Hidden Value Gems
RT @HiddenValueGems: If you are a Berkshire shareholder, will you sell some or all of your shares in the next 1-2 weeks following yesterday’s news?
- Yes
- No
- Haven’t decided yet
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RT @HiddenValueGems: If you are a Berkshire shareholder, will you sell some or all of your shares in the next 1-2 weeks following yesterday’s news?
- Yes
- No
- Haven’t decided yet
tweet
Wall St Engine
OpenAI is shifting its for-profit arm into a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), while keeping full control under its original non-profit.
The nonprofit will now also hold a major equity stake in the PBC, giving it more resources to support its mission as demand for AI tools like ChatGPT continues to surge.
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OpenAI is shifting its for-profit arm into a Public Benefit Corporation (PBC), while keeping full control under its original non-profit.
The nonprofit will now also hold a major equity stake in the PBC, giving it more resources to support its mission as demand for AI tools like ChatGPT continues to surge.
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Wall St Engine
Goldman notes 17% of S&P 500 $SPY firms gave Q2 guidance, and 45% gave FY—both close to average. But more companies than usual are keeping Full Year Guide unchanged, which they say reflects growing caution as firms hold off on updates due to uncertainty around tariff policy. https://t.co/E0ZDUWhmAd
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Goldman notes 17% of S&P 500 $SPY firms gave Q2 guidance, and 45% gave FY—both close to average. But more companies than usual are keeping Full Year Guide unchanged, which they say reflects growing caution as firms hold off on updates due to uncertainty around tariff policy. https://t.co/E0ZDUWhmAd
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Wall St Engine
S&P 500 Closing Bell Heatmap (May 05, 2025)
$SPY -0.56% 🟥
$QQQ -0.59% 🟥
$DJI -0.24% 🟥
$IWM -0.74% 🟥
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S&P 500 Closing Bell Heatmap (May 05, 2025)
$SPY -0.56% 🟥
$QQQ -0.59% 🟥
$DJI -0.24% 🟥
$IWM -0.74% 🟥
S&P 500 Opening Bell Heatmap (May 05, 2025)
$SPY -0.74% 🟥
$QQQ -0.81% 🟥
$DJI -0.49% 🟥
$IWM -0.89% 🟥 tweet
Wall St Engine
$PLTR | Palantir Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $884M (Est. $862.8M) 🟢; UP +39% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.13 (Est. $0.13) 🟡
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $397M
🔹 Rule of 40 Score: 83%
Q2 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $934M–$938M (Est. $898.5M) 🟢
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $401M–$405M
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $3.89B–$3.90B (Est. $3.75B) 🟢
🔹 U.S. Commercial Revenue Guidance: >$1.178B; UP +68% YoY
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $1.711B–$1.723B
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.6B–$1.8B
🔹 GAAP Operating Income and Net Income expected in every quarter
Q1 Segment & Regional Performance:
🔹 U.S. Revenue: $628M; UP +55% YoY, +13% QoQ
🔹 U.S. Commercial Revenue: $255M; UP +71% YoY, +19% QoQ
🔹 U.S. Government Revenue: $373M; UP +45% YoY, +9% QoQ
🔹 Total Customer Count: UP +39% YoY, +8% QoQ
🔹 Closed 139 deals ≥ $1M; 51 ≥ $5M; 31 ≥ $10M
Contract Metrics:
🔹 U.S. Commercial Total Contract Value (TCV): $810M; UP +183% YoY
🔹 U.S. Commercial Remaining Deal Value (RDV): $2.32B; UP +127% YoY, +30% QoQ
Other Metrics:
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $391M; Margin 44%
🔹 GAAP Income from Operations: $176M; Margin 20%
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $370M; Margin 42%
🔹 Cash from Operations: $310M; Margin 35%
🔹 Net Income: $214M; Margin 24%
🔹 Cash, Equivalents & U.S. Treasuries: $5.4B
CEO Alexander Karp's Commentary:
🔸 "We are in the middle of a tectonic shift in adoption, especially in the U.S. where revenue soared 55% YoY, and U.S. commercial revenue hit a $1B+ run rate."
🔸 "We’re delivering the operating system for the modern enterprise in the AI era. Hence, we’re raising full-year revenue guidance to +36% and U.S. commercial growth to +68%."
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$PLTR | Palantir Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $884M (Est. $862.8M) 🟢; UP +39% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.13 (Est. $0.13) 🟡
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $397M
🔹 Rule of 40 Score: 83%
Q2 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $934M–$938M (Est. $898.5M) 🟢
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $401M–$405M
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $3.89B–$3.90B (Est. $3.75B) 🟢
🔹 U.S. Commercial Revenue Guidance: >$1.178B; UP +68% YoY
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $1.711B–$1.723B
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $1.6B–$1.8B
🔹 GAAP Operating Income and Net Income expected in every quarter
Q1 Segment & Regional Performance:
🔹 U.S. Revenue: $628M; UP +55% YoY, +13% QoQ
🔹 U.S. Commercial Revenue: $255M; UP +71% YoY, +19% QoQ
🔹 U.S. Government Revenue: $373M; UP +45% YoY, +9% QoQ
🔹 Total Customer Count: UP +39% YoY, +8% QoQ
🔹 Closed 139 deals ≥ $1M; 51 ≥ $5M; 31 ≥ $10M
Contract Metrics:
🔹 U.S. Commercial Total Contract Value (TCV): $810M; UP +183% YoY
🔹 U.S. Commercial Remaining Deal Value (RDV): $2.32B; UP +127% YoY, +30% QoQ
Other Metrics:
🔹 Adjusted Income from Operations: $391M; Margin 44%
🔹 GAAP Income from Operations: $176M; Margin 20%
🔹 Adjusted Free Cash Flow: $370M; Margin 42%
🔹 Cash from Operations: $310M; Margin 35%
🔹 Net Income: $214M; Margin 24%
🔹 Cash, Equivalents & U.S. Treasuries: $5.4B
CEO Alexander Karp's Commentary:
🔸 "We are in the middle of a tectonic shift in adoption, especially in the U.S. where revenue soared 55% YoY, and U.S. commercial revenue hit a $1B+ run rate."
🔸 "We’re delivering the operating system for the modern enterprise in the AI era. Hence, we’re raising full-year revenue guidance to +36% and U.S. commercial growth to +68%."
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Wall St Engine
$HIMS & Hers Health Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $586.0M (Est. $538.2M) 🟢; +111% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.12) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $49.5M (Est. $28.2M) 🟢; +346% YoY
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $91.1M (Est. $61.3M) 🟢; +182% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 73% (Est. 77%) 🔴
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $2.3B–$2.4B (Est. $2.32B) 🟢
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $295M–$335M (Est. $297M) 🟢
Q2 FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $530M–$550M
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $65M–$75M
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 12%–14%
2030 Long-Term Targets:
🔸 Revenue: At least $6.5B
🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: At least $1.3B
Q1 Subscriber & Platform Metrics:
🔹 Total Subscribers: 2.37M; UP +38% YoY
🔹 Monthly Online Revenue per Avg Subscriber: $84; UP +53% YoY
Q1 Revenue Breakdown:
🔹 Online Revenue: $576.4M; UP +115% YoY
🔹 Wholesale Revenue: $9.6M; DOWN -7% YoY
Others:
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $50.1M; UP +321% YoY
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $109.1M; UP +323% YoY
CEO Andrew Dudum's Commentary:
🔸 "We’re starting 2025 with incredible momentum. Millions are turning to us for personal, affordable care. We’re building a future-ready platform that enables cross-industry collaboration with pharma, diagnostics, and providers to serve tens of millions."
CFO Yemi Okupe's Commentary:
🔸 "Our subscriber base grew to 2.4M, with 1.4M using personalized solutions. Our 111% YoY revenue growth and rising engagement reaffirm our long-term growth across five levers: personalization, new specialties, enhanced care access, partnerships, and global expansion."
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$HIMS & Hers Health Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $586.0M (Est. $538.2M) 🟢; +111% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.20 (Est. $0.12) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $49.5M (Est. $28.2M) 🟢; +346% YoY
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $91.1M (Est. $61.3M) 🟢; +182% YoY
🔹 Gross Margin: 73% (Est. 77%) 🔴
FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $2.3B–$2.4B (Est. $2.32B) 🟢
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $295M–$335M (Est. $297M) 🟢
Q2 FY25 Guidance:
🔹 Revenue: $530M–$550M
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA: $65M–$75M
🔹 Adjusted EBITDA Margin: 12%–14%
2030 Long-Term Targets:
🔸 Revenue: At least $6.5B
🔸 Adjusted EBITDA: At least $1.3B
Q1 Subscriber & Platform Metrics:
🔹 Total Subscribers: 2.37M; UP +38% YoY
🔹 Monthly Online Revenue per Avg Subscriber: $84; UP +53% YoY
Q1 Revenue Breakdown:
🔹 Online Revenue: $576.4M; UP +115% YoY
🔹 Wholesale Revenue: $9.6M; DOWN -7% YoY
Others:
🔹 Free Cash Flow: $50.1M; UP +321% YoY
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $109.1M; UP +323% YoY
CEO Andrew Dudum's Commentary:
🔸 "We’re starting 2025 with incredible momentum. Millions are turning to us for personal, affordable care. We’re building a future-ready platform that enables cross-industry collaboration with pharma, diagnostics, and providers to serve tens of millions."
CFO Yemi Okupe's Commentary:
🔸 "Our subscriber base grew to 2.4M, with 1.4M using personalized solutions. Our 111% YoY revenue growth and rising engagement reaffirm our long-term growth across five levers: personalization, new specialties, enhanced care access, partnerships, and global expansion."
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Wall St Engine
$F | Ford Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $40.7B (Est. $38.15B) 🟢; -5% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.14 (Est. -$0.02) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $471M
🔹 Estimated FY25 adjusted EBIT impact from tariffs: -$1.5B
🔸 Suspends FY forecast due to tariff-related uncertainty
Ford Pro (Commercial Vehicles):
🔹 Revenue: $15.2B (Est. $14.63B) 🟢; DOWN -16% YoY
🔹 EBIT: $1.31B
Model e (EV & Software):
🔹 Revenue: $1.2B (Est. $1.22B) 🟡
🔹 EBIT Loss: -$849M (Est. -$1.4B) 🟢
Ford Blue (Gasoline & Hybrids):
🔹 Revenue: $21.0B (Est. $20.08B) 🟢
🔹 EBIT: $96M (Est. -$288.3M) 🟢
Tariff Impact & Guidance Update:
🔹 Estimated FY25 adjusted EBIT impact from tariffs: -$1.5B
🔹 Total tariff-related costs in FY25: ~$2.5B
🔹 $1B of tariff costs mitigated via logistics and import strategies
🔹 FY25 Guidance: Suspended due to tariff-related uncertainty
Strategic & Market Commentary:
🔸 Guidance Withdrawal: Ford suspended its 2025 guidance originally projected at $7.0B–$8.5B EBIT, citing unresolved impacts of Trump's 25% tariffs on imported vehicles and parts.
🔸 CFO Sherry House: “We are focused on managing what we control.”
🔸 Tariff Strategy: Ford has halted exports to China, restructured supply routes from Mexico to Canada to avoid U.S. duties, and is leveraging recently approved credits for domestic assembly.
🔸 EV Losses: Projected EV and software unit losses of up to $5.5B in FY25; total segment losses since 2023 exceed $10B.
🔸 Architecture Development: Discontinued next-gen EV architecture program (FNV4) due to escalating costs and delays.
🔸 Consumer Response: Early Q1 demand spike attributed to customer concerns over price hikes from tariff impact; Ford offered incentives to boost market share.
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$F | Ford Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Revenue: $40.7B (Est. $38.15B) 🟢; -5% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: $0.14 (Est. -$0.02) 🟢
🔹 Net Income: $471M
🔹 Estimated FY25 adjusted EBIT impact from tariffs: -$1.5B
🔸 Suspends FY forecast due to tariff-related uncertainty
Ford Pro (Commercial Vehicles):
🔹 Revenue: $15.2B (Est. $14.63B) 🟢; DOWN -16% YoY
🔹 EBIT: $1.31B
Model e (EV & Software):
🔹 Revenue: $1.2B (Est. $1.22B) 🟡
🔹 EBIT Loss: -$849M (Est. -$1.4B) 🟢
Ford Blue (Gasoline & Hybrids):
🔹 Revenue: $21.0B (Est. $20.08B) 🟢
🔹 EBIT: $96M (Est. -$288.3M) 🟢
Tariff Impact & Guidance Update:
🔹 Estimated FY25 adjusted EBIT impact from tariffs: -$1.5B
🔹 Total tariff-related costs in FY25: ~$2.5B
🔹 $1B of tariff costs mitigated via logistics and import strategies
🔹 FY25 Guidance: Suspended due to tariff-related uncertainty
Strategic & Market Commentary:
🔸 Guidance Withdrawal: Ford suspended its 2025 guidance originally projected at $7.0B–$8.5B EBIT, citing unresolved impacts of Trump's 25% tariffs on imported vehicles and parts.
🔸 CFO Sherry House: “We are focused on managing what we control.”
🔸 Tariff Strategy: Ford has halted exports to China, restructured supply routes from Mexico to Canada to avoid U.S. duties, and is leveraging recently approved credits for domestic assembly.
🔸 EV Losses: Projected EV and software unit losses of up to $5.5B in FY25; total segment losses since 2023 exceed $10B.
🔸 Architecture Development: Discontinued next-gen EV architecture program (FNV4) due to escalating costs and delays.
🔸 Consumer Response: Early Q1 demand spike attributed to customer concerns over price hikes from tariff impact; Ford offered incentives to boost market share.
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Wall St Engine
$MAT | Mattel Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Net Sales: $827M (Est. $786M) 🟢; +2% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: -$0.03 (Est. -$0.10) 🟢
🔸 FY25 Guidance: PAUSED due to macroeconomic & tariff uncertainty
🔸No Tariff effect in Q1, but company is proactively mitigating expected future costs
Gross Billings by Category:
🔹 Dolls: $297M; UP +1% YoY as reported (+2% constant currency)
🔹 Infant, Toddler, & Preschool: $126M; DOWN -6% YoY (-5% constant currency)
🔹 Vehicles: $308M; UP +4% YoY (+6% constant currency)
🔹 Action Figures, Building Sets, Games & Other: $193M; UP +12% YoY (+14% constant currency)
Other Metrics:
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $57M; +$4M YoY
🔹 Adj Oper. Loss: -$16M
🔹 Adj Gross Margin: 49.6%; +130 bps YoY
Regional Performance:
🔹 North America: Net Sales UP +3% YoY
🔹 International: Net Sales UP +1% YoY (+5% in constant currency)
Cash Flow:
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $25M; DOWN -$11M YoY
🔹 Investing Cash Flow: -$31M; UP +$3M YoY
🔹 Financing & Other Cash Flow: -$138M; roughly flat YoY
🔹 Share Repurchases: $160M in Q1
🔹 Full-Year 2025 Buyback Target: $600M (reaffirmed)
Strategic & Tariff-Related Commentary:
🔸 Tariff Impact: No effect in Q1, but company is proactively mitigating expected future costs
🔸 Mitigation Actions:
— Reducing reliance on China-sourced product
— Optimizing product sourcing and mix
— Taking selective pricing action in U.S.
— Rebalancing promotional spend
🔸 Cost Savings Program: Raised 2025 savings target from $60M to $80M
CEO Ynon Kreiz's Commentary:
🔸 “This was a strong quarter for Mattel, with positive performance and continued operational excellence. We are navigating macro volatility with agility and discipline and remain focused on strengthening our competitive position.”
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$MAT | Mattel Q1'25 Earnings Highlights:
🔹 Net Sales: $827M (Est. $786M) 🟢; +2% YoY
🔹 Adj EPS: -$0.03 (Est. -$0.10) 🟢
🔸 FY25 Guidance: PAUSED due to macroeconomic & tariff uncertainty
🔸No Tariff effect in Q1, but company is proactively mitigating expected future costs
Gross Billings by Category:
🔹 Dolls: $297M; UP +1% YoY as reported (+2% constant currency)
🔹 Infant, Toddler, & Preschool: $126M; DOWN -6% YoY (-5% constant currency)
🔹 Vehicles: $308M; UP +4% YoY (+6% constant currency)
🔹 Action Figures, Building Sets, Games & Other: $193M; UP +12% YoY (+14% constant currency)
Other Metrics:
🔹 Adj EBITDA: $57M; +$4M YoY
🔹 Adj Oper. Loss: -$16M
🔹 Adj Gross Margin: 49.6%; +130 bps YoY
Regional Performance:
🔹 North America: Net Sales UP +3% YoY
🔹 International: Net Sales UP +1% YoY (+5% in constant currency)
Cash Flow:
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $25M; DOWN -$11M YoY
🔹 Investing Cash Flow: -$31M; UP +$3M YoY
🔹 Financing & Other Cash Flow: -$138M; roughly flat YoY
🔹 Share Repurchases: $160M in Q1
🔹 Full-Year 2025 Buyback Target: $600M (reaffirmed)
Strategic & Tariff-Related Commentary:
🔸 Tariff Impact: No effect in Q1, but company is proactively mitigating expected future costs
🔸 Mitigation Actions:
— Reducing reliance on China-sourced product
— Optimizing product sourcing and mix
— Taking selective pricing action in U.S.
— Rebalancing promotional spend
🔸 Cost Savings Program: Raised 2025 savings target from $60M to $80M
CEO Ynon Kreiz's Commentary:
🔸 “This was a strong quarter for Mattel, with positive performance and continued operational excellence. We are navigating macro volatility with agility and discipline and remain focused on strengthening our competitive position.”
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