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Stock Analysis Compilation
Generation IM on ASML $ASML NA

Thesis: ASML is a critical player in the semiconductor industry with a near-monopolistic position in lithography equipment, expected to benefit from strong revenue growth and expanding margins, despite some risks.

(Extract from their Q4 letter) https://t.co/naPG4Rax92
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Delta Air Lines stock, $DAL, falls as much as -14% after reporting earnings and cutting guidance due to "weaker US demand."

This puts the stock down nearly -20% including its regular hours decline.

Consumer spending is dialing back. https://t.co/yS7wEtdsuS

The interview that BROKE the market:

24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.

This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.

Here's exactly what happened.

(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p
- The Kobeissi Letter
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The Kobeissi Letter
Our thoughts on today's market crash, the worst drop since 2022:

1. Heading into this week, investor confidence was at a pivot point.

2. We were at the point where investors were debating whether to "buy the dip" or a broader decline has begun.

3. President Trump saying he is "not watching the stock market" on March 6th began the first signs of panic selling.

4. Then, his interview on Fox News Sunday night made it clear that Trump is WILLING to weather a market downturn to obtain his policy objectives.

5. These objectives include lowering interest rates, lowering inflation, and reducing the US trade deficit.

6. Why is this important? Because the precedent in Trump's first term is that he would do whatever it takes to support asset prices.

7. This now marks the first sign of willingness to allow markets to fall to obtain goals which Trump believes will be a net benefit to the US long-term.

Effectively, the market is trading on the narrative that President Trump has said himself, multiple times.

"Short-term pain for long-term gain" has become a reality.

Read more in our thread below.

The interview that BROKE the market:

24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.

This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.

Here's exactly what happened.

(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p
- The Kobeissi Letter
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
RT @DimitryNakhla: Echoes of 2020 - 2022 over-extended pumps followed by strong sell offs $PLTR $HIMS $MSTR https://t.co/jFl3Pj3Z2l
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Dimitry Nakhla | Babylon Capital®
“Every past market decline looks like an opportunity, every future decline looks like a risk.”

— Morgan Housel 🗣️
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Jim Cramer says “don’t let Monday’s sell-off scare you out of the market entirely.” https://t.co/TSiVcqZpH1
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The Kobeissi Letter
BREAKING: Nasdaq 100 futures fall another -160 points in after hours trade.

Nasdaq futures are now down nearly -900 points today. https://t.co/4YnyDqF0ck

The interview that BROKE the market:

24 hours ago, President Trump joined Fox News and acknowledged a recession MAY be coming.

This marked a CLEAR shift in sentiment today, with the S&P 500 now down -$5 TRILLION in 13 trading days.

Here's exactly what happened.

(a thread) https://t.co/1MRGl8gx6p
- The Kobeissi Letter
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The Kobeissi Letter
RT @KobeissiLetter: The REAL reason markets are crashing:

Over the last 2 months, the S&P 500 and crypto have erased a combined -$5.5 TRILLION of market cap.

We have just witnessed one of the most SUDDEN shifts in sentiment since 2020.

What's happening? Let us explain.

(a thread) https://t.co/uPh9qGWfa5
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