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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ A quality valuation analysis on $AMZN ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ โขNTM P/OCF Ratio: 13.55x โข5-Year Mean: 22.10x โขNTM FCF Yield: 2.60% โข5-Year Mean: 2.69% As you can see, $AMZN appears to be slightly undervalued using P/OCF Going forwardโฆ
๏ฟฝ๐ข๐จ๐ง ๐๐จ๐ง๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ง ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฐ๐๐๐ญ ๐ก๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐๐ง ๐จ๐๐ญ๐๐ข๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ซ๐จ๐ฆ ๐ฌ๐จ๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฌ ๐๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐ฏ๐๐ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐ ๐ซ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐๐๐ฅ๐, ๐๐ฎ๐ญ ๐ข๐ฌ ๐ง๐จ๐ญ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ซ๐๐ง๐ญ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฌ ๐ญ๐จ ๐๐จ๐ฆ๐ฉ๐ฅ๐๐ญ๐๐ง๐๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐จ๐ซ ๐๐๐๐ฎ๐ซ๐๐๐ฒ.
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โ The Kobeissi Letter
Market bearishness is at historic levels:
In the week ending April 9th, 58.9% of individual investors expressed bearish stock market sentiment over the next 6 months in the AAII survey, down from 61.9% in the prior week.
By comparison, the 2022 bear market and the 2008 Financial Crisis peaks were 60.8% and 70.3%, respectively.
AAII Bearish Sentiment has been now above 55.0% for 7 consecutive weeks, in-line with the longest stretch on record set in 1990.
Not even the 2008 Financial Crisis saw such long periods of bearish sentiment.
The market sentiment has rarely been this pessimistic.
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Market bearishness is at historic levels:
In the week ending April 9th, 58.9% of individual investors expressed bearish stock market sentiment over the next 6 months in the AAII survey, down from 61.9% in the prior week.
By comparison, the 2022 bear market and the 2008 Financial Crisis peaks were 60.8% and 70.3%, respectively.
AAII Bearish Sentiment has been now above 55.0% for 7 consecutive weeks, in-line with the longest stretch on record set in 1990.
Not even the 2008 Financial Crisis saw such long periods of bearish sentiment.
The market sentiment has rarely been this pessimistic.
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โ The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, announces they will manufacture American-made AI supercomputers in the US for the first time ever.
Within the next 4 years, Nvidia plans to produce up to $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. https://t.co/KuS7fCjdlf
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BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, announces they will manufacture American-made AI supercomputers in the US for the first time ever.
Within the next 4 years, Nvidia plans to produce up to $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. https://t.co/KuS7fCjdlf
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โ The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, CEO Jensen Huang says:
โThe engines of the worldโs AI infrastructure are being built in the United States for the first time."
โAdding American manufacturing helps us better meet the incredible and growing demand for AI chips and supercomputers, strengthens our supply chain and boosts our resiliency.โ
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BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, CEO Jensen Huang says:
โThe engines of the worldโs AI infrastructure are being built in the United States for the first time."
โAdding American manufacturing helps us better meet the incredible and growing demand for AI chips and supercomputers, strengthens our supply chain and boosts our resiliency.โ
BREAKING: Nvidia, $NVDA, announces they will manufacture American-made AI supercomputers in the US for the first time ever.
Within the next 4 years, Nvidia plans to produce up to $500 billion of AI infrastructure in the US. https://t.co/KuS7fCjdlf - The Kobeissi Lettertweet
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โ Finding Compounders
Labelling fund managers as "value" or "growth" investors risks distorting the investment process
*The third paragraph should be the reason you focus on small caps https://t.co/I6lOaKTyJk
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Labelling fund managers as "value" or "growth" investors risks distorting the investment process
*The third paragraph should be the reason you focus on small caps https://t.co/I6lOaKTyJk
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โ Investing visuals
$ASML reports earnings on Wednesday:
๐นEst. Revenue: $7.78 Bln (+47.1%)
๐นEst. Earnings per share: $5.78 (+85.8%) https://t.co/rbTDqFISpg
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$ASML reports earnings on Wednesday:
๐นEst. Revenue: $7.78 Bln (+47.1%)
๐นEst. Earnings per share: $5.78 (+85.8%) https://t.co/rbTDqFISpg
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โ Capital Employed
RT @equitybaron: Lots of good ideas in this issue...
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RT @equitybaron: Lots of good ideas in this issue...
45 โfresh-off-the-pressโ stock pitches weโve enjoyed reading in the past two weeks ๐
https://t.co/WgaCiGeWh9 https://t.co/GfFNUzsvaL - Capital Employedtweet
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โ Capital Employed
Q1 2025 Fund Letters Round-Up has just been published.
Many interesting letters to read...
https://t.co/lJZP1lUdTx https://t.co/B8eoLpPpC1
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Q1 2025 Fund Letters Round-Up has just been published.
Many interesting letters to read...
https://t.co/lJZP1lUdTx https://t.co/B8eoLpPpC1
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โ Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎ
RT @DimitryNakhla: I definitely missed the opportunity to share my thoughts & make strong calls on X & be a guiding hand to many
On the other hand, while some fund managers were having temper tantrums & sharing emotionally-driven posts, I was happy to remain highly focused as a capital allocator & help my investors maintain confidence & accumulate the worldโs greatest businesses amid moments of great uncertainty & fear ๐ช๐ฝ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
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RT @DimitryNakhla: I definitely missed the opportunity to share my thoughts & make strong calls on X & be a guiding hand to many
On the other hand, while some fund managers were having temper tantrums & sharing emotionally-driven posts, I was happy to remain highly focused as a capital allocator & help my investors maintain confidence & accumulate the worldโs greatest businesses amid moments of great uncertainty & fear ๐ช๐ฝ๐ง๐ฝโโ๏ธ
This past weekend, I shared some thoughts with my investors at Babylon Capitalยฎ suggesting the current market decline appears to represent a long-term buying opportunity
Part 2: โAll Past Declines Look Like an Opportunity, all Future Declines Look Like a Riskโ โ Morgan Housel
Part 3: โDonโt Trust the Headlines โ They Often Mislead & Play on Your Emotionsโ
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Many investors reached out and we took advantage of Monday morningโs dip
Could prices drop more from those lows?
Of course. But weโre not here to catch the absolute bottomโinstead, our focus is on acquiring the worldโs best businesses during moments of peak fear and pessimism - Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capitalยฎtweet