⁠The Kobeissi Letter
RT @JP_Money_95630: @KobeissiLetter Trade the Trend!

@KobeissiLetter @TKL_Adam Appreciate your info and analysis!
It's helpful when making my setups. https://t.co/jri0HAuBjs
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
Newsmax, $NMAX, a cable-news media stock, is now up from $10 to $190 in 24 hours, up +1,800%.

All as the S&P 500 falls into a correction and the Magnificent 7 near bear market territory.

What is happening here? https://t.co/QlcsIvlX0g

What prompts a cable-news media stock to rise +800% in one day?

Newsmax, $NMAX, now up from $10.00 to $97.80 in 1 day. https://t.co/0RXLDYOS2S - The Kobeissi Letter
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⁠Investing visuals
$GOOGL is down 🔻25% since its February peak.

Meanwhile:
🔹Cloud is growing 30%
🔹Free cash flow is up 214%
🔹Has $73 Bln cash (pre-Wiz acquisition) https://t.co/qrEWb3sHJz
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: The Department of Justice is seeking the death penalty for Luigi Mangione in the UnitedHealth CEO murder case. https://t.co/yjpuC53Hf0
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⁠App Economy Insights
RT @VoronoiApp: March's Most Popular Creator ✏️

@EconomyApp breaks down the finances of the world's biggest companies—including the Magnificent Seven—through stunning visuals 🖥️

Explore all their work on Voronoi: https://t.co/nbryO7VNB6 https://t.co/Xtsp4Wzpde
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Mexico's President says their response to US tariffs will be announced on Thursday, April 3rd.

It's officially "reciprocal tariff" week:

President Trump has called Wednesday "Liberation Day" with 20%+ tariffs coming on up to 25+ countries.

US tariffs will impact $1.5+ TRILLION worth of imports by the end of April.

Here's what you need to know.

(a thread) https://t.co/WnaIVcApl0 - The Kobeissi Letter
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⁠The Kobeissi Letter
Bond investors are worried:

The 2-year breakeven inflation rate has jumped to 3.27%, the highest since the March 2023 Banking Crisis.

In other words, the market expects inflation to exceed 3.0% over the next 2 years.

The 2-year inflation breakeven has more than DOUBLED since the "Fed pivot" of September 2024.

This all comes as long-term inflation expectations have risen to 4.1%, the highest since 1993.

Americans’ 1-year inflation expectations have surged from 2.6% to 5.0% in under 3 months, reaching their highest level since November 2022.

A recession is becoming more likely.

Markets are pricing-in a recession:

Over the last 11 weeks, the 10-year note yield has fallen 65 basis points in a massive reversal.

Meanwhile, 1 and 3-month annualized inflation metrics have risen to 4%+.

Rates are FALLING while inflation is RISING.

(a thread) https://t.co/aArmFNuLIi - The Kobeissi Letter
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⁠Finding Compounders
RT @gainify_io: Market’s sleeping on this cash machine - $PYPL

PayPal $PYPL at a 12.3% FCF yield is REALLY REALLY hard to ignore...

This means you are getting a 12% return on your dollars invested annually if they did not grow at all. PayPal can use this cash flow to pay dividends, reinvest into the business, pay down debt or do buybacks.

They are doing LOADS of buybacks right now and at this cheap of a valuation it's very value-accretive. - Dividend Dude
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⁠Hidden Value Gems
Just sent out my piece on Evolution to the Premium subscribers. Focusing on the downside risks and regulatory changes.

Off to Madrid tomorrow for the Value Spain conference, and then 10 days in Tenerife ✈️🌴

$EVO.ST $EVVTY https://t.co/R0aBOSVc7E
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