient hardware.
All those points converge to a handful companies selling hardware focused on compute efficiency and optimization, one of them being $ALAB.
And no one talks about this.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
Oracle’s long-term debt has grown at a faster CAGR than its revenue, net income, & free cash flow—a quiet but important divergence
It begs the question: would you feel comfortable owning the entire business?
🤔 $ORCL https://t.co/HaJrf63FRU
tweet
Oracle’s long-term debt has grown at a faster CAGR than its revenue, net income, & free cash flow—a quiet but important divergence
It begs the question: would you feel comfortable owning the entire business?
🤔 $ORCL https://t.co/HaJrf63FRU
BREAKING: Oracle stock, $ORCL, falls over -7% on reports that some of their data centers for OpenAI have been delayed from 2027 to 2028. https://t.co/RIaLaSNgbY - The Kobeissi Lettertweet
The Few Bets That Matter
RT @WealthyReadings: My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
RT @WealthyReadings: My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
The Few Bets That Matter
RT @WealthyReadings: Find broken stocks. Not broken companies.
$LULU https://t.co/XYhgOyRiir
tweet
RT @WealthyReadings: Find broken stocks. Not broken companies.
$LULU https://t.co/XYhgOyRiir
tweet
The Few Bets That Matter
$ORCL pushed back completion of one of its datacenters for OpenAI from 2027 to 2028 because of labor & material shortages.
And management confirmed this delay doesn’t affect their contractual commitments.
The market is reading this new as: “OpenAI is defaulting.”
You need a strong stomach and strong conviction in the markets lately.
tweet
$ORCL pushed back completion of one of its datacenters for OpenAI from 2027 to 2028 because of labor & material shortages.
And management confirmed this delay doesn’t affect their contractual commitments.
The market is reading this new as: “OpenAI is defaulting.”
You need a strong stomach and strong conviction in the markets lately.
tweet
Offshore
Photo
Clark Square Capital
AppInvestor put together a great little dashboard to track $GRVY. Awesome stuff.
tweet
AppInvestor put together a great little dashboard to track $GRVY. Awesome stuff.
@ClarkSquareCap No better way to respond to this but by giving you the link to the $GRVY dashboard I've just setup / refreshed for Gravity ;) (Works better on desktop than mobile because using a shit embed tool for now)
Mobile data, news and financial data
https://t.co/GrJg4zR0wt - AppInvestortweet
Offshore
Photo
App Economy Insights
RT @EconomyApp: Wealthfront is going public this week.
Ticker: $WLTH
Valuation: ~$2B
Funded Clients: 1.3M
Platform Assets: $88B
📊 How They Make Money: ~75% of revenue comes from cash management (not advisory fees). This makes the model highly sensitive to interest rates.
Would you buy this over $HOOD or $SOFI?
tweet
RT @EconomyApp: Wealthfront is going public this week.
Ticker: $WLTH
Valuation: ~$2B
Funded Clients: 1.3M
Platform Assets: $88B
📊 How They Make Money: ~75% of revenue comes from cash management (not advisory fees). This makes the model highly sensitive to interest rates.
Would you buy this over $HOOD or $SOFI?
tweet