Offshore
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Fiscal.ai
Netflix $NFLX is buying Warner Bros Discovery $WBD for a total Enterprise Value of $82.7 billion.
That's ~25x Warner Bros CY EBITDA.
Netflix will be taking on $60.7 billion in debt to finance the deal.
Is this a good move for Netflix? https://t.co/ubNMc837kr
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Netflix $NFLX is buying Warner Bros Discovery $WBD for a total Enterprise Value of $82.7 billion.
That's ~25x Warner Bros CY EBITDA.
Netflix will be taking on $60.7 billion in debt to finance the deal.
Is this a good move for Netflix? https://t.co/ubNMc837kr
tweet
Offshore
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WealthyReadings
I just publised a detailed review of the crypto market and on how to catch the coming bounce on four different assets, with a clear argumentation and buying plan.
Link's in bio.
$BMNR $MSTR $BTC $ETH https://t.co/iXgLKLJo4I
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I just publised a detailed review of the crypto market and on how to catch the coming bounce on four different assets, with a clear argumentation and buying plan.
Link's in bio.
$BMNR $MSTR $BTC $ETH https://t.co/iXgLKLJo4I
tweet
Offshore
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WealthyReadings
$NFLX just bought a major competitor and some of the most watched global licenses around the globe.
On top of already being the most influential and demanded streaming platform with a growing user base and strong cash generation.
And the market is selling. Wild. https://t.co/N3ase7mlCh
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$NFLX just bought a major competitor and some of the most watched global licenses around the globe.
On top of already being the most influential and demanded streaming platform with a growing user base and strong cash generation.
And the market is selling. Wild. https://t.co/N3ase7mlCh
tweet
WealthyReadings
My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
My problem today is that I can find too many great setups in the market.
$TMDX = flawless.
$BTC / $ETH = bottom vibes.
$KWEB & $BABA = textbook retest.
$ALAB & $NBIS = uptrend reclaim.
$SLB & $HAL = ripping new highs.
$LULU & $NKE = breaking out.
& tons of names still below my buy levels.
Can't catch them all.
tweet
Offshore
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WealthyReadings
934 views. Six months ago.
Since, $DG is up 44% and $DLTR 45%.
No one cared. Because they aren't the next big thing.
But money isn't always made on the next big thing.
tweet
934 views. Six months ago.
Since, $DG is up 44% and $DLTR 45%.
No one cared. Because they aren't the next big thing.
But money isn't always made on the next big thing.
$DG & $DLTR are consumer discretionary business & received lots of liquidity lately.
Why? Fundamentals are getting better? Not really.
The market anticipates they will as uncertainty & fears a recession grows.
Price action is starting to move, things are starting to shape.
The market is a machine to anticipate. Keep an eye on where liquidity goes. tweet
AkhenOsiris
$U
Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight, target to $51 from $42
"We upgrade Unity to O/W on 1) favorable industry backdrop in 2026 and 2) direct exposure to the direct payments migration w/'Unity Commerce'. We raise FY26 grow segment rev growth to +17% y/y from +14% prior on faster industry growth. Unity announced 'Unity Commerce' 10/22 to facilitate the transition from app store to direct payments. We see U as well positioned vs. incumbents Xsolla, Appcharge & Aghanim. Now modeling $55M 2027 Unity Commerce revs, 8% upside vs our prior Create segment revs."
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$U
Wells Fargo Upgrades to Overweight, target to $51 from $42
"We upgrade Unity to O/W on 1) favorable industry backdrop in 2026 and 2) direct exposure to the direct payments migration w/'Unity Commerce'. We raise FY26 grow segment rev growth to +17% y/y from +14% prior on faster industry growth. Unity announced 'Unity Commerce' 10/22 to facilitate the transition from app store to direct payments. We see U as well positioned vs. incumbents Xsolla, Appcharge & Aghanim. Now modeling $55M 2027 Unity Commerce revs, 8% upside vs our prior Create segment revs."
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AkhenOsiris
OpenAI:
Newcomer:
That brings us back to Altman’s “Code Red.”
First off, while the alarm came in a company-wide memo that wasn’t officially announced publicly, we can stipulate that the “leak” of the memo, if not necessarily orchestrated, was almost certainly part of the plan. A media maestro like Altman surely knew that a memo going out to thousands of employees with charged language like “Code Red” was all but guaranteed to make its way to the press.
Publicizing a panicked internal reaction to a competitor’s new product might seem like a counter-intuitive way to maintain your reputation as the industry leader.
Yet if history is a guide there’s a good chance OpenAI’s next model will match or surpass Google. Now, when it’s launched, Altman will be able to declare “Code Red” a smashing success, gaining some extra publicity and coming across as a decisive leader who did the tough things when it mattered and put his company back on top.
An even simpler dynamic is likely part of the mix too. The “Code Red” memo kept OpenAI in the headlines, and being in the headlines is a core competency of the company and its CEO (and we don’t mean that sarcastically). Altman’s brilliant leveraging of the company’s first-mover advantage to build a global brand overnight and become the face of the AI revolution has itself been a big contributor to the unprecedented uptake of ChatGPT.
If what you’re saying internally to your troops about a competitive challenge is front-page news in The Wall Street Journal, one of the messages there is that you’re the market leader. Why else would anyone care?
tweet
OpenAI:
Newcomer:
That brings us back to Altman’s “Code Red.”
First off, while the alarm came in a company-wide memo that wasn’t officially announced publicly, we can stipulate that the “leak” of the memo, if not necessarily orchestrated, was almost certainly part of the plan. A media maestro like Altman surely knew that a memo going out to thousands of employees with charged language like “Code Red” was all but guaranteed to make its way to the press.
Publicizing a panicked internal reaction to a competitor’s new product might seem like a counter-intuitive way to maintain your reputation as the industry leader.
Yet if history is a guide there’s a good chance OpenAI’s next model will match or surpass Google. Now, when it’s launched, Altman will be able to declare “Code Red” a smashing success, gaining some extra publicity and coming across as a decisive leader who did the tough things when it mattered and put his company back on top.
An even simpler dynamic is likely part of the mix too. The “Code Red” memo kept OpenAI in the headlines, and being in the headlines is a core competency of the company and its CEO (and we don’t mean that sarcastically). Altman’s brilliant leveraging of the company’s first-mover advantage to build a global brand overnight and become the face of the AI revolution has itself been a big contributor to the unprecedented uptake of ChatGPT.
If what you’re saying internally to your troops about a competitive challenge is front-page news in The Wall Street Journal, one of the messages there is that you’re the market leader. Why else would anyone care?
tweet
Offshore
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EndGame Macro
Inflation Expectations Are Falling But It’s the Economy Signaling Trouble, Not the Fed Winning
The first thing these charts reveal is how deeply inflation expectations have become tied to politics. Republicans are sitting near 1–2%, Democrats are still up around 5%, and independents fall somewhere in between. When a gap this wide opens up, you’re not looking at a pure read on the economy anymore, you’re looking at how different groups feel about the country, the administration, and the future. Inflation becomes a proxy for trust, frustration, or optimism depending on who you ask.
But the more interesting part is the direction. Democratic expectations have fallen sharply from that massive spike earlier in the year, and that move lines up much more neatly with the cooling we’re seeing in the real economy than with any sudden burst of confidence in the Fed. When hiring slows, when layoffs creep higher, when people pull back on spending expectations almost always drift lower. Not because prices magically stabilize, but because households sense the slowdown before the data fully shows it.
Markets vs. Households: Two Very Different Worlds
Then you look at the longer term expectations, and the contrast is even sharper. Market based measures like the 5y inflation swap, the NY Fed’s 5 year ahead number are sitting calmly in the mid 2s to around 3%. Meanwhile, the Michigan Democrat 5–10 year series is still elevated, even after the pullback. That’s not a forecast gap. That’s a worldview gap. Markets focus on policy, growth, and supply/demand mechanics. People focus on lived experience like rising insurance costs, healthcare bills, rent that never goes down.
So when expectations fall, the question isn’t just is inflation improving? It’s why are people changing their minds?
And my read is simple, the drop reflects weakening economic momentum more than improving pricing dynamics. Households are adjusting expectations because they’re bracing for a softer environment, not celebrating a return to stability.
If that trend continues and all the leading indicators suggest it will then expectations will keep drifting down. Not because the Fed nailed the landing, but because the economy is losing altitude.
tweet
Inflation Expectations Are Falling But It’s the Economy Signaling Trouble, Not the Fed Winning
The first thing these charts reveal is how deeply inflation expectations have become tied to politics. Republicans are sitting near 1–2%, Democrats are still up around 5%, and independents fall somewhere in between. When a gap this wide opens up, you’re not looking at a pure read on the economy anymore, you’re looking at how different groups feel about the country, the administration, and the future. Inflation becomes a proxy for trust, frustration, or optimism depending on who you ask.
But the more interesting part is the direction. Democratic expectations have fallen sharply from that massive spike earlier in the year, and that move lines up much more neatly with the cooling we’re seeing in the real economy than with any sudden burst of confidence in the Fed. When hiring slows, when layoffs creep higher, when people pull back on spending expectations almost always drift lower. Not because prices magically stabilize, but because households sense the slowdown before the data fully shows it.
Markets vs. Households: Two Very Different Worlds
Then you look at the longer term expectations, and the contrast is even sharper. Market based measures like the 5y inflation swap, the NY Fed’s 5 year ahead number are sitting calmly in the mid 2s to around 3%. Meanwhile, the Michigan Democrat 5–10 year series is still elevated, even after the pullback. That’s not a forecast gap. That’s a worldview gap. Markets focus on policy, growth, and supply/demand mechanics. People focus on lived experience like rising insurance costs, healthcare bills, rent that never goes down.
So when expectations fall, the question isn’t just is inflation improving? It’s why are people changing their minds?
And my read is simple, the drop reflects weakening economic momentum more than improving pricing dynamics. Households are adjusting expectations because they’re bracing for a softer environment, not celebrating a return to stability.
If that trend continues and all the leading indicators suggest it will then expectations will keep drifting down. Not because the Fed nailed the landing, but because the economy is losing altitude.
Democrat 1-Yr inflation expectations down from 9.4% in May to 5.2% and plunging, much more to go https://t.co/CnebUdTn9c tweet